True Left
Politics => Issues => Topic started by: 90sRetroFan on July 30, 2020, 03:19:42 am
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What I have been saying (and which Western civilization alone is to blame for):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PPqh4_55llE
once uh we reach 3° C above pre-industrial baseline half of the human population in the whole earth dies
8:068 minutes, 6 secondswhich right now is about 8.2 billion so about 4.1 billion people die. Um and and that is going to happen by
8:148 minutes, 14 secondsaround 2050 or so.
The only thing yet undecided is which 4.1 billion die, most importantly whether or not the 4.1 billion will include all "whites" (what we want), whether the 4.1 billion will be all "non-whites" (what our enemies want), or if something in between then how the distribution will work out.
In this regard, my prediction is not only that if rightists are in power all the dying will be "non-whites" (since they will not try to save "non-white" lives at all, and if anything may use the opportunity to kill even more "non-whites" than need to die), but also that if False Leftists are in power almost all the dying will still be "non-whites" (because False Leftists will indiscriminately try to save lives as efficiently as possible which means first saving those easiest to save who will disproportionately be "whites"). The only way we will get anything close to what we want is if True Leftists are in power who proactively discriminate against "whites".
The only way you can maybe avoid it is to geoengineer the atmosphere to reflect
25:3125 minutes, 31 secondssunlight before it enters the atmosphere or the lower atmosphere and heats up the earth.
25:3825 minutes, 38 secondsUh but that I've talked about in some other videos is fraught with a lot of problems. Uh, I
25:4625 minutes, 46 secondsthink we would just screw things up even further um doing that. But you could you
25:5325 minutes, 53 secondscould put a tint essentially on the earth uh and uh cool it down some temporarily.
26:0226 minutes, 2 secondsBut as soon as you stop putting that tint on because the way that they've tried to figure out how to do this, the
26:1026 minutes, 10 secondstint essentially will last about 5 10 years or so. Once it wears off, the earth heats up again, but even farther because we'd still been burning fossil fuels, increasing the greenhouse gases.
26:2226 minutes, 22 secondsSo, I I I don't I just don't see I don't see that being a solution. And you need fossil fuels to keep putting the tint
26:3026 minutes, 30 secondson, but the fossil fuels are running lower and lower and lower. Uh, at some point it gets to the point where you
26:3826 minutes, 38 secondshave to choose between putting the continuing to put the darker and darker tint in the sky and having food.
26:4626 minutes, 46 secondsWell, people are going to choose food at that at that point.
26:5226 minutes, 52 secondsAnd then you can no longer tint the sky anymore and everything heats up in an inferno.
I agree.
Woke comments:
The fear of death is exactly why we got here in the first place. I've had this theory for over a decade now that thanatophobia, especially and specifically in the West, is the root cause of most of the ills of this world. The desire for eternal youth, for unrestricted growth (cancer) is a direct result of the paralyzing fear of death that is baked into our culture.
Unfortunately those 4.1 billion will be all young populations in south america, south asia and africa these people will starve and die from heat while countries in the northern hemosphere will scramble to survive by genociding migrants from these areas.
Or perhaps we're in the fourth turning and we need those with integrity to help exemplify what sovereignty in action looks like.
Sovereignty in action looks like "white" genocide.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bwl0glf_7WY
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Not that there were dinosaurs on the planet 100,000 years ago...
Once the air temperature hits 122 degrees, our bodies can no longer dissipate heat and our core temperature rises. But another study cites a much lower limit of 89.6 degrees—the temperature at which humans start sweating.
https://www.popularmechanics.com/science/health/a45806743/highest-temperature-a-human-can-survive/
What temperature is fatal to the human body?
44 °C (111.2 °F) or more – Almost certainly death will occur; however, people have been known to survive up to 46.5 °C (115.7 °F). 43 °C (109.4 °F) – Normally death, or there may be serious brain damage, convulsions, and shock. Cardio-respiratory collapse will likely occur. 42 °C (107.6 °F) – Subject may turn red.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gab2cNW9vsA
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Like I was saying (2:00-2:20):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-UZZMakqlKQ
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Futurist alumnus forecasts a nomadic human future
Singapore-based futurist Parag Khanna (SFS’99, G’05) uses the lens of geopolitics to research the forces driving mass migration. In his new book, MOVE: The Forces Uprooting Us, he forecasts that despite two years of COVID-19 lockdown, the future of human civilization will be defined by mobility.
What drives voluntary and involuntary mobility around the world, Khanna explains, are forces like political instability, imbalances in labor markets, and climate change. His research analyzes trends in civil wars and conflicts, failing economies, technological disruption from AI and automation, and climate change displacement, and then synthesizes takeaways.
“These deep, fundamental drivers of human mobility long predate COVID and will long outlast COVID,” Khanna says. “The mass migrations of the past are not only going to continue, but also expand significantly, because all of these drivers are in overdrive.”
In MOVE, Khanna predicts that more Asian populations will move into Central Asia and Russia, and that both Asian and African populations will move into Europe. In the Americas,
he sees Canada taking leadership in accepting migrants, to the benefit of its cultural and economic future. And within the United States, he sees many people becoming climate migrants.
“There’s a large number of climate refugees in America, from forest fires, floods, and rising sea levels,” Khanna says. “America itself needs to think about climate adaptation and migration as a domestic issue, as well as a global one.”
MOVE also explores youth subcultures like #VanLife—in which young people voluntarily forego hyperconsumerism to live sustainably while staying digitally connected—as an important signal of change.
“One of the things I learned in this process of research is to take young people really seriously,” Khanna says. “We need to rebuild our economic, social, and political institutions to cater to their values, because they’re actually the right values to have for the kind of world we’re in today.”
Khanna says his interdisciplinary work was deeply influenced by his undergraduate experiences in the Walsh School of Foreign Service, especially in Professor Charles Pirtle’s Map of the Modern World class.
“Georgetown is one of just a handful of institutions that continue the tradition of teaching classical geopolitical theory. Very few people have the breadth of knowledge across disciplines to actually teach it. And Charles Pirtle was that man for an entire generation.”
Khanna remains close with Pirtle and connects his book to Pirtle’s class in particular.
“One of the most important things that he taught us is the complex layering of physical, political, and human geography,” Khanna says. “That’s really fundamentally what MOVE is about.”
https://today.advancement.georgetown.edu/georgetown-magazine/2022/futurist-alumnus-forecasts-a-nomadic-human-future/
Will climate change drive humans extinct or destroy civilization?
Almost certainly not—but unless we act quickly to stop warming the planet, there will be very severe consequences for many, many people.
[...]
“Human extinction is not really the main worry,” says Schlosser. “There are going to be some really, really bad regional and local consequences. Consider island nations of the world—the type of warming that we're heading toward, with the expected sea level rise that could force them in many places to retreat or possibly abandon their homeland, is an existential threat to them.”
For many people, asking if climate change is the “end of the world” may be a way of asking if it’s the end of their world—if they should be taking steps to cope with widespread breakdowns in infrastructure or public services or the food supply. “And it depends upon where you live,” says Schlosser. “I would give a very different answer if you were living in the Northeast United States as opposed to an island nation or the coastal plains of Bangladesh or in the middle of the Sahel.”
In part, this is due to unequal climate impacts: low-lying coastal areas facing two or three feet of sea level rise will suffer greatly whether they’re wealthy Miami or impoverished Kiribati. But there is also a basic injustice at work. Wealthier countries and regions have the most resources to prepare for, soften and recover from climate impacts. This means they’re more able to bounce back after a disaster strikes.
“The most vulnerable populations are the poorest populations,” says Schlosser. “If we do nothing about climate change, conditions are going to get worse for people who are poor and don't have the means to cope with it.”
[...]
https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/will-climate-change-drive-humans-extinct-or-destroy-civilization
Climate Change, the Erosion of State Sovereignty, and World Order
CLIMATE CHANGE AND ITS ATTENDANT impacts on natural resources have traditionally been treated as a“soft security” issue—a challenge to be managed, but not necessarily a disruptive factor in international security. Until recently, climate change was primarily the domain of specialized negotiators, such as environmental ministers and individuals present at the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). However, this has begun to change. In response to a growing body of research demonstrating a significant relationship between a changing climate and state fragility, the foreign policy and security establishments of a growing number of nations have become increasingly concerned. A flurry of national security strategies, defense papers, and intelligence assessments have suggested that climate change is a“threat multiplier”...
https://climateandsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/werrell_femia_final-article_climate-change_state-sovereignty_world-order.pdf
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They could have become climate refugees and Operation Gaddafi activists simultaneously, but instead:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/diplomats-least-550-pilgrims-died-192230946.html
Diplomats on Tuesday said at least 550 pilgrims died during the hajj, underscoring the gruelling nature of the pilgrimage which again unfolded in scorching temperatures this year.
At least 323 of those who died were Egyptians, most of them succumbing to heat-related illnesses
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At least 60 Jordanians also died, the diplomats said, up from an official tally of 41 given earlier on Tuesday by Amman.
The new deaths bring the total reported so far by multiple countries to 577, according to an AFP tally.
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The hajj is one of the five pillars of Islam and all Muslims with the means must complete it at least once.
The pilgrimage is increasingly affected by climate change, according to a Saudi study published last month that said temperatures in the area where rituals are performed were rising 0.4 degrees Celsius (0.72 degrees Fahrenheit) each decade.
Temperatures hit 51.8 degrees Celsius (125 Fahrenheit) at the Grand Mosque in Mecca on Monday
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Expect more of the same soon:
https://news.sky.com/story/families-forced-to-evacuate-panama-island-due-to-rising-sea-levels-13146859
The Gunas of Gardi Sugdub, an island with a 200-year-old history and home to about 300 families, will be relocated to the mainland as part of a $12m (£9.4m) project to bring people to safer shores.
Steven Paton, director of the Smithsonian Institution's physical monitoring program in Panama, said the upcoming move "is a direct consequence of climate change through the increase in sea level".
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Some residents have decided to stay until it's no longer safe to do so, an official with Panama's ministry of housing said, adding no one is currently being forced to leave against their will.
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"The islands on average are only a half-meter above sea level, and as that level rises, sooner or later the Gunas are going to have to abandon all of the islands almost surely by the end of the century or earlier," Mr Paton said.
Why stop at mainland Panama, a tropical habitat which will heat up even more within the foreseeable future? Why not take the chance to relocate to a cooler habitat by making use of the already operational routes described here?
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/news/drowning-kidnap-and-jaguars-travelling-the-deadly-darien-gap-migrant-route-to-th/msg22710/#msg22710
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vqBrL8BokSk
Woke comments:
If you're at the point where you have to burn through electricity to power AC all day just to survive indoors, you do have to start questioning whether that location is a viable long term habitat for humans.
I honestly feel mostly sorry for all the animals being affected by this, who are completely innocent, and also all the people in the poor regions of the world who’s lifestyles have not caused this but yet they are the first who will die from either the heat itself, or from lack of water or food as a result, or the famine that this will cause.
There's no way the whole Indian subcontinent and the other at-risk areas will be able to protect all the people that live there.
let human wave russia
it’s gonna get a lot more crowded here in New England
I'll celebrate when the habitable area reaches Finland.
Any country with a significant number of global warming deniers is probably a good destination country for climate refugees.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BKREOfIybR4
Woke comments:
Seriously, DW?! "Communities like these will have to find ways to adapt in the years ahead"? They are suffering the consequences of production and consumption patterns of developed countries, and THEY HAVE TO FIND A WAY TO ADAPT?
So long as the way to adapt is by migrating to the countries which are to blame.
Fingers crossed what happens when the international community, particularly the global south becomes more aware about how other countries remotely destroyed their living environment.
They eliminate the gene pool behind the Industrial Revolution?
Migrate to Alaska
Cool in New England
Here in Scotland it's spring but still under 10'C.
You know where to go. Will you start moving soon?
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OzBGeRwIL3g
Woke comments:
Uninhabitable meaning that heat waves are becoming longer and hotter. The limitations to the human body will not allow it to cool once the wet bulb temperature reaches 98.6 which we are approaching now during the the most intense heat waves
With the temperature continually rising, we can only expect that this will become more prevalent throughout the year as well as widespread in area affected. So if you read between the lines, these areas will not be safe to go outside at certain points of the year for any length of time.
Soon after the insurance companies will bail, the economy will crash in that area.
If we don't do anything we will be the frogs that get cooked slowly in that story.
Time to move up north or down south
Australia?
Australia is a good option, as it is one of the most to blame for global warming:
(https://www.climatecollege.unimelb.edu.au/files/site1/styles/full_size/public/images/11/Facts4Paris_percapitaEmissions.gif?itok=LxoJZGTO)
If Australia refuses to accept climate refugees, it should be militarily invaded.
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Now:
(https://www.amren.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/3-1536x747.png)
In the near future:
(https://www.amren.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/4.png)
(https://www.amren.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/5.png)
The solution:
(https://www.amren.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/As-the-US.png)
(https://www.amren.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/9.png)
(https://www.amren.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/27.png)
(https://www.amren.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/29.png)
Our message is spreading:
(https://www.amren.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/12.png)
(https://www.amren.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/14.png)
(https://www.amren.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/Greenpeace-quote.png)
(https://www.amren.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/22.png)
(https://www.amren.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/18.png)
YES, THEY ARE!
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Our enemies find someone who understands the issue:
https://gatesofvienna.net/2023/12/forget-having-white-children-import-culture-enrichers-instead/
Verena Brunschweiger is an Austrian author and progressive activist who advocates for white European women to remain childless, while the inflow of “migrants” from Africa and the Middle East should be increased, all in order to save the planet.
Below is a video in which Ms. Brunschweiger speaks her mind
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00:00 But isn’t it a bit naïve to believe that if some people in Europe forgo children,
00:04 that it should really make a difference. Shouldn’t we focus more
00:07 on the fact that young people in Austria should want to have children again?
00:11 Well, quite the opposite. I mean, I ask myself,
00:14 what do we do with the people whose lives we are destroying?
00:17 In the global south there are people from Africa and Asia
00:20 whose countries are no longer habitable because of the climate change we are producing here,
00:25 and then they come to us. Are we going to say to them,
00:29 “Oh no, we have so many Aryan people of our own that we don’t need you.”?
00:33 Or how do they imagine this? I find this incredibly racist and inconsiderate without equal.
00:39 and it is our damn duty to restrain ourselves in terms of reproduction.
00:43 It is our duty here in Western industrial nations
00:47 to accept and integrate people from the Trikont [leftist term for people from three continents].
00:51 We were responsible for making certain that those, whose countries,
00:54 their own countries, so to speak, can no longer inhabit them
00:57 for climatic reasons. There it’s 48° [118°F] at home.
01:00 They no longer have any resources, nothing to drink, nothing to eat, nothing at all.
01:03 We have to help them as humans.
By no coincidence, Brunschweiger also looks Aesir:
(https://scontent.fhkg4-2.fna.fbcdn.net/v/t39.30808-6/412634372_17851581858099463_782796728716823968_n.jpg?_nc_cat=104&ccb=1-7&_nc_sid=3635dc&_nc_ohc=fgRiwlkw820AX--FgjT&_nc_ht=scontent.fhkg4-2.fna&oh=00_AfBZ2LZsL47d79R6aUfPaik7gp13oPiQyf65wBo-_cBDxw&oe=65A63B2D)
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https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/hottest-temperature-human-survive-much-130000930.html
The Hottest Temperature A Human Can Survive Is Much Lower Than You Think
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Externally, the upper limit of the human body’s thermoneutral zone—the ambient temperature range in which the body can effectively maintain its temperature and equilibrium—likely falls somewhere between 104 and 122 degrees Fahrenheit, according to a 2021 study published in Physiology Report. Once the air temperature hits 122 degrees, our bodies can no longer dissipate heat and our core temperature rises. But another study cites a much lower limit of 89.6 degrees—the temperature at which humans start sweating. Beyond air temperature, humidity plays a big role too, and the higher the humidity the harder our bodies have to work to stay cool.
The limits for internal body temperature are even more restrictive. According to MedlinePlus, brain damage can occur once the body reaches an internal temperature of 107.6 degrees Fahrenheit.
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As climate change continues, especially without efforts by the world’s governments to counteract it, more people will become climate refugees.
Just this past summer:
(https://metro.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2023/07/SEI_162894651-cd7d.jpg?quality=90&strip=all)
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https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/environmental-disasters-dark-tourism-modern-091032136.html
Climate change and ensuing environmental disasters – marked by an increasing frequency and intensity of destructive floods, droughts, storms, wildfires and extreme temperatures – are now fueling what experts say are just the first waves of places abandoned due to climate displacement.
“We are going to see a movement – it’s already happening – where people are moving away from these areas that are most impacted by storms, by rising sea levels and floods, but also by constant fire, smoke inhalation – all of that,” says Gaia Vince, author of “Nomad Century: How Climate Migration Will Reshape Our World.”
She cites recent examples like wildfires in Hawaii, California and Australia, and floods in Bangladesh, as some of the latest triggers for population displacements.
“How many people are going to return to Lahaina in Hawaii after the fires there?” she questions. “I don’t think it’ll be 100% of the population that left. Some people will not be able to.”
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More than 20 million people are forced to leave their homes due to extreme weather events each year, according to the United Nations. Researchers have projected that by the end of the century, somewhere in the range of 3 to 6 billion people will be “left outside the ‘human climate niche’” that best supports life.
“It doesn’t mean that 3 to 6 billion people will have to move, but it does mean a lot of people have to move,” Vince notes. This, she says, will disproportionality affect communities of color and/or those who are already facing poverty.
“Typically, migration and displacement, these are processes that are rooted in inequality,” explains DeWaard, who adds that the climate crisis is only “going to exacerbate the existing inequalities of today.”
Every available pathway must be opened starting now.
Idiot comment of the day:
Climate change is a false narrative based on pseudo-science.
While the claim there exists a greenhouse effect from CO2 which absorbs energy and warms the Earth is true, it is more precisely a half truth. We only get one part of the full story. Does that energy really warm the planet?
Blow on any finger. Now, lick it and blow on it again. Obviously, it feels cooler. Why? This is known as evaporative cooling. The energy from the force of the air increased the amount of evaporation. This process removes heat and thus the coolness we feel.
What happens when CO2 increases? It radiates more energy back towards Earth's surface. The surface of planet Earth is about 3/4 covered in water. We get increased evaporative cooling at the surface for the same reason our finger feels cooler. This is the part of the story we are never told.
See how subtle this half truth is. It turns what is actually two balanced (warming and cooling) effects into a perceived warming effect by leaving out the cooling effect entirely.
I sweat more during summer than during winter. According to this idiot, therefore summer feels as cold as winter.
All global warming deniers should have their homes given to climate refugees. They can have the climate refugees' old homes in the overheated countries in exchange. They should have no trouble living in those countries according to their own beliefs.
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Westerners will continue to break this record constantly in the coming years with the climate-crisis western civilization has created and all the climate refugees that will come from it...
Concerns and challenges arise as US border crossings soar to all-time high
THESE scenes of thousands of migrants gathered at the U.S.-Mexico border are reminiscent of the influx the country saw before U.S. President Joe Biden in May rolled out a new policy to deter illegal crossings.
Within a month, those tough measures such as deporting migrants and banning re-entry for five years drove the border-crossing rate down some 70%.
But four months on, and the early deterrent effect appears to be wearing off.
Record numbers of migrants, in the thousands, have crossed into the United States in recent days,
with many more still arriving by bus and cargo trains to Mexican border towns.
The surge could represent a looming political challenge for Biden heading into election season.
Enrique Lucero is Tijuana's director of migrant affairs.
"The big problem we see is that it could become a humanitarian crisis. Irregular border crossings are being encouraged, generating organised crime and human trafficking. These are the risks we see if decisions are not taken promptly."
Experts say the U.S. lacks the capacity to detain and process migrants at the border often making it impossible for the administration to carry out the harsh penalties it announced in May.
And as a result, some asylum seekers who cross illegally are being released into the U.S. with a future court date, rather than being deported.
Their success stories are repeated back to migrants still en route.
This Venezuelan migrant, still on the Mexican side of the border, says he heard rumours about people being let into the U.S. after turning themselves into border agents.
He's determined to continue on his journey.
The U.S. Customs and Border Protection meanwhile has told Reuters that it was "safely and efficiently" processing migrants and would impose consequences, including deportation, on migrants without a legal basis to stay in the country.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gN4sNLkmsqg
Rightist comments:
Illegals won’t be so lucky as Trump has asked for more border security and DeSantis is more than obliging as in Florida there’s a lot of them, Alligators. That will keep the vermin out.
You can thank Joe Biden for this mess.
Welcome to America my Brothers! MS13 gang! Viva el Slavador!
But billions to Zelensky
Water cannons!
I'm to other states bus them
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Coming soon to many more locations around the world:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/were-going-sink-hundreds-abandon-012910663.html
'We're going to sink': hundreds abandon Caribbean island home
On a tiny Caribbean island, hundreds of people are preparing to pack up and move to escape the rising waters threatening to engulf their already precarious homes.
Surrounded by idyllic clear waters, the densely populated island of Carti Sugtupu off Panama's north coast has barely an inch to spare with houses crammed together -- some jutting out into the sea on stilts.
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And now, climate change-induced sea level rise is threatening to make life even more difficult.
With homes already flooded on a regular basis, experts say the sea will engulf Carti Sugtupu and dozens of neighboring islands in the Guna Yala region by the end of the century.
Forty-nine of the isles are populated, and rest just a few feet (less than one meter) above sea level.
"We have noticed that the tide has risen," retired teacher Magdalena Martinez, 73, told AFP as she sat embroidering a brightly colored toucan onto a "mola" cloth traditional to the Guna people on Carti Sugtupu.
"We think we're going to sink, we know it's going to happen," she said.
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"The fact is that with sea levels rising as a direct cause of climate change, almost all the islands are going to be abandoned by the end of this century," Steven Paton, a scientist at the Panama-based Smithsonian Tropical Research Institute, told AFP.
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"There is no room to expand homes or for children to play," Human Rights Watch said in a recent report on the island.
"Floods and storms have made life even harder... affecting housing, water, health and education. Such extreme weather is only expected to become more common as the climate crisis accelerates," it said.
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/europe-death-why-no-amount-060000220.html
‘It’s Europe or death’:
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Luis, a 40-year-old migrant from Cameroon, put it bluntly: “For us, it’s Europe or die. We don’t have any fear anymore.”
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“It doesn’t matter if you double the number of police officers or double the number of control operations. There will still be migrants seeking a better life,” said Kharrat, from Al Bawsala.
Adrian, a Cameroon migrant whose boat was intercepted by Tunisia’s coast guard en route to Italy on Wednesday, told The Telegraph that “nothing can stop” migrants like him from reaching Europe.
“We will try again and again,” he said. “We have no other choice.”
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“The risk is high ... but I have no choice but to keep going,” said Felix, who has already tried twice to reach Italy by sea, each time being turned back by Tunisia’s coastguard. “There is no future for us here.”
The billions currently still living in tropical/subtropical regions all need to learn the above attitude rather soon.
(https://www.geographyrealm.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/human-suitability-map.jpg)
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https://us.yahoo.com/news/slow-disaster-indonesians-sinking-village-042132197.html
More than 200 people have stayed in one of Indonesia's fastest sinking areas, which has turned from a landscape of lush rice paddies into a network of boardwalks and canoes in an alarming sign of how climate change could upend coastal communities everywhere.
"It's only memories now... there are no such activities any more," said 49-year-old Sulkan, who like many Indonesians goes by one name.
"Why? Because the place is already flooded by the tide."
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He called it a "slow disaster" happening before the world's eyes, with data showing some areas around Timbulsloko sinking up to 20 centimetres annually, double the rate recorded in 2010.
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- 'No future' -
Large parts of megalopolis capital Jakarta are expected to be submerged by 2050 for the same reasons, researchers say, but villagers along the Javan coast are on the front lines of the emergency.
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"This village... will be gone in less than five years. We can't build, we can't do anything."
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"Life is harder now. Whenever the water comes inside my house, I always wish I could move out," she said.
Yet the problem is due to become even worse as climate change grinds on.
Emigrate to Australia ASAP! If Australia refuses to accept climate refugees, the correct response should be military invasion of Australia. It is that simple.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BK6y4u1T2G4
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/scientists-sounding-alarm-dangerous-problem-123000792.html
the world will heat up enough by the end of the century that more than 2 billion people will live in life-threatening hot climates
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So far, the world’s average temperature has risen by just under 1.2 degrees Celsius (about 2 degrees Fahrenheit) above preindustrial level due to human activity, according to Science Hub. The Paris Agreement — an international treaty to limit heat-trapping gases produced by each country and stop the world from getting hotter — proposed to cap the increase at 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit.
However, the new study found that with the current laws, population growth, and environmental conditions, the world will likely reach about 4.8 degrees Fahrenheit above the preindustrial benchmark, per Science Hub.
Never forget which one civilization is solely to blame for industrialization.
The researchers then looked at which areas would be most affected if the temperature increased to that level. They defined “unprecedented heat” zones as areas where the average temperature throughout the year, counting all seasons, is 84.2 degrees Fahrenheit or higher.
Science Hub reported that 40 years ago, only 12 million people worldwide lived in regions with temperatures surpassing that heat. Today, thanks to the warming we’ve already experienced, about 60 million people are affected.
The study found that by 2100, 2 billion out of the world’s projected population of 9.5 billion will live in areas with an average temperature higher than 84.2 degrees Fahrenheit. The most affected areas will be countries around the equator, noted Science Hub: India, Nigeria, Indonesia, the Philippines, and Pakistan.
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The hotter the world gets, the more heat waves, droughts, and wildfires we experience. As Science Hub reported, studies have also linked the rising heat to everything from more contagious diseases to lower labor efficiency and more conflict between people.
“That’s a profound reshaping of the habitability of the surface of the planet, and could lead potentially to the large-scale reorganization of where people live,” study author Tim Lenton, director of the Global Systems Institute at the University of Exeter, told ScienceAlert.
Provided they are allowed to migrate freely. Limitations on migration means locking people inside ovens. All limitations on migration must be removed ASAP!
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As I have been saying for much longer:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/migration-only-option-many-latin-130535769.html
Migration 'only option' for many in Latin America: food aid chief
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Many people in Latin America see migration as "the only option they have" after enduring successive crises of climate change, Covid and spiking food prices, the World Food Programme's head for the region told AFP.
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The pressures, particularly food insecurity, prompted Castro to plead that Latin America "not be forgotten" when its leaders get together with EU counterparts in a joint summit in Brussels July 17-18.
Haiti is of particular concern for the World Food Programme
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Nearly half of Haiti's population, 4.9 million people, are in need of food assistance, but the WFP is only able to get to around 2.5 million of them.
But "due to funding cuts around the world, we are not going to be able to reach one (million) of these 2.5 million," Castro said, calling that "very dramatic".
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food insecurity was climbing inexorably in Latin America, despite its agricultural production capacity, Castro said.
Where in previous years the WFP was helping three million people suffering severe food insecurity in Latin American and Caribbean countries, "now we never go below 10 to 30 million".
"Migration at this moment is the only option that people have," she said.
Transporting aid to where the people in need of aid are is the most inefficient way to provide aid. Letting (or, better yet, actively helping) the people in need of aid move to where the aid is the most efficient way to provide aid. Why is this so difficult to understand?
This principle is apparently understood on a smaller scale:
(https://i.cbc.ca/1.6082225.1686262190!/cumulusImage/httpImage/image.jpg_gen/derivatives/16x9_780/cooling-centres.jpg)
(https://beta.ctvnews.ca/content/dam/ctvnews/images/2021/6/8/1_5018154.jpg?cache_timestamp=1623166300754)
(https://www.thesundaily.my/binrepository/us-climate-weather-heat-225042_2602208_20220903101300.jpg)
so why not on larger scales also?
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Why there needs to be many more climate refugees than there are:
https://us.yahoo.com/news/humans-approaching-limits-survivability-sweltering-085328174.html
Humans approaching limits of ‘survivability’ as sweltering heatwaves engulf parts of Asia
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The weekend downpour in Uttar Pradesh was a welcome change for the northern state of 220 million after temperatures in some areas soared to 47 degrees Celsius (116 Fahrenheit) last week, sickening hundreds with heat-related illnesses.
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in the neighboring state of Bihar, unrelenting heat has extended into its second week, forcing schools to shutter until Wednesday.
At least 44 people have died from heat-related illness across the state in recent weeks, a senior health official told CNN, but the number could be much higher as authorities struggle to accurately assess how many people have died from heatstroke.
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experts say the climate crisis is only going to cause more frequent and longer heatwaves in the future, testing India’s ability to adapt.
Emigration is the most obvious adaptation.
“If health systems aren’t functioning, when you don’t have adequate emergency services, it will lead to (more deaths),” she said. “But what we know for certain is we are going to be approaching limits to survivability by mid-century.”
So move to cooler parts of the world! It is that simple!
India is not the only country in the region to experience such sweltering heat in recent weeks.
Temperatures in northeast China are expected to remain high in the coming days, with mercury levels rising above 40 degrees Celsius (104 Fahrenheit) in certain cities, according to its meteorological observatory.
In Pakistan’s capital Islamabad, temperatures soared to 39 degrees Celsius (102 Fahrenheit) last week before weekend rain brought some relief to the region.
And studies warn the impact of extreme heat could be devastating.
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India often experiences heatwaves during the summer months of May and June, but in recent years, they have arrived earlier and become more prolonged.
Last April, India experienced a heatwave which saw temperatures in capital New Delhi go beyond 40 degrees Celsius (104 Fahrenheit) for seven consecutive days. In some states, the heat closed schools, damaged crops and put pressure on energy supplies, as officials warned residents to remain indoors and keep hydrated.
India is among the countries expected to be worst affected by the climate crisis, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), potentially affecting 1.4 billion people nationwide.
And experts say the the cascading effects of this will be devastating.
A study published in April by the University of Cambridge said heatwaves in India are putting “unprecedented burdens” on India’s agriculture, economy and public health systems, stalling efforts to reach its development goals.
“Long-term projections indicate that Indian heatwaves could cross the survivability limit for a healthy human resting in the shade by 2050,” the study said. “They will impact the labor productivity, economic growth, and quality of life of around 310 - 480 million people. Estimates show a 15% decrease in outdoor working capacity during daylight hours due to extreme heat by 2050.”
Don't wait until 2050! Emigrate ASAP! At least 480 million people must get out of India and preferably resettle in Britain, Australia, Canada, etc..
China is expected to see soaring temperatures across several cities, including capital Beijing.
Last week, Beijing’s temperature soared above 41 degrees Celsius (105.8 degrees Fahrenheit), setting a new record for the capital’s hottest day in June.
According to the country’s meteorological observatory, Beijing, Tianjin, Heibei, Shandong will “continue to be baked by high temperatures.”
The solution is the same. Emigrate or die. These are your only choices.
Woke comments:
Move to a more temperate climate, that's what man has always done, where is the story ?
Man has always moved to more temperate environs that is a fact of life
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‘no relief’ on the way
Emigration is the only solution.
tens of millions of its 1.4 billion people lacking running water.
That is how many should have already emigrated.
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https://globalnews.ca/news/9776579/india-heat-wave-2023/
It's OK for heat waves to be "white"
Sweltering India heatwave leaves at least 96 dead, ‘no relief’ on the way
At least 96 people died in two of India‘s most populous states over the last several days, officials said Sunday, with swaths of the country reeling from a sweltering heatwave.
The deaths happened in the northern state of Uttar Pradesh and eastern Bihar where authorities warned residents over 60 and others suffering various maladies to stay indoors during the daytime.
All the fatalities in Uttar Pradesh, totaling 54, were reported in Ballia district, some 300 kilometers (200 miles) southeast of Lucknow, the state capital. Authorities found out most of those who passed away were over 60 years old and had preexisting health conditions, which may have been exacerbated by the intense heat.
S. K. Yadav, a medical officer in Ballia, said in the past three days, some 300 patients were admitted to the district hospital for various ailments aggravated by heat.
“This has never happened in Ballia. I have never seen people dying because of the heat in such large numbers,” he said. “People fear venturing out. The roads and markets are largely deserted.”
Ballia, along with central and eastern Uttar Pradesh, is currently grappling with oppressive heat.
The main summer months — April, May and June — are generally the hottest in most of India, before monsoon rains bring in cooler temperatures.
But temperatures have become more intense in the past decade. During heat waves, the country usually suffers severe water shortages, with tens of millions of its 1.4 billion people lacking running water.
A study by World Weather Attribution, an academic group that examines the source of extreme heat, found that a searing heat wave in April that struck parts of South Asia was made at least 30 times more likely by climate change.
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https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/feb/14/rising-seas-threaten-mass-exodus-on-a-biblical-scale-un-chief-warns
Rising seas threaten ‘mass exodus on a biblical scale’, UN chief warns
António Guterres calls for urgent action as climate-driven rise brings ‘torrent of trouble’ to almost a billion people
The climate crisis is causing sea levels to rise faster than for 3,000 years, bringing a “torrent of trouble” to almost a billion people, from London to Los Angeles and Bangkok to Buenos Aires, António Guterres said on Tuesday. Some nations could cease to exist, drowned under the waves, he said.
Addressing the UN security council, Guterres said slashing carbon emissions, addressing problems such as poverty that worsen the impact of the rising seas on communities and developing new international laws to protect those made homeless – and even stateless – were all needed.
“People’s human rights do not disappear because their homes do,” he said. “Yes, this means international refugee law.”
The International Law Commission is assessing the legal situation. In 2020, the UN human rights committee ruled that it was unlawful for governments to return people to countries where their lives might be threatened by the climate crisis.
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https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20221117-how-borders-might-change-to-cope-with-climate-migration
As global temperatures increase, causing climate change, sea level rise and extreme weather over the coming decades, large parts of the world that are home to some of the biggest populations will become increasingly hard to live in. Coastlines, island states and major cities in the tropics will be among the hardest hit, according to predictions by climate scientists.
Unable to adapt to increasingly extreme conditions, millions – or even billions – of people will need to move.
The most densely populated areas of the planet are clustered around the 25-26th north parallels which has traditionally been the latitude of most comfortable climate and fertile land. An estimated 279 million people are packed into this thin band of land, which cuts through countries including India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, China, the United States and Mexico.
But the conditions here are changing. On average, climate niches – the range of conditions at which species can normally exist – around the world are moving polewards at a pace of 1.15m (3.8ft) per day, although it's far faster in some places. Adapting to the changing climate will mean chasing our own shifting niche – which for much of human history has been within the temperature range -11C to 15C (12F to 59F) – as it migrates north from the equator. True livability limits are the borders we must worry about as the world warms over this century, bringing unbearable heat, drought, floods, fires, storms, and coastal erosion that make agriculture impossible and displace people.
Already record numbers of people are being forced to flee their homes with each passing year. In 2021, there were 89.3 million people, double the number forcibly displayed a decade ago, and in 2022 that number reached 100 million, with climate disasters displacing many more people than conflicts. Floods displaced 33 million people in Pakistan this year, while millions more in Africa have been affected by drought and the threat of famine, from the Horn of Africa to the continent's west coast.
...
One study from 2020 predicts that by 2070, depending on scenarios of population growth and warming, "one to three billion people are projected to be left outside the climate conditions that have served humanity well over the past 6,000 years".
With so many people on the move, will this mean that invented political borders, ostensibly imposed for national security, become increasingly meaningless? The threat posed by climate change and its social repercussions dwarf those surrounding national security. Heatwaves already kill more people than those who die as a direct result of violence in wars.
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Meanwhile, most countries in the Global North are facing a demographic crisis in which people are not having enough babies to support an ageing population. Managed mass migration could thus help with many of the world's biggest problems, reducing the number of people living in poverty and climate devastation, and helping northern economies build their workforce.
But the main barrier is our system of borders – movement restrictions either imposed by someone's own state or by the states they wish to enter.
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Removing borders or making them far more flexible, especially to labour flows, has the potential to improve humanity's resilience to the stresses and shocks of global climate change. Managed well, migration could benefit everyone.
What if we thought of the planet as a global commonwealth of humanity, in which people were free to move wherever they wanted?
Again, the important question is: what should be done to those who refuse to think this way, and initiate violence to prevent people from moving wherever they want? The answer is: the same as what should be done to those who initiate any other type of violence.
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The latter group (numbering in the hundreds of millions, and who are the ones who caused global warming in the first place) must be exterminated, or else the climate refugees (numbering in the billions, and who are not the ones who caused global warming) will be the ones to die.
This would be fair and just. However, finding enough fair and just people to make this happen may prove difficult, as already seems to be the case. Fair people often (falsely) have empathy for even the unfair it seems, and I think you and I could find thousands of examples to prove that point. Perhaps the better argument would be that those who caused climate change should be deported to the lands most affected by climate change, while those who are not largely responsible for the climate crisis should be allowed to emigrate into the lands that are least affected by climate change? At the least, by preparing the argument for fairness in the climate crisis this way, people with empathy for others outside of their own group (non-tribalists) won't have a panic attack when they hear the word "exterminated"?
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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hotter-more-crowded-world-immigration-170000734.html
In a hotter, more crowded world, immigration is inevitable
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the nine countries with the biggest populations in 2100 will be: India, China, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Tanzania, Indonesia, and Egypt.
Even as early as 2070, though, eight of these nine countries will have many “hot zones”—areas where mean annual temperatures are above 29° C (84.2° F). Daily life without cooling technology will become extremely difficult, access to water will be scarce, and disruptions to agriculture will be severe.
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In these circumstances, migration will become inevitable, with millions of people leaving their overheated villages and cities in search of a kinder climate. (By 2050, according to one estimate from the Institute for Economics and Peace, there could be 1.2 billion climate refugees.) Just as inevitably much of this migration will run northwards—from South and Central America to northern North America, for instance, or from Africa and the Middle East towards Europe.
This can, in one sense, be a gift-wrapped solution for the wealthier countries of the north, where the populations will have grown older, and where governments will be rapidly running out of workers to tax. Migrants can fill out the thinning ranks of the labor force—as long as the political will to accept them exists.
Immigration policies will, as a result, creep closer and closer to the center of all political conversation in the developed world. In the near term, any moves to encourage immigation will be unpopular, said Manoj Pradhan, who founded Talking Head Macroeconomics, a research firm in London. The kind of nativism found in Donald Trump’s America, or in the Brexit referendum, or in other swings to the right in Europe, are ready examples of anti-immigrant sentiment.
“So we will definitely feel the ill-effects of this first,” Pradhan said. “But even if politics is a little unstable for the near future, I have no doubt that, in the long term, people will begin to see immigration as the great benefit it can be.”
Those who see immigration this way already see it this way. Those who do not see immigration this will never switch to seeing it this way. The latter group (numbering in the hundreds of millions, and who are the ones who caused global warming in the first place) must be exterminated, or else the climate refugees (numbering in the billions, and who are not the ones who caused global warming) will be the ones to die. There is no way around this and no more time to waste pretending that there is. Every dead rightist in the EU is one additional space freed up for a climate refugee. That is the only way we should be thinking by now.
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https://www.theguardian.com/news/2022/aug/18/century-climate-crisis-migration-why-we-need-plan-great-upheaval
A great upheaval is coming. Climate-driven movement of people is adding to a massive migration already under way to the world’s cities. The number of migrants has doubled globally over the past decade, and the issue of what to do about rapidly increasing populations of displaced people will only become greater and more urgent. To survive climate breakdown will require a planned and deliberate migration of a kind humanity has never before undertaken.
The world already sees twice as many days where temperatures exceed 50C than 30 years ago – this level of heat is deadly for humans, and also hugely problematic for buildings, roads and power stations. It makes an area unliveable. This explosive planetary drama demands a dynamic human response. We need to help people to move from danger and poverty to safety and comfort – to build a more resilient global society for everyone’s benefit.
Large populations will need to migrate, and not simply to the nearest city, but also across continents. Those living in regions with more tolerable conditions, especially nations in northern latitudes, will need to accommodate millions of migrants while themselves adapting to the demands of the climate crisis. We will need to create entirely new cities near the planet’s cooler poles, in land that is rapidly becoming ice-free. Parts of Siberia, for example, are already experiencing temperatures of 30C for months at a time.
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Wherever you live now, migration will affect you and the lives of your children. It is predictable that Bangladesh, a country where one-third of the population lives along a sinking, low-lying coast, is becoming uninhabitable. (More than 13 million Bangladeshis – nearly 10% of the population – are expected to have left the country by 2050.) But in the coming decades wealthy nations will be severely affected, too.
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The UN International Organization for Migration has cited estimates of as many as 1 billion environmental migrants in the next 30 years, while more recent projections point to 1.2 billion by 2050, and 1.4 billion by 2060. After 2050, that figure is expected to soar as the world heats further and the global population rises to its predicted peak in the mid 2060s.
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With every degree of temperature increase, roughly 1 billion people will be pushed outside the zone in which humans have lived for thousands of years. We are running out of time to manage the coming upheaval before it becomes overwhelming and deadly.
Migration is not the problem; it is the solution.
How we manage this global crisis, and how humanely we treat each other as we migrate, will be key to whether this century of upheaval proceeds smoothly or with violent conflict and unnecessary deaths. Managed right, this upheaval could lead to a new global commonwealth of humanity. Migration is our way out of this crisis.
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The idea of keeping foreign people out using borders is relatively recent. States used to be far more concerned about stopping people from leaving than preventing their arrival. They needed their labour and taxes.
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In April 2021, Governor Kristi Noem tweeted: “South Dakota won’t be taking any illegal immigrants that the Biden administration wants to relocate. My message to illegal immigrants … call me when you’re an American.”
Consider that South Dakota only exists because thousands of undocumented immigrants from Europe used the Homestead Act from 1860 to 1920 to steal land from Native Americans without compensation or reparations. This kind of exclusive attitude from a leader weakens the sense of shared citizenship among all, creating divisions between residents who are deemed to belong and those who are not.
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Immigration controls are regarded as essential – but for people, not stuff. Huge effort goes into enabling the cross-border migration of goods, services and money. Every year more than 11bn tonnes of stuff is shipped around the world – the equivalent of 1.5 tonnes per person a year – whereas humans, who are key to all this economic activity, are unable to move freely. Industrialised nations with big demographic challenges and important labour shortages are blocked from employing migrants who are desperate for jobs.
Currently, there is no global body or organisation overseeing the movement of people worldwide. Governments belong to the International Organization for Migration, but this is an independent, “related organisation” of the UN, rather than an actual UN agency: it is not subject to the direct oversight of the general assembly and cannot set common policy that would enable countries to capitalise on the opportunities immigrants offer. Migrants are usually managed by each individual nation’s foreign ministry, rather than the labour ministry, so decisions are made without the information or coordinated policies to match people with job markets. We need a new mechanism to manage global labour mobility far more effectively and efficiently – it is our biggest economic resource, after all.
The conversation about migration has become stuck on what ought to be allowed, rather than planning for what will occur. Nations need to move on from the idea of controlling to managing migration. At the very least, we need new mechanisms for lawful economic labour migration and mobility, and far better protection for those fleeing danger.
They have already proven they are perfectly capable of doing this:
Within days of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February, EU leaders enacted an open-border policy for refugees fleeing the conflict, giving them the right to live and work across the bloc for three years, and helping with housing, education, transport and other needs. The policy undoubtedly saved lives but additionally, by not requiring millions of people to go through protracted asylum processes, the refugees were able to disperse to places where they could better help themselves and be helped by local communities. Across the EU, people came together in their communities, on social media, and through institutions to organise ways of hosting refugees.
They offered rooms in their homes, collected donations of clothes and toys, set up language camps and mental health support – all of which was legal because of the open-border policy. This reduced the burden for central government, host towns and refugees alike.
They merely refuse to do the same for everyone else.
Globally, this system of sealed borders and hostile migration policy is dysfunctional. It doesn’t work for anyone’s benefit.
We are witnessing the highest levels of human displacement on record, and it will only increase. In 2020, refugees around the world exceeded 100 million, tripling since 2010, and half were children. This means one in every 78 people on earth has been forced to flee. Registered refugees represent only a fraction of those forced to leave their homes due to war or disaster.
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As long as 4.2 billion people live in poverty and the income gap between the global north and south continues to grow, people will have to move – and those living in climate-impacted regions will be disproportionately affected. Nations have an obligation to offer asylum to refugees, but under the legal definition of the refugee, written in the 1951 Refugee Convention, this does not include those who have to leave their home because of climate crisis.
Things are beginning to shift, though. In a landmark judgment, in 2020, the UN Human Rights Committee ruled that climate refugees cannot be sent home, meaning that a state would be in breach of its human rights obligations if it returns someone to a country where – due to the climate crisis – their life is in danger. However, the rulings of the committee are not internationally binding.
There is no such thing as 'internationally binding'. There are only actions and consequences. If there are allowed to face no consequences for breaching obligations or ignoring rulings, they will keep doing so. This is the same reason why there is no such thing as 'human rights' either, and why thinking in terms of 'human rights' is part of the problem. To ensure climate refugees reach safety, we will have to unscrupulously kill by the millions those who want to prevent them from reaching safety. But if you think in terms of 'human rights', you will be unable to do this.
Today, the 50 million climate-displaced people already outnumber those fleeing political persecution. The distinction between refugees and economic migrants is rarely a straightforward one, and further complicated by the climate crisis. While the dramatic devastation of a hurricane erasing whole villages can make refugees of people overnight, more often the impacts of climate breakdown on people’s lives are gradual – another poor harvest or another season of unbearable heat, which becomes the catalyst/crisis that pushes people to seek better locations.
This should give the world time to adapt to the mass migrations to come – that ultimate climate adaptation. But instead, as environments grow ever more deadly, the world’s wealthiest countries spend more on militarising their borders – creating a climate “wall” – than they do on the climate emergency. The growth in offshore detention and “processing” centres for asylum seekers not only adds to the death toll, but is among the most repugnant features of the rich world’s failure to ease the impact of the climate crisis on the poorest regions. We must be alert to “climate nationalists” who want to reinforce the unequal allocation of our planet’s safer lands.
All countries which refuse to accept climate refugees must be destroyed. It is that simple.
The planetary scale crisis demands a global climate migration pact, but in the meantime, regional free movement agreements – of the kind EU member states enjoy – would help. Such agreements have helped residents of disaster-hit Caribbean islands find refuge in safer ones.
Climate change is in most cases survivable; it is our border policies that will kill people. Human movement on a scale never before seen will dominate this century. It could be a catastrophe or, managed well, it could be our salvation.
Good management requires lots of WMDs and readiness to use them to ruthlessly exterminate all who attempt to close the borders.
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https://us.yahoo.com/news/nigeria-flooding-worsened-by-climate-change-kills-more-than-600-and-displaces-13-million-181337433.html
At least 603 people have been killed by flooding in Nigeria, and all but three of the 36 states in the West African nation have been impacted, the Nigerian humanitarian affairs ministry said on Sunday.
The national government also announced that more than 1.3 million people have been displaced due to the rising waters and a minimum of 840,000 acres of land also have been affected. The flooding has also triggered fears of food scarcity in the heavily agricultural nation. Nigeria’s population of 218 million is the largest in Africa.
Nigeria needs to get back to its pre-colonial population size:
(https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/9/93/Historical_population_of_Nigeria.svg/800px-Historical_population_of_Nigeria.svg.png)
The remainder should emigrate to the EU.
More extreme rainfall patterns are a consequence of climate change, as warmer temperatures cause more evaporation, making both droughts and floods more common.
...
Among those displaced by the floods are thousands of Nigerians who were already in camps — which the flooding destroyed — for internally displaced people, due to the regional conflict. At least 15,000 Nigerians “are in immediate need of shelter and food due to floods which destroyed their camps,” according to the U.N.’s International Organization for Migration (IOM). “Heavy rainfall and strong winds have caused serious damage to shelters and infrastructure in camps and other sites for IDPs since the onset of Nigeria’s rainy season in June,” an information officer for the U.N.’s IOM said.
The organization said that funding remains short and the threats of worse impacts and prolonged famine loom.
“It’s saddening,” Chiamaka Ibeanu, a nurse in Nigeria’s Anambra state, told the Washington Post on Sunday. “All of a sudden, people are left with no homes and turned to beggars in weeks. No matter how rich they were, the displacement has reduced them so much.”
Emigrate to the EU!
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/heatwaves-regions-uninhabitable-within-decades-092758232.html
Heatwaves will become so extreme in certain regions of the world within decades that human life there will be unsustainable, the United Nations and the Red Cross said Monday.
Heatwaves are predicted to "exceed human physiological and social limits" in the Sahel, the Horn of Africa and south and southwest Asia, with extreme events triggering "large-scale suffering and loss of life", the organisations said.
Unless everyone is already out of there by the time it hits. Which is what we are here to promote.
Heatwave catastrophes this year in countries like Somalia and Pakistan foreshadow a future with deadlier, more frequent, and more intense heat-related humanitarian emergencies, they warned in a joint report.
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"There are clear limits beyond which people exposed to extreme heat and humidity cannot survive," the report said.
(https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/Q_qgykZbUrSzj0OOQ5Q0Gg--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTcwNTtoPTQxMjtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/a8C96gxGOZxnjmQlt2X.Gg--~B/aD00NDk7dz03Njg7YXBwaWQ9eXRhY2h5b24-/https://media.zenfs.com/en/afp.com/b4a80b06f4674d94ff550979b0a24891)
"There are also likely to be levels of extreme heat beyond which societies may find it practically impossible to deliver effective adaptation for all.
"On current trajectories, heatwaves could meet and exceed these physiological and social limits in the coming decades, including in regions such as the Sahel and south and southwest Asia."
It warned that the impact of this would be "large-scale suffering and loss of life, population movements and further entrenched inequality."
I have highlighted the most important part in bold.
The report said extreme heat was a "silent killer", claiming thousands of lives each year as the deadliest weather-related hazard -- and the dangers were set to grow at an "alarming rate" due to climate change.
Why not simply say that Western civilization is a silent killer?
According to a study cited by the report, the number of poor people living in extreme heat conditions in urban areas will jump by 700 percent by 2050, particularly in west Africa and southeast Asia.
"Projected future death rates from extreme heat are staggeringly high -- comparable in magnitude by the end of the century to all cancers or all infectious diseases -- and staggeringly unequal," the report said.
...
As the climate crisis goes unchecked, extreme weather events, such as heatwaves and floods, are hitting the most vulnerable people the hardest," said UN humanitarian chief Martin Griffiths.
Not only the most vulnerable, but those who contributed the least to global warming.
OCHA and the IFRC said there were limits to extreme heat adaptation measures.
Some, such as increasing energy-intensive air conditioning, are costly, environmentally unsustainable and contribute themselves to climate change.
As I keep saying, problems created by Western civilization cannot be solved by more Western civilization.
See also:
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/news/climate-weather-and-climate-effects-2020-and-beyond/msg14716/#msg14716
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/news/climate-weather-and-climate-effects-2020-and-beyond/msg14830/#msg14830
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/news/climate-weather-and-climate-effects-2020-and-beyond/msg14871/#msg14871
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/news/climate-weather-and-climate-effects-2020-and-beyond/msg14928/#msg14928
From the comments:
Give it time. A few decades of increasing mass death should be convincing to a few more folks.
Yes, but it will only convince Orban and his thugs to close the borders even more tightly.
Let us presume that is true, if so then there will equally be any number of places that will also be inhabitable that are currently too cold!
Yes, which would make them suitable relocation destinations for climate refugees. But they are guarded by Orban and his thugs.
Why don't those people move to the new areas that were created by the warming that were previously too cold to inhabit?
Because Orban and his thugs are obstructing them from doing so.
hasent mankind kinda like moved over time to more from one extreme to a more less extreme for how many thousands of years? seems like a mass migration is wise
Yes, but to enact this wisdom first requires exterminating Orban and his thugs.
Poor nations will get poorer. They will immigrate to richer nations.
Yes, but they will only succeed if we first exterminate Orban and his thugs.
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/enemies/hungary-v4/
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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/power-hungry-europe-leaving-developing-154100722.html
Power-hungry Europe is leaving developing countries starving for electricity
The correct response is to mass emigrate to EU countries. Since that is where resources are disproportionately going to, why not people also? (Soon (if not already) it will be food as well as electricity, so refugees had better hurry.)
Even before the war broke out, gas supplies heading to Asia were being diverted to Europe. Now with Russia-Ukraine war squeezing supply, the richer European nations are getting dibs on whatever is up for grabs. With winter and a cap on Russian fuel imports approaching, European buyers will look to stock up on even more LNG.
This is coming at the cost of not just Bangladesh, but several developing nations. India is grappling with its worst power crisis in 6 years while struggling to find suppliers in international markets.
...
Over a decade ago, Pakistan had forged long-term contracts with foreign liquified natural gas (LNG) suppliers in Italy and Qatar specifically to insulate itself from volatile prices. But now, these firms continue to serve lucrative European markets while defaulting on Pakistan.
Woke sarcasm in the comments:
Na the EU is the most perfect people on the planet. They would never do such a thing as greedy keep everything to themselves.
Yes the colonizing and plundering of all those non white countries in the past were also to enlightened them about the goodwill of the white western nations
I’m not worried about Europeans, if they ever need more fuel they’ll just go back to their former colonies and genocide them again on behalf of democracy and freedom
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https://us.yahoo.com/news/somalia-famine-to-be-declared-next-month-despite-years-of-warning-signs-153104665.html
After four consecutive years of drought, parts of Somalia are projected to enter a famine next month, based on new reports about acute food insecurity in the region. Despite warning signs from humanitarian groups for years about the dire situation facing the East African country’s 16 million residents, experts say, world leaders have essentially turned the other way.
“There are early warning mechanisms, social protection mechanisms [and] things that could trigger what we call anticipatory action,” said Abby Maxman, president of Oxfam America, a global organization that focuses on the alleviation of global poverty. “What's most frustrating is we've been sounding the alarm for some time, and yet the system isn't responding timely enough. Those warnings are not being heeded.”
This is exactly what I predicted would happen. This is why I in turn have been warning that the prospective famine victims themselves need to emigrate to the EU ASAP. The food will not be moving to where you are. Your only hope is to move to where the food is.
About 7 million people across Somalia are expected to face high levels of acute food insecurity from October through December, which means they are in dire need of food assistance, according to the latest data from the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC), a tool for improving food security analysis and decision making. Two million of those people have been designated in an even higher emergency classification, meaning they go days without food, while another 300,000 rural residents in the Baidoa and Burhakaba districts, both in the southern region of the country, have entered a catastrophe designation, in which malnutrition and mortality rates remain at alarming levels. Without immediate resources at their disposal, many Somalians have rationed what little resources they have, while others are going days and weeks without food and water altogether. If these conditions remain, 1 out of every 5 children in the country faces death from malnutrition.
If 7 million had emigrated from when I started recommending it, this would not be happening.
A famine is a rare and specific declaration made by the United Nations and national governments, according to the IPC. The designation is made when at least 20% of households are facing an extreme lack of food, about 30% of children are suffering from acute malnutrition, and 2 people of every 10,000 are dying each day due to outright starvation or to the interaction of malnutrition and disease.
Leaders from many of the world’s richest and most polluting countries have made pledges over the last decade to curb global warming by taking "meaningful and effective actions,” but activists say the efforts have not gone nearly far enough, and no concrete plans have been agreed upon.
Therefore the people affected must plan to emigrate!
“The rich and powerful countries have a moral duty to respond, to save lives and to take responsibility to be held accountable for the causes that are making those at the bottom suffer disproportionately,” Maxman told Yahoo News.
THEY DON'T CARE. Stop pleading with them and start providing transportation for the climate refugees themselves instead!
This isn’t the first time Somalia has experienced famine. A 2011 famine in the country claimed the lives of 260,000 people, more than half of them children under the age of 6. Even then, critics warned that the famine declaration had come too late, since more than 120,000 people had already died. Many fear a repeat a decade later.
So why have Somalis not learned that only emigration will save them?
“From Somalia to Haiti, South Sudan to Yemen, Afghanistan to Nigeria, people’s lives in the most fragile contexts are being devastated by a global food crisis, fueled by a deadly mix of conflict, climate change, rising costs and economic crises, exacerbated by COVID-19 and the Ukraine conflict,” it reads.
Gene pools with minimal machinism heritage are the ones being decimated! This is not a coincidence! This is Yahweh culling non-machinist bloodlines to raise the average genetic machinism-compatibility of humans and hence speed up the final dash towards the Singularity!
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/true-left-vs-right/if-western-civilization-does-not-die-soon/msg103/#msg103
Continuing:
1 million Somalians have been forced to leave their homes in hopes of finding safety and sustenance. Many have set out on long journeys through dangerous terrain and conflict-ridden communities to look for support in urban centers.
That will not be enough. You will need to cross the Mediterranean.
As crops fail, it’s not lost on advocates that the G-20 group, an intergovernmental forum made up of the world’s biggest economies, accounts for 80% of the world's emissions, and that the most vulnerable countries experience the harshest effects, which trickle down to food, health and education. Thirty-three extremely high-risk countries, including Somalia, collectively emit only 9% of global carbon dioxide emissions.
This is Yahweh. Western civilization is the civilization made in the image of Yahweh.
“With the dire situation in Somalia likely to worsen further into 2023, as an unprecedented fifth consecutive failed rainy season is predicted, warnings can no longer be ignored,” Parvin Ngala, Oxfam’s regional director for the Horn, East and Central Africa, said in a statement. “World leaders and the international community must act now."
THEY WILL CONTINUE TO IGNORE WARNINGS AND FAIL TO ACT.
While political leaders have made many promises, in the cities, towns, villages, and refugee and internal displacement camps where millions of lives hang in the balance, far too little has changed.
See?
Or as Care.org puts it, "In a world of plenty, leaving people to starve is a policy choice.”
The reasoning behind the policy choice is to speed up natural selection for machinism in humans. This and Musk's repeated calls for those from gene pools higher in machinism heritage to increase their birth rate are two elements of the same Yahwist operation.
See also:
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/true-left-vs-false-left/progressive-yahwism/
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https://us.yahoo.com/news/climate-crisis-making-pacific-islands-191200167.html
During this century, several Pacific Island nations will become uninhabitable. For my country Tuvalu, which sits halfway between Hawaii and Australia, this could happen in the next two to three decades. Other Pacific Island countries on the climate change frontline may have a few decades longer, but our final destination is no longer a matter of guesswork.
...
Tuvalu and our Pacific neighbors have done nothing to cause climate change. Carbon emissions combined across the entirety of the Pacific Islands amount to less than 0.03% of the world’s total—even less if we speak of historical emissions. The existential threat we face is not of our making. But it will remake us.
...
As the ocean rises, salt water permeates into the aquifers that provide our drinking water. A rising ocean brings higher tides, and with increasing storm intensity, our villages and fields are devastated. Flooding leaves soil saline, which reduces crop yields and weakens trees. Infrastructure such as homes, roads, and power lines are washed away, and higher land on which to rebuild does not exist.
...
We need a global settlement that guarantees nation states such as Tuvalu and the Marshall Islands a permanent existence beyond the inhabitable lifetime of our atoll homes. It must recognize and protect our cultural integrity, our human and economic capital, and our sovereignty. It must be co-created and enacted with the peoples and governments of Island nations, not visited upon us by others.
This settlement includes, ultimately, our relocation elsewhere in the world where our peoples will be welcomed and celebrated.
Tuvalu used to be under British colonial rule, therefore I would recommend inhabitants relocate to nearby Australia.
The Marshall Islands (which, by the way, need to be renamed), were most recently under US rule, therefore their inhabitants should relocate to the US.
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Previously:
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/climate-refugees/msg590/?topicseen#msg590
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/climate-refugees/msg10011/?topicseen#msg10011
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/climate-refugees/msg12828/?topicseen#msg12828
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/climate-refugees/msg13119/?topicseen#msg13119
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/climate-refugees/msg13361/?topicseen#msg13361
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/climate-refugees/msg13528/?topicseen#msg13528
Now a new sign that it is time to leave:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/heavy-rains-lightning-kill-least-061039380.html
LUCKNOW, India (AP) — Hazardous weather has killed at least 36 people in northern India over the past 24 hours, including 12 who who were struck by lightning, officials said as they warned of more heavy downpours in the coming days.
Across the northern state of Uttar Pradesh, at least 24 people died after their homes collapsed amid unrelenting rains, Relief Commissioner Ranvir Prasad said.
Mohamed Usman, 15, was on his friend's roof in the city of Prayagraj when lightning struck Friday evening, killing him instantly. His friend Aznan, who goes by one name, was injured and is being treated in a hospital.
“As soon as they set foot on the roof, they were hit by lightning and my son died,” said Mohammad Ayub, Usman's father.
Officials said 39 people in the state have died from lightning in the last five days
...
Col. Sanjay Srivastava, whose organization Lightning Resilient India Campaign works with the Indian Meteorological Department, said that deforestation, the depletion of bodies of water, and pollution all contribute to climate change, which leads to more lightning.
Global warming has also increased the frequency of lightning, said Sunita Narain, director general at the Center for Science and Environment. A 1-degree-Celsius (1.8-degree-Fahrenheit) rise in temperature increases lightning by 12 times.
There has been a 34% rise in lightning strikes across India over the past year, which has caused deaths to also jump. India recorded 1,489 deaths due to lightning in 2016, and the number grew to 2,869 in 2021, according to Srivastava.
How many more signs do you need?! Emigrate now!
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/famine-door-somalia-un-humanitarian-085513015.html
The UN's humanitarian chief warned Monday that drought-ravaged Somalia was on the brink of famine for the second time in just over a decade, and time was running out to save lives.
"Famine is at the door and we are receiving a final warning," Martin Griffiths told a press conference in the Somali capital Mogadishu.
A food and nutrition report due for release on Monday has "concrete indications" that famine will strike the regions of Baidoa and Burhakaba in south-central Somalia between October and December, Griffiths said.
"I've been shocked to my core these past few days by the level of pain and suffering we see so many Somalis enduring," said the head of the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), who began a visit to the country on Thursday.
...
The UN's World Food Programme (WFP) last month said the number of people at risk of starvation across the Horn had increased to 22 million.
In Somalia alone, the number of people facing crisis hunger levels is 7.8 million, or about half the population, while around a million have fled their homes on a desperate quest for food and water, UN agencies say.
Griffiths described scenes of heart-rending suffering during a visit to Baidoa, describing it as the epicentre of the crisis where he saw "children so malnourished they could barely speak" or cry.
...
Conflict-wracked Somalia is considered one of the most vulnerable to climate change but is particularly ill-equipped to cope with the crisis.
If 7.8 million are hungry, 1 million emigrating will not be enough to alleviate the hunger of the remaining 6.8. million. It would make more sense for 6.8 million to emigrate, then possibly leaving enough food for the remaining 1 million.
Moreover, I am not even sure that the 1 million who "fled their homes" have all necessarily emigrated, let alone into the EU. I suspect many among them are merely moving to other locations inside Somalia, which will not solve the problem.
The war in Ukraine has also sent global food and fuel prices soaring, making aid delivery more expensive.
There will be no aid. MIGRATE TO THE EU OR DIE!
In June, British charity Save the Children had issued an alert that the international community was "sleepwalking towards another catastrophic famine" in Somalia.
The worst thing the UN etc. can do at this point is promise aid, thereby persuading those who might otherwise have emigrated to instead stay put and wait for the aid (which will not arrive fast enough). Instead of promising aid, just promise to take in anyone who shows up at EU borders!
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Finally the issue is being discussed more seriously:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/where-well-end-living-planet-100002527.html
Where We'll End Up Living as the Planet Burns
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While nations rally to reduce their carbon emissions, and try to adapt at-risk places to hotter conditions, there is an elephant in the room: for large portions of the world, local conditions are becoming too extreme and there is no way to adapt. People will have to move to survive.
Over the next fifty years, hotter temperatures combined with more intense humidity are set to make large swathes of the globe lethal to live in. Fleeing the tropics, the coasts, and formerly arable lands, huge populations will need to seek new homes; you will be among them, or you will be receiving them. This migration has already begun—we have all seen the streams of people fleeing drought-hit areas in Latin America, Africa, and Asia where farming and other rural livelihoods have become impossible.
The number of migrants has doubled globally over the past decade, and the issue of what to do about rapidly increasing populations of displaced people will only become greater and more urgent as the planet heats.
We can—and we must—prepare. Developing a radical plan for humanity to survive a far hotter world includes building vast new cities in the more tolerable far north while abandoning huge areas of the unendurable tropics. It involves adapting our food, energy, and infrastructure to a changed environment and demography as billions of people are displaced and seek new homes.
...
no place on Earth will be unaffected by climate change. Everywhere will undergo some kind of transformation in response to changes in the climate, whether through direct impacts or the indirect result of being part of a globally interconnected biophysical and socioeconomic system. Extreme events are already occurring around the world and will continue to hit “safe” places. Some places, though, will be more easily adaptable to these changes, while others will become entirely uninhabitable fairly quickly. Bear in mind that many places will be uncomfortable if not intolerable by 2050—around the lifespan of most mortgages—we need to start planning where we make our homes now. By 2100 it will be a different planet, so let’s focus on some of the livable options.
Global heating is shifting the geographical position of our species’ temperature niche northwards, and people will follow. The optimum climate for human productivity—the best conditions for both agricultural and nonagricultural output—turns out to be an average temperature of 11°C to 15°C, according to a 2020 study. This global niche is where human populations have concentrated for millennia, including for the entirety of human civilization, so it’s unsurprising that our crops, livestock and other economic practices are ideally adapted to these conditions. The researchers show that, depending on scenarios of population growth and warming, ‘1 to 3 billion people are projected to be left outside the climate conditions that have served humanity well over the past 6,000 years.’ They add that, ‘in the absence of migration, one third of the global population is projected to experience mean average temperatures [that are currently found mostly] in the Sahara.’
As a general rule, people will need to move away from the equator, and from coastlines, small islands (which will shrink in size), and arid or desert regions. Rainforests and woodlands are also places to avoid, due to fire risk. Populations are going to shift inland, towards lakes, higher elevations and northern latitudes.
Looking at the globe, it is immediately clear that land is mainly distributed in the north—less than a third of Earth’s land is in the southern hemisphere and most of that is either in the tropics or Antarctica. So the scope for climate migrants to seek refuge in the south is limited. Patagonia is the main option, although it is already suffering from droughts, but agriculture and settlement there will remain possible as the global temperature rises. The main lands of opportunity for migrants, however, are in the north. Temperatures in these safer regions will rise—and will rise faster in higher latitudes than at the equator – but the average absolute temperature will still be far lower than in the tropics. Of course climate disruption brings extreme weather, and nowhere will be spared these increasingly common events—Canada reached temperatures of 50°C in 2021, making British Columbia hotter than the Sahara Desert, and then, a few months later, was hit by deadly floods and landslides that displaced thousands. Fires have blazed across Siberia’s tundra, and melting permafrost is a shifting, unstable ground on which to build infrastructure.
Happily, however, the northern latitudes are already home to wealthier nations that generally have strong institutions and stable governments that are among the best placed to build social and technological resilience to the challenges this century.
Problematically, many of them have also struggled politically with immigration to a far greater extent than have many much poorer countries (poor countries also host by far the greatest numbers of displaced people), and with a migrant “crisis” that is far smaller than the great climate migration we will see over the next 75 years. It may be more possible to shift a political-social mindset in the space of a few years, however, than to return the tropics to habitability. Consider that most of Europe’s nations each rely on tens of thousands of migrant workers just to harvest the crops they grow today. With better agricultural conditions across the north, the need for labour will only increase.
North of the 45°N parallel—which runs through Michigan in North America, France, Croatia, Mongolia, and Xinjiang in China, for instance—will be the twenty-first century’s booming haven: it represents 15 per cent of the planet’s area but holds 29 per cent of its ice free land, and is currently home to a small fraction of the world’s (aging) people. It’s also entering that optimum climate for human productivity with mean average temperatures of around 13°C.
...
Much of the rest of the U.S. will be problematic for one reason or another. The central corridor will see worsening tornadoes; below the 42nd parallel, heatwaves, wild fires and drought will be perilous; at the coasts, flooding, erosion and freshwater fouling will be an issue. Today’s desirable locations, such as Florida, California and Hawaii, will be increasingly deserted for the more pleasant climates of former Rustbelt cities that will experience a renaissance, as a globally diverse community of new immigrants revitalizes them.
Alaska looks the best place to live in the U.S., though, and cities will need to be built to accommodate millions of migrants heading for the newly busy Anthropocene Arctic. In 2017, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency released a Climate Resilience Screening Index, which ranked Kodiak Island, Alaska, as being at the lowest risk of climate events in the country. By 2047, Alaska could be experiencing average monthly temperatures similar to Florida today, according to an analysis of climate models. As with everywhere, location is key, though—the residents of Newtok, Alaska, are relocating because melting permafrost and increasing erosion have caused portions of their village to wash away. The retreat of ice sheets and melting of tundras is already causing huge problems for indigenous communities, whose way of life is being irrevocably altered. Their terrible loss, and that faced by native wildlife—not to mention other dangers, including unknown pathogens lurking in the currently frozen tundras, waiting to be exposed—will be countered by the vast opportunities for development in the New North. This is where many of the tropical migrants will create new homes during the turbulent twenty-first century, while humanity battles to restore a liveable globe. Whether self-governed indigenous communities will welcome this influx of southern migrants or reject what is the latest in a long history of often-violent intrusions remains to be seen. However, people will move north and they will need to be accommodated.
The New North
With agriculture newly possible and a bustling North Sea Passage shipping route, the far north will be transformed. The melting of Greenland’s ice sheet—the largest on Earth after Antarctica—will expose new areas for people to live, farm and mine minerals. Buried beneath the Arctic ice of Greenland, Russia, the U.S. and Canada, there is also useful agricultural soil and land to build cities upon, giving rise to a hub of connected Arctic cities.
Nuuk is one such city set to grow rapidly over the coming decades. The capital of Greenland (an autonomous outpost of Denmark) sits just below the Arctic Circle, where the effects of climate change are obvious—residents already talk of the years ‘back when it was cold’. Fisheries here are experiencing a boost: less ice means boats can fish close to shore year round, while warmer ocean temperatures have drawn new fish species further north into Greenland’s waters. Some halibut and cod have even increased in size, adding commercial value to fish catches. Land exposed by the retreating ice is opening up new farming opportunities with a longer growing season and plentiful irrigation. Nuuk’s farmers are now harvesting new crops, including potatoes, radishes, and broccoli. The retreating ice is also exposing mining opportunities and offshore exploration, including for oil. Nuuk stands at the edge of real economic gain. The country already has five hydroelectric plants to turn its abundant meltwater into power. According to projections Greenland will even have forests by 2100. It may be among the best places to live.
Similarly, Canada, Siberia and other parts of Russia, Iceland, the Nordic nations and Scotland will all continue to see benefits from global heating. Arctic net primary productivity, which is the amount of vegetation that grows each year, will nearly double by the 2080s, with an end to cripplingly cold winters. Growing seasons will significantly expand, particularly around today’s farmland. The Nordic nations already enjoy relatively warm temperatures because of the North Atlantic currents, but continental temperatures, which can plunge below –40°C in winter, will also ease, making interior locations more bearable. Nordic nations score comparatively low on climate change vulnerability and high on adaptive readiness.
Global heating has already boosted Sweden’s per capita GDP by 25 per cent, a Stanford study found. The biggest greenhouse gas emitters “enjoy on average about 10 per cent higher per capita GDP today than they would have in a world without warming, while the lowest emitters have been dragged down by about 25 per cent,” the researchers found. The moral argument for including tropical migrants in the economies of the north is clear. The researchers estimate that India’s GDP per capita has lagged by 31 per cent owing to global heating; Nigeria’s has lagged by 29 per cent; Indonesia’s by 27 per cent; and Brazil’s by 25 per cent. Together, those four countries hold about a quarter of the world’s population.
...
Canada will be a key destination for our migrants, and the government is betting on it, aiming to triple the population by 2100 through immigration. Marshall Burke, Deputy Director of the Center on Food Security and the Environment at Stanford University, calculated that global heating could raise the average income in Canada by 250 per cent due to greatly expanded growing seasons, reduced infrastructure costs and increased maritime shipping.15 With a stable, noncorrupt democracy, onefifth of the world’s freshwater reserves and as much as 4.2 million square kilometres of newly arable farmland, Canada could be the world’s new breadbasket later this century.
Russia will be another net winner—its 2020 national action plan explicitly describes ways to “use the advantages” of climate warming. According to the U.S. National Intelligence Council, Russia “has the potential to gain the most from increasingly temperate weather.” The country is already the world’s biggest exporter of wheat, and its agricultural dominance is set to grow as its climate improves. By 2080, more than half of Siberia’s permafrost will have gone, making the frozen north more attractive, with longer growing seasons, and able to support much larger populations, according to models. Though there is much potential gain, the loss of permafrost and of ice roads will be hugely problematic for the climate and also for many settlements that depend on frozen foundations for buildings, roads, railway tracks and other infrastructure. Engineering techniques exist to deal with the problem, but they are very expensive.
Other places that will see new or expanded cities include Scotland, Ireland, Estonia, and elevated sites with plenty of water, like Carcassonne in France, which is surrounded by rivers. In the global south, as mentioned, there is far less landmass in the high latitudes, but Patagonia, Tasmania and New Zealand, and perhaps the newly icefree parts of the western Antarctic coast, offer potential for cities. In Antarctica alone, up to 17,000 square kilometres of new, icefree land is projected to appear by the end of the century. This could offer an opportunity for development, but I fervently hope that Earth’s last wild continent will remain a precious nature reserve.
Elsewhere, people will move to higher elevations, including the Rocky Mountains in North America and the Alps in Europe. In the US, Boulder and Denver, both above 1,600 metres, are already attracting migrants, and Ljubljana in Slovenia is another alpine location with a rich underground aquifer system and lush agriculture.
People will aim for safer places, and they will be better off moving to locations that already have good governance, productivity and resources. Happily, there are many places where these coincide. Some of this migration will involve rapidly expanding existing towns and cities; in other places, such as Russian Siberia and Greenland, entirely new cities will need to be built.
Achieving safe settlement for hundreds of millions of migrants could require the compulsory purchase by international consensus of land held by current states, with compensation and a stake in the new cities and their industries. It could require a new kind of international citizenship. It could mean richer, safer latitude states becoming ‘care taker states’ for poorer, more vulnerable ones, during the crisis period of global heating until planetary restoration. It could involve charter cities, states within states, the extinction of some of the 200 nation states and consolidation of the remaining few into regional geopolitical entities. There are many alternative visions to today’s status quo of nation states, borders and passports – which are, after all, relatively recent.
Instituting global freedom of movement, for instance, would boost national economies, as well as saving or improving billions of lives. Open borders would, it’s fair to assume, result in very large flows of people—estimations range from a few million to more than 1 billion—and it could increase global GDP by tens of trillions of dollars. Among the catastrophic losses this century, we have so much potential to gain if we open our minds to different ways of living, unsticking people from their fixed abodes. People will move in their millions this century, and right now we have a chance to make this upheaval work through a planned, managed peaceful transition to a safer, fairer world. We must try.
We must focus on identifying and eliminating all who, if left alive, will stop the climate refugees from entering and who will deport them after they have entered. Everything else can be worked out, but there will be no way to persuade rightists to welcome climate refugees. Either the rightists die, or the climate refugees die. There are no other options. Which bloodlines deserve to survive the coming bottleneck caused by global warming? Certainly not those which defend the civilization which is to blame for creating the bottleneck in the first place. It is not enough to merely say we support open borders; the only people who truly support open borders are those willing to physically exterminate all who oppose open borders.
Successful climate refuge must be preceded by totally ruthless climate Ahimsa.
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/one-third-pakistan-underwater-more-175239350.html
Months of monsoon rains have caused massive flooding across Pakistan, affecting tens of millions of people and wreaking havoc on infrastructure.
...
“The sad part is that it is not stopping,” Rehman said to DW. “The rain is relentless. The water is coming down in buckets from a merciless sky.”
The country has declared a national emergency, deploying the army and — for the first time in its history — the navy to aid relief efforts, The Guardian reported and Rehman told DW. Still, many areas remain inaccessible to emergency responders, who cannot find dry places to drop badly needed supplies or land their helicopters, Rehman told Sky News.
A map of the monsoon floods from the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs on Aug. 26 showed damage across the country with the worst damage in the southern provinces of Balochistan and Sindh.
(https://s.yimg.com/ny/api/res/1.2/yxXiR_ZibdLzMMeaFcznKw--/YXBwaWQ9aGlnaGxhbmRlcjt3PTcwNTtoPTY2OTtjZj13ZWJw/https://s.yimg.com/uu/api/res/1.2/PLHDwdzKD_gCznBCOV5MHw--~B/aD0xMDgxO3c9MTE0MDthcHBpZD15dGFjaHlvbg--/https://media.zenfs.com/en/miami_herald_mcclatchy_975/5e2d9047de70988f5411a9e3525b488e)
Human-induced climate change has amplified the intensity and duration of the extreme weather events happening in Pakistan, Rehman repeatedly explained. “This is very far from a normal monsoon – it is climate dystopia at our doorstep,” she said, per Al Jazeera.
“We are at ground zero of a climate dystopia,” she told Channel 4 News.
...
Videos of the floodwater show large buildings collapsing and washing away with shocking speed. Brown-tinged water rips through residential areas, other footage shows.
The only correct response is mass emigration to the EU, UK and former British Empire territories (Australia, Canada, etc.). Even the commenters are starting to get this:
A big part of the planet will be uninhabitable in 30 years and billions of people will need to move.
Better still:
Climate change affects the poorest people while rich countries debate over whether it's real.
Best of all:
You need to remove the people with the largest carbon footprints.
which is what the climate refugees can do after they reach their destinations.
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https://us.yahoo.com/news/tragic-extreme-heat-could-erase-210956282.html
Rising temperatures could wipe out progress reducing childhood malnutrition in West Africa, researchers warned in a study of more than 32,000 children between the ages of 3 and 36 months.
...
Stunted growth from malnutrition was nearly 6% more prevalent among children who spent at least 12 days per month in temperatures above 35 degrees Celsius, or 95 degrees Fahrenheit, researchers found.
That kind of extreme heat is becoming more frequent as greenhouse-gas emissions from power plants, transportation, and agriculture warm the planet. If global temperatures rise by 2 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels — a threshold climate scientists say is likely without steep emissions cuts — the average rate of stunted growth among children in West Africa could nearly double to 7.4%, and erase past gains.
Migrate to the EU ASAP.
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https://youtube.com/shorts/qelMhlI6f_o?feature=share
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hMxtgT8EaSU
Everyone affected by this should migrate to Britain/Australia/Canada/etc.. They've already lost their homes, so it's not like they have to leave their homes behind!
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https://us.yahoo.com/news/devastating-drought-somalia-explained-092508045.html
Jan Egeland, secretary-general of the Norwegian Refugee Council, told Democracy Now! this is "a creeping, devastating drought, which is coming after four failed rainy seasons. So it's climate change. It's the climate change that we in the industrialized world caused. And who is dying from this? The children of Somalia, from a people who did nothing to cause climate change."
...
The situation for children is dire, with kids dying every day from malnutrition. Adam Abdelmoula, the U.N. humanitarian coordinator for Somalia, told Democracy Now! last week that 1.5 million children under the age of 5 are already malnourished, "and we expect that 366,000 of them may not survive through the end of September of this year."
If a greater number migrates to the EU, those staying behind need not die either, as there will then be enough food for them.
Claire Sanford, deputy humanitarian director for Save the Children, told The Guardian last week that she has met multiple mothers in Somalia who have had to bury more than one child this year due to malnutrition. "I can honestly say in my 23 years of responding to humanitarian crisis, this is by far the worst I've seen, particularly in terms of the level of impact on children," Sanford said. "The starvation that my colleagues and I witnessed in Somalia has escalated even faster than we feared."
So are you helping those who haven't yet died to relocate to the EU ASAP?
The Times spoke with one woman, Hirsiyo Mohamed, who saw her crops fail and goats die because of the drought. A mother of eight, she spent four days walking from her home in southwestern Somalia to an aid camp in the town of Doolow. Before she arrived, her 3-year-old son, Adan, died, after begging her for food and water. "We buried him and kept walking," Mohamed told the Times. Once at the camp, her 8-year-old daughter, Habiba, already suffering from malnutrition, came down with whooping cough and died. "This drought has finished us," Mohamed said.
If you had started your journey before the drought arrived, as I had advised, they could still be alive today.
The Integrated Food Security Phase Classification defines famine as "the absolute inaccessibility of food to an entire population or sub-group of a population, potentially causing death in the short term." Abdelmoula said there are eight districts in Somalia that are already experiencing famine, at a "catastrophic" level, and he warns "that number is bound to increase, unless — unless — we are able to scale up our response plan in a very, very major way." This is especially critical as the next rainy season is also expected to produce below-average precipitation.
The most stupid thing to do is to stay put and wait for aid to arrive. Move out!
The country needs money, urgently. Michael Dunford, the World Food Program's regional director for east Africa, made an appeal to G7 leaders last week, saying there must be a "massive scaling-up" of aid in order to avoid total catastrophe. Immediately, Somalis need food and water, and money must also be set aside for other measures, like protecting livestock and reforestation. Funding has been slowly trickling in; the U.N. says aid donors have pledged just 18 percent of the $1.46 billion it needs for Somalia.
The World Bank recently approved $143 million in International Development Assistance financing, which will deliver cash to vulnerable households. Individuals can also donate to organizations like Save the Children and the Somalia Humanitarian Fund.
No, it doesn't need money. It needs ships and planes to shift ~15 million people into the EU where there is a surplus of everything needed. If you use vehicles to transport supplies, you will need to keep doing this over and over again. If you use vehicles to transport people to where the supplies are already being sent, you will only need to do it once.
While the situation is most severe in Somalia, the drought is also affecting millions of people in Kenya and Ethiopia. The World Food Program says in Ethiopia, "hunger is tightening its grip on more than 20 million Ethiopians who are facing conflict in the north, drought in the south, and dwindling food and nutrition support," and it is running out of money to keep up its operations helping "acutely malnourished" women and children.
See? Money will not solve the problem. Only mass climate migration will.
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https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10949305/More-2-000-migrants-storm-fence-Spanish-enclave-bordering-Morocco-chaotic-scenes.html
Some 2,000 migrants made approached the EU's only land border with Africa at dawn over 500 managed to enter a border control area after cutting a fence with shears, the Spanish government's local delegation said in a statement.
...
Speaking in Brussels, Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez condemned the 'violent assault' which he blamed on 'mafias who traffic in human beings'.
Video showed the migrants cheering and raising their arms in celebration as they ran through the streets of Melilla after storming the fence.
Sanchez is another of those who doesn't understand (or pretends not to understand) the difference between smuggling and trafficking:
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/true-left-vs-right/debunking-rightist-anti-immigration-arguments/msg9868/?topicseen#msg9868
Another vocabulary point I want to clear up is the difference between human smuggling and human trafficking, which many people nowadays often use interchangeably. Our enemies in particular like to call human smugglers "human traffickers", for example:
news.yahoo.com/salvini-dismisses-eu-migrant-ship-proposals-emergency-talks-224118678.html
"While France and Germany continue to want Italy to be one of the very few landing countries, we are working on a solid Mediterranean axis which wants to change the rules and crush human trafficking," Salvini tweeted.
Of course Salvini is subhuman bullshitting.
Human smuggling involves people who themselves want to migrate, but who are violently prevented by one or more states from doing so openly, voluntarily seeking out the smuggler to transport them under the radar in exchange for money. This is a contractual agreement of mutual prior consent between the migrant and the smuggler, therefore wholly non-violent. Of course there exist greedy smugglers who take advantage of migrants' desperation (and lack of options during an emergency refugee crisis) by charging extremely high prices for the service, but if states were concerned about protecting migrants from smuggler greed, their best response should be to allow migrants to enter/leave openly (and indeed offer state-run transportation as necessary during emergencies), thereby obviating the need for smuggling.
Human trafficking is a different phenomenon entirely. It involves people who themselves never agreed to migrate, but who are violently kidnapped by the trafficker and moved into a different country without their own consent (often threatened with death for non-compliance), and in effect become slaves owned by the trafficker, unable to ever choose their own occupation/residence/etc. and instead permanently restricted to work/habitat permitted by the trafficker, often involving unhealthy/dangerous conditions that the victims would never have voluntarily subjected themselves to.
In case you haven't noticed by now, deportation = human trafficking done by a state.Salvini, who talks about crushing "human trafficking", is the actual trafficker.
To supplement this, preventing entry of refugees (such as Sanchez is doing) can also be considered human trafficking in effect, in that it violently keeps refugees where they do not want to be.
Smugglers are the good guys. They help refugees to get where they themselves want to go. Smugglers make this happen:
(https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2022/06/24/12/59474111-10949305-image-m-218_1656069425707.jpg)
Border troops are the bad guys. They keep refugees where they themselves do not want to be, and kill them if they resist. Border troops make this happen:
(https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2022/06/25/21/59520723-10953109-image-a-51_1656188936527.jpg)
Back to first link:
There are fears that drought in Africa and surging food prices - even before the war made shipping Ukrainian grain to Somalia, Egypt and other poor nations impossible - could drive up the number of migrants fleeing to Europe.
Refugees need to get armed, or else border troops will just keep beating them to death. A bladed weapon of some sort should be the absolute minimum for each refugee prior to an attempt at crossing a closed border.
Sanchez earlier this month warned that 'Spain will not tolerate any use of the tragedy of illegal immigration as a means of pressure.'
Spain will seek to have 'irregular migration' listed as one of the security threats on the NATO's southern flank when the alliance gathers for a summit in Madrid on June 29-30.
Looks like we will soon be adding Spain as a whole to the Enemies forum, considering Sanchez belongs to a nominally left-leaning party yet wants to keep out refugees. The only reason I have not done so yet is because, to be fair, Sanchez did accept some Afghan refugees earlier:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pedro_S%C3%A1nchez
Following the fall of Kabul and the subsequent de facto creation of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan, the Prime Minister offered Spain as a hub for Afghans who collaborated with the European Union, which would later be settled in various countries.[50] The Spanish government created a temporary refugee camp in the air base of Torrejón de Ardoz, which was later visited by officials from the European Union, including president of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen and president of the European Council Charles Michel. Von der Leyen praised Sánchez government's initiative, stating that the actions of Spain represents "a good example of the European soul at its best".[51]
I will be watching him closely.
In the Sahel, the part of Africa just below the Sahara desert, an estimated 18 million people are facing severe hunger as farmers endure their worst production season in more than a decade.
Their only hope is to get into the EU. As it says on the Nike sweater:
(https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2022/06/24/12/59472477-10949305-image-a-257_1656070840385.jpg)
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/dams-taps-running-dry-northern-120215430.html
More than half of Mexico is currently facing moderate to severe drought conditions, according to the federal water commission CONAGUA, amid extreme heat that scientists blame on climate change.
In the sprawling metropolitan area of Monterrey, home to some 5.3 million people, the drought and years of below-average rainfall have led to citywide water shortages.
"We're in an extreme climate crisis," Nuevo Leon Governor Samuel Garcia said at a news conference last week. "Today, we're all living it and suffering."
...
multiple times a day, in termperatures approaching 40 degrees Celsius (104 Fahrenheit), Robles trods back and forth from the water tank, alongside fellow residents hauling buckets or pushing baby strollers filled with jugs.
One afternoon last week she'd just finished her last trip when she remembered her hard-of-hearing neighbor.
"What else can we do?" she asked, before heading to the tank a final time. "We need water to live."
You can migrate to the US (or even Canada)! There will not be enough water to go round in Mexico at the current population. But if enough emigrate, the reduced population remaining then gets more water per person. It is common sense.
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/somali-boys-mission-food-climate-093805272.html
DOLLOW, Somalia (Reuters) -Each morning in this Somali border town, 11-year-old Bashir Nur Salat plots his day's mission behind a crooked wire fence. Armed with only a friend's yellow school shirt, a borrowed book and toothy grin, he eyes his prize through the mesh: lunch.
Bashir lives where three crises converge - global warming, spiralling food prices and war. He, like millions of others in Somalia, are in the crosshairs of what some aid workers are calling the "The Three Cs": climate change, costs and conflict.
...
"When I don't get food, I'm so hungry: I lie down and I can't sleep," Bashir said quietly. He had eaten no dinner the night before nor breakfast that morning. His eight brothers and sisters at home were all hungry, he said.
Migrate to the EU ASAP! It will only get worse if you stay, and harder to migrate later!
At least 448 children have died since January while being treated for acute malnutrition, the United Nations said. The figures are likely a fraction of the true deaths since many will have been unable to reach help.
The United Nations warned this month that more than a third of Somalia's 16 million people need food aid to survive. Some areas could face famine this month. Aid in some places will run out in June.
...
Such desperation is set to become more common in Somalia, and beyond, as rising temperatures fuel more natural disasters, many scientists say. In the last 50 years, extreme weather events have increased five-fold worldwide, according to the U.N.'s World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
The Horn of Africa, including Somalia, is at its driest on record. This year's March-to-April rains – the first of two annual rainy seasons - have been the smallest in 70 years, and the second rains from October to December are also predicted to be unusually dry, according to a warning last month from a group of 14 meteorological and humanitarian associations, including the WMO.
"We've never seen a four-season drought before, and now we're likely to see a fifth" in October, said climatologist Chris Funk from the Climate Hazards Center at the University of California, Santa Barbara.
"This drought has been made much more likely due to climate change," Funk said.
...
Ocean warming may also play a part. Climate scientist Abubakr Salih Babiker of the WMO Regional Office for Africa said the Indian Ocean is among the fastest-warming water bodies in the world.
With oceans absorbing much of the increasing atmospheric heat, scientists believe warming Indian Ocean waters may be evaporating and raining down more rapidly over the ocean before reaching the Horn of Africa, leaving dry air to sweep across the land.
Another factor: air temperatures in Somalia have increased an average 1.7 degrees Celsius from the preindustrial average – faster than the global average of 1.2 degrees, said Babiker. Warmer air speeds up evaporation from soil and plants.
The Horn of Africa has seen other climate-linked disasters in recent years - damaging floods, a record number of cyclones and vast locust swarms - leaving the region staggering from one crisis to the next, he said.
"There's no time for recovery," Babiker said.
Remember which one particular civilization is to blame for all of the above, and take back from them everything they owe you!
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https://rmx.news/article/europes-migration-problems-set-to-worsen-as-survey-show-more-than-half-of-young-africans-plan-to-emigrate/
More than half of young Africans have expressed their intention to emigrate in the coming years, as attitudes shift considerably from previous polling conducted at the height of the coronavirus pandemic.
According to an African Youth Survey of 15 African countries, 52 percent plan to move abroad in the next three years
...
Factors contributing to the pessimistic views of the continent’s future include Covid-19, climate change, instability, and violence.
92% would be better, but 52% is a start.
Another survey from the United Nations found that 90 percent of Africans who entered Europe illegally were happy they made the journey, indicating that many have no plans to ever return to their homelands.
If you are serious about staying, you will need:
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/true-left-vs-false-left/firearms/
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This is what I have been warning about so that people could escape before it started (but too few have listened):
https://us.yahoo.com/news/only-god-help-hundreds-die-100906878.html
The dying has begun in the region’s worst drought in four decades. Previously unreported data shared with the Associated Press show at least 448 deaths this year at malnutrition treatment centers in Somalia alone.
...
“We know from experience that mortality rises suddenly when all the conditions are in place — displacement, disease outbreaks, malnutrition — all of which we are currently seeing in Somalia,” said Biram Ndiaye, UNICEF Somalia’s chief of nutrition.
Mortality surveys conducted in parts of Somalia in December and again in April and May by the U.N.’s Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit showed a “severe and rapid deterioration within a very short time frame.” Most alarming was the Bay region in the south, where adult mortality nearly tripled, child mortality more than doubled and the rate of the most severe malnutrition tripled.
Deaths and acute malnutrition have reached “atypically high levels” in much of southern and central Somalia, and admissions of acutely malnourished children under 5 have risen by more than 40% compared to the same period last year, according to the Famine Early Warning Systems Network.
...
More than 200,000 people in Somalia face “catastrophic hunger and starvation, a drastic increase from the 81,000 forecast in April,” a joint statement by U.N. agencies said Monday, noting that a humanitarian response plan for this year is just 18% funded.
Somalia isn't alone. In Ethiopia’s drought-affected regions, the number of children treated for the most severe malnutrition — “a tip of the crisis" — jumped 27% in the first quarter of this year compared with last year, according to UNICEF. The increase was 71% in Kenya, where Doctors Without Borders reported at least 11 deaths in a single county’s malnutrition treatment program earlier this year.
At one of the overflowing displacement camps on the outskirts of Mogadishu, recent arrivals were anguished as they described watching family members die.
“I left some of my children behind to care for those suffering,” said Amina Abdi Hassan, who came from a village in southern Somalia with her malnourished baby. They're still hungry as aid runs dry, even in the capital.
...
“Last night alone, 120 families came in,” camp manager Nadifa Hussein said. “We are giving them all the little supplies we have, like bread. The number of people is so overwhelming that helping them is beyond our capacity. In the past, aid agencies helped, but now aid is very scarce.
“Only God can help them," she said.
What is God? God = migrating to the EU and taking back everything that the Western colonial powers stole from you! They are the ones who caused all of this! They are the ones who should be starving right now, not you!
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https://us.yahoo.com/finance/news/rich-nations-toxic-habits-bring-040051597.html
Rich Nations’ Toxic Habits Bring African Refugees to Their Doors
I like the tone of this headline. However, it is not because they are rich, it is because they are Western. The toxic habits are a consequence of Western civilization, not of being rich. Being rich is a consequence of adeptness at those toxic habits.
“At some point leaving is better than staying; you can walk until you drop dead, but you can’t just sit still until you die from hunger,” the 37-year-old said in an interview in April. “Every year is worse than the previous one.”
The number of Africans trying to make it to the US southern border is on track to hit a potential record this year. Coming from the Democratic Republic of Congo, Mali, Senegal, Ghana, Somalia and elsewhere, many are escaping livelihood-destroying climate events. The continent they’re fleeing is facing natural disasters at a faster rate than the rest of the planet, and is largely unprepared to deal with them. Africa, which has done the least to cause the global climate crisis — producing just 4% of the world’s greenhouse gas emissions — is being hit by record storms, floods and droughts as the earth heats up.
By 2050, 86 million Africans, or about 6.6% of the region’s 1.3 billion people, will be forced to migrate by climate change, the World Bank estimates. That’s on top of those fleeing conflicts and persecution — often linked to climate-related skirmishes over scarce resources. And with Africa’s population expected to double by 2050, those numbers can only rise.
The vast majority of climate victims migrate to other parts of their own country — mostly to urban slums — or spill into a neighboring nation, but those who can scrape together some funds venture farther afield. With over 4,500 Africans crossing the Colombia-Panama border between January and April this year, according to the International Organization for Migration, they have become the second-largest group — after Latin Americans — to try to get to the US border. And although Europe has tightened controls, in the first two months this year, over 89,000 people crossed the Sahara desert in northern Niger, according to the IOM. Most were on their way to — or returning from — Algeria and Libya, the well-worn path to Europe, with nine out of 10 people the IOM spoke to citing climate change as one of the reasons for why they were leaving.
“People are like ‘OK, I can’t live here, I may as well die trying to get somewhere else,’” said Ayaan Adam, chief executive officer of AFC Capital Partners, the unit of the infrastructure-focused Africa Finance Corp. that’s raising $500 million for a climate-resilience fund this year. “This is happening now. We are seeing a preview of the movie that will unroll and that will be increasing in intensity.”
...
Extreme weather events have exploded in Africa. The Horn of Africa is currently dealing with the worst drought in at least four decades, putting 16 million people across Kenya, Ethiopia and Somalia at risk and raising the specter of a famine. In May, South Africa’s deadliest floods in almost three decades triggered landslides that killed 435 people and destroyed thousands of dwellings.
The number of floods in Africa has jumped five-fold since the 1990s, according to GCA. In 2020, the most severe flood in Sudan in 60 years displaced more than 500,000 people. In 2019, two of the strongest cyclones ever recorded hit east Africa. Cyclone Idai destroyed 90% of the homes in the city of Beira in Mozambique and damaged 1.4 million hectares (3.6 million acres) of arable land in Zimbabwe. That was followed by Cyclone Kenneth. Together, they killed 1,300 people and affected the lives of 3.5 million more.
The floods that followed the cyclones provoked the worst locust infestation in a quarter century, leaving 9.6 million people in Sudan without enough food and driving thousands of farmers in Somalia to migrate. Africa loses 4 million hectares of forest each year to land degradation, Lake Chad has shrunk by 90% in the last 40 years and the glaciers on Mount Kilimanjaro are melting.
“Climate change impacts are costing African economies between 3% and 5% of their GDPs,” South African President Cyril Ramaphosa told the African Union on Feb. 6. “Despite not being responsible for causing climate change, it is Africans who are bearing both the brunt and the cost.
...
In an index of 182 countries assessed by the Notre Dame Global Adaptation Initiative for climate-change vulnerability, the bottom seven are African. That comes from the continent’s overwhelming dependence on subsistence farming. About half of Africa’s population relies on agriculture. In the eastern parts of the continent, that number rises to 70%. There’s little irrigation, leaving farmers at the mercy of rain.
For many potential climate refugees, poor crops are where their migration journeys start. Mouhoumoudane Mohamed, 34, from a village in the Agadez region in Niger, left for Algeria in 2019, hoping to make it to Europe.
“One bad harvest followed another; the meager crops that you could squeeze from the soil weren’t enough,” Mohamed said. “The problem in Agadez is the lack of water. When it rains, it’s never enough. Or it’s too heavy and destroys the crops.”
He failed, and is back in Agadez, holding off trying again — for now.
A record 4.3 million people were displaced in 2020 in Sub-Saharan Africa alone due to weather events and conflicts, GCA estimates. Migration within the continent creates problems of its own.
The only hope is mass migration to the EU! Keep trying to get in and get more others to try also! The more people trying simultaneously, the better the chances for all! Climate refugees must organize and coordinate!
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/drought-threatens-starvation-horn-africa-112901307.html
LONDON (Reuters) - Millions of people face severe hunger in the Horn of Africa as the worst drought in more than 40 years could extend to a fifth consecutive failed rainy season, the United Nations and humanitarian agencies warned on Tuesday.
The March-May rainy season appears likely to be the driest on record, devastating livelihoods and deepening a humanitarian emergency in Ethiopia, Somalia and parts of Kenya, including a risk of famine in Somalia, they said in a joint statement.
There is a risk that the October-December rainy season could also fail.
Drought has combined with a global rise in food and fuel prices, pushed up by war in Ukraine, to impact millions of people across the continent.
An estimated 16.7 million people currently face acute food insecurity in east Africa and that figure could increase to 20 million by September, the statement said.
"The threat of starvation looms in east Africa. This is after four failed rainy reasons," said Clare Nullis, spokesperson at the World Meteorological Organization.
"We are particularly concerned that the situation is set to get worse," she told a briefing in Geneva.
Aid agencies are seeking to avoid the repeat of a famine a decade ago that killed hundreds of thousands of people.
Those hundreds of thousands from a decade ago should have migrated to the EU. They didn't, therefore they died. Will people today learn from this previous mistake?
"A rapid scaling up of actions is needed now to save lives and avert starvation and death," the U.N. and agencies said in the joint statement.
The only meaningful action is mass emigration to the EU!
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/torturous-heat-breaking-records-livelihoods-083025491.html
NEW DELHI, India — Street vendor Rohan Mishra wakes before dawn to buy fresh vegetables from the bazaar and steels himself for another day hauling his cart under the punishing New Delhi sun.
Unable to afford time off during India’s record-shattering heat wave, he endures headaches, dizzy spells and nosebleeds as he desperately tries to hawk his produce before it withers in the basket.
“Money has been difficult recently,” Mishra said. “This [weather] is torturous. I frequently have to throw away vegetables because they become mushy and spoil in the heat. We already buy at a steep price because the hot weather has been affecting the harvest.”
Mishra is one of millions of laborers in India and Pakistan who have had to toil through the hottest spring on record, in conditions that scientists fear will soon regularly afflict billions across the globe and contribute to a looming food crisis.
The U.N.’s climate science panel said in February that more than 430 million people globally were exposed to extreme heat in 2020.
Depending on how quickly the global economy reins in carbon emissions, it warned that between half and two-thirds of humanity would be “exposed to periods of life-threatening climatic conditions arising from coupled impacts of extreme heat and humidity” this century.
It said the burden will be disproportionately felt by the urban poor in regions of sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia.
...
“Whether it’s in Madagascar or India, or multiple African countries, we’ve seen this for a while — it’s a dual shock of heat waves and droughts,” he said.
...
Most lower-income families lack access to refrigeration, cold water or air-conditioning — a potentially deadly situation, especially when extreme heat combines with high humidity to create “wet bulb” temperature spikes. High wet-bulb temperatures can hamper the human body’s ability to cool itself through perspiration, meaning just a few hours’ exposure can kill even healthy individuals.
Singh said that even during low-humidity hot spells, older people with underlying health conditions such as lung or heart issues are particularly vulnerable. There is also greater risk of contracting illnesses such as diarrhea, which kills more than half a million children under 5 each year.
“When you don’t have refrigeration, you eat spoiled foods and you can get sick,” Singh said.
Dasgupta said that farmers in the region were increasingly contracting kidney disease as they are unable to find enough water to drink throughout the day when temperatures soar.
The only solution is mass emigration. Sure, becoming a climate refugee may involve risks of its own, but not becoming a climate refugee will eventually mean certain death. We need to think of heatwaves caused by global warming as slow-acting WMDs. They were created by the same civilization that created the other WMDs, and they could end up killing billions of us if we do not flee the bombing. But the fact that these WMDs are slow-acting at least gives us time to flee, unlike with the other WMDs. So why aren't we taking advantage of the slowness to relocate? To avoid being killed, and to be in position to one day hold Western civilization accountable for the bombing, as many of us as possible need to be as near as possible to those who did this to us.
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https://us.yahoo.com/news/time-running-save-horn-africa-174258967.html
"We're out of time. We need money urgently to save lives," UN aid chief Martin Griffiths told a press conference in Geneva, following a two-day visit to Kenya.
The Horn of Africa is experiencing one of the harshest droughts in living memory, with more than 15 million people facing high levels of acute food insecurity and severe water shortages across Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia, the UN said.
The number could reach 20 million if the current below-average rains fail.
"It's likely to get a lot worse for more people in the weeks ahead," Griffiths said, with prospects for the next rainy season from October to December "as dire as the last four" seasons.
...
Griffiths said the Horn of Africa was "particularly underfunded" and funds invested there would be "money well spent... because the suffering is so intense".
In the Sahel region, the situation was "similarly dire".
Up to 18 million people in Africa's semi-arid sub-Saharan belt will face severe food insecurity over the next three months, he said.
The UN humanitarian agency launched its 2022 appeal in December, seeking $41 billion to help 274 million in need of humanitarian aid and protection.
But it now needs $46 billion to help 303 million people, of which it aims to reach 202 million.
Griffiths said donors had so far contributed almost $6 billion so far -- a record high at this point in the year.
But since humanitarian funding has levelled out at about $19 billion a year and the 2022 bill has risen, "we're not even going to make it halfway", he said.
Which is why the only correct solution is mass emigration to the EU. I have been advising people to emigrate early for years. They didn't listen. Now the crisis is here.
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How many more warning signs do you need? Emigrate ASAP!
https://us.yahoo.com/news/birds-falling-sky-india-record-083435523.html
Birds are falling from the sky in India as a record heatwave dries up water sources
...
In India's western Gujarat state, currently averaging temperatures over 110°F, dozens of high flying birds, including pigeons and kites, have been dropping out of the sky every day, Reuters reported.
Vets in an animal hospital in Ahmedabad said they had treated thousands of birds in recent weeks, the outlet said.
...
The nearly "unsurvivable" heat is increasingly the result of human-caused climate change, according to Yale Climate Connections.
Non-Western humans did not cause it.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/northern-hemisphere-feeling-heat-pakistan-005055828.html
Northern Hemisphere feeling the heat as Pakistan hits staggering 51 C
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Continuing from:
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/climate-refugees/msg12828/#msg12828
now:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/india-too-hot-says-modi-104850780.html
NEW DELHI (Reuters) -India is getting too hot too early, raising the risk of fires, Prime Minister Narendra Modi warned on Wednesday, as a heatwave gripped much of the country and a landfill site burned on the capital's outskirts.
"Temperatures are rising rapidly in the country, and rising much earlier than usual," Modi told heads of India's state governments in an online conference.
The extreme heat has swept across large areas of India and Pakistan this week and follows the hottest March since the India Meteorological Department (IMD) began keeping records 122 years ago.
More than a billion people are at risk of heat-related health impacts, scientists said.
This is the number that should become climate refugees ASAP!
SWELTERING
Among the worst hit have been the typically humid eastern Indian states, which saw temperatures above 43C on Wednesday.
"Rarely it happens that nearly the whole country ... is reeling under (a) heatwave," said hydroclimatologist Arpita Mondal at the Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, on the coast of Maharashtra, where she said the heat was "unbearable". Mumbai temperatures hit 37C on Wednesday.
Climate change is "beyond doubt" a contributing factor to the weather extremes, Mondal said.
And which one civilization is singularly to blame for this? This is where climate refugees should head to!
While heat risks lives and livelihoods in India, the real danger comes when high temperatures mix with high humidity, making it difficult for people to cool down through sweating.
...
On Wednesday, cities in southern West Bengal and coastal Odisha saw wet bulb temperatures of around 29C. Humans can survive only a few hours outdoors if wet bulb temperatures exceed 35C.
Emigrate to the EU FFS!
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/climate-change-and-russias-war-in-ukraine-help-push-somalia-to-the-brink-of-famine-231159528.html
After three consecutive years of almost no rain, the East African country of Somalia is in the grips of its worst drought in more than 40 years, according to an analysis by the World Food Programme, the food-assistance branch of the United Nations. Experts say conditions are so dire for the nation’s 16 million residents that a famine threatening millions of people is fast approaching.
The only correct solution is mass emigration.
“A famine could be declared in some parts of the country in the next few months,” Abdi-Rashid Haji Nur, the Somalia country director for Concern Worldwide, told Yahoo News.
Three failed rainy seasons and a fourth now unfolding have resulted in barren harvests, malnourished livestock and such limited natural resources that at least 700,000 Somalians have uprooted their lives and left their homes in hopes of finding safety and sustenance. Many have been forced to set out on long journeys through dangerous terrain and conflict-ridden communities in search of urban centers to access support.
“The situation is not only alarming, but also deteriorating,” Patrick Youssef, regional director of Africa for the International Committee of the Red Cross, told Yahoo News. “People are massively abandoning their homes in search of food and water ... and women and children are dying on the way.”
I of course do not mean internal migration from one part of Somalia to another. I am recommending migration from Somalia, preferably to former colonizers Britain and Italy, or otherwise any former Western colonial power.
From 2010-2012, a quarter of a million Somalis — half of them children — died during the last famine to be caused by drought, according to a report by the U.N. and the U.S.-funded Famine Early Warning Systems Network.
Imagine if all of them had emigrated instead.
Today, more than a third of the population, or 6 million people, are facing severe hunger in a country where seven out of 10 people live on less than two dollars a day, data from the World Food Programme shows.
Estimates show that 350,000 of the 1.4 million severely malnourished children in the country would die by this summer
Emigrate ASAP!
Various humanitarian groups, including Concern Worldwide and the ICRC, are on the ground in Somalia, but insufficient funding and limited access to war-torn parts of the country means they can only do so much. Aid groups say they have raised just 3% of the funds that are needed to help the country.
It is much easier to emigrate.
As evidenced by severe floods in South Africa this week that have left at least 500 dead or missing, the continent of Africa faces the brunt of other countries’ actions. In its latest report, the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change determined that Africa has historically been one of the world’s lowest greenhouse gas emitters, yet suffers some of the most severe effects of climate change.
This is why emigration to the countries whose civilization was behind the Industrial Revolution (which caused global warming) is the correct solution.
n February, 50 Somali and international NGOs in an open letter asked for support from donor nations and the international community, hoping to avoid a repeat of another near famine-like drought a decade ago.
“In 2011, despite the warnings, the international humanitarian system did too little, too late and an estimated 260,000 people lost their lives to a famine,” the letter read in part. “We must make sure that history does not repeat itself.”
I guarantee history will repeat itself unless you emigrate ASAP.
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Similarly:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cBKf-857Bnk
This is just going to get worse over time as water levels rise. The only correct solution is to emigrate. The aim should be to at leat return to the pre-colonial Azanian population which was a much more sensible number:
(https://www.statista.com/graphic/1/1067083/population-south-africa-historical.jpg)
The remainder should move to former colonizers Britain or the Netherlands.
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Continuing from:
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/climate-refugees/msg10011/#msg10011
now:
https://us.yahoo.com/news/india-risks-widespread-blackouts-summer-100220464.html
LONDON (Reuters) -India faces a persistent shortage of electricity over the next four months as rapid demand growth from air conditioners and refrigeration loads overwhelms the available generation on the network.
...
Exceptionally high loads have arrived far earlier this year, well before the most intense period of summer heat, implying the grid is in trouble
...
India's grid is under increasing pressure from the rapid growth in load from commercial and residential air conditioners, refrigeration and other loads, boosting electricity consumption at all levels of coal stocking.
Temperatures in northern India have been unusually high for the time of year since mid-March, resulting in a rapid rise in electricity demand.
Peak daily loads in the seven days centred on April 8 were more than 9% higher than the same period a year earlier.
...
Average daily temperatures rose above 24°C in New Delhi as early as March 13 and power demand has surged since then.
The early arrival of hot weather means there have been 182 cooling degree days so far this year compared with a long-term seasonal average of 99.
But temperatures are likely to continue rising to a peak at the end of June or beginning of July, pushing electricity demand even higher over the next 2-4 months.
Given the grid is already struggling, it is unlikely to be able to serve higher loads between May and August, making load shedding and other power cuts more or less inevitable during any period of unusually hot weather.
Western air conditioners will only make the surroundings hotter still!
(https://howardair.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/02/HowAcWorksinfo.png)
A problem created by Western civilization cannot be solved with more Western civilization!
The correct solution is mass emigration for cooler countries. Preferably those which colonized India in the past. (Which by no coincidence belong to Western civilization which was responsible for causing global warming in the first place! See how it works?)
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Cuba's growing wave of migration, protests erupt over travel restrictions | International News
Many have been dropping everything and some have sold their homes over hopes of joining the mainland migrant highway to the United States but the country is having new travel blocks of people trying to flee.
#Cubans #Migration #Travelblocks
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jpKnaTPPeW4
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https://twitter.com/therecount/status/1501613265163538434
"We’re already seeing climate refugees around the world," he said. "If you think migration has been a problem in Europe in the Syrian War or even from what we see now, wait until you see 100 million people for whom the entire food production capacity has collapsed."
Are we ready to help as many of them get in as possible? And arm them once they are in so that they can fight back if our enemies try to deport them (which our enemies will definitely do)?
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Confronting Environmental Racism: View from the Front Lines of the Climate Justice Struggle
Speakers: Jacqueline Patterson, Environmental and Climate Justice Director, NAACP and Ahmina Maxey, Zero Waste Detroit
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O2bnleKyajo
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"Barbarians at the Gate" (though I strongly disagree with the name; the real barbarians are the ones trying to keep the gates closed).
Fascinating. Was just thinking to myself along similar lines last night. In ancient times barbarian hordes would usually arise outside of city walls and gates, but in modern times with no state doing it's duty to control it's own population and demographics when barbarian hordes arise they are usually already within the city walls and gates. How can any nation-state survive this?
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https://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/19850946.neil-mackays-big-read-mass-migration-coming-future-scotland-asian-says-leading-migration-expert-dr-parag-khanna/
Scotland’s political culture, with its pro-immigration slant, and our geography and natural resources, which see us well placed to withstand the climate crisis, will make us a magnet for a new generation of migrants set to reshape the 21st century.
Dr Parag Khanna – the world’s leading intellectual on migration – presents a stunning analysis of the future. To the pro-immigration side of the political debate, such as Nicola Sturgeon’s SNP, Khanna’s claims will be well received; others, in the populist anti-migrant camp, will be infuriated, even fearful. Khanna’s comments will play directly into Scotland’s increasingly fraught culture wars.
...
WE have always been on the move, says Khanna; migration is a central part of humanity’s long story. Since Western colonisation began, migration sped up.
“In every century since,” Khanna explains, “the number of migrants has increased because the number of drivers of migration has increased.” In the past, some Europeans wanted to get rich in new colonies, others fled disasters like the Irish famine. War played its part, as did the opening up of America, Canada and Australia. When it comes to the progress of migration through the centuries, says Khanna, “the decimal place always moves to the right. We went from millions of migrants to tens of millions in the 18th century”. By the 19th and 20th century, “we’ve got hundreds of millions of migrants”.
Today, climate change has been added to the forces compelling migration. Throughout this century, swathes of the planet will become uninhabitable, it’s predicted, displacing entire populations.
“In this century,” says Khanna, “in just 20 years, climate change already accounts for 30-40 per cent of total displacement in the world.” So, the drivers of migration are now threefold: “You’ve got one-third economic, one-third political [wars and persecution], and one-third climate change and, of course, they all tie together. Look at the Syrian drought which led to urbanisation, political unrest, civil war and an exodus of nearly one-quarter of the population as refugees.”
In this century, says Khanna, “we’re talking about billions of people moving – that’s what I’m trying to explain, literally billions”.
Our mission is to help get them inside wherever it is they choose to relocate.
If the populations of India, Bangladesh and Pakistan are combined they exceed China’s population. Khanna believes it is young people from the sub-continent who will make up the mass of future migrants. Much of the sub-continent faces more climate danger than China, with its higher proportion of “liveable areas”.
Chinese youth is less likely to want to leave home, Khanna believes. China is stable and strong and while young Chinese people might like studying in the West “not everyone wants to be a political revolutionary and live under liberal democratic freedoms”.
Indians also have role models in the shape of migrant tech tycoons like Sundar Pichai, Google CEO, and Twitter CEO Parag Agrawal. Fundamentally, says Khanna, “Indians want to get the hell out of India”. The West needs to prepare for the rise of the “Asian European”.
Our mission is to prepare to fight against those who do not accept this idea.
EUROPE should view mass migration not just as a benefit but a lifeline, Khanna believes. The West’s entire discussion around migration is ****-eyed, he feels. We have low birth rates, ageing populations, not enough workers – especially to care for our growing elderly populations – and plenty of space. “Europe should be competing in a cut-throat manner to recruit as many smart Asians as possible.”
If the Counterculture era had not ended, it might have been this way.
Instead, Europe has seen the rise of anti-immigrant nationalist and populist politics. “You cannot simultaneously hold that labour shortages are becoming more acute and also hold that populism remains an immutable force because the truth is that the more painful the demographic and therefore fiscal circumstances become, the more likely it is that populism will have to bend to economic realities,” Khanna says.
And Turandom disagrees. So what do we do?
IN fact, says Khanna, “populism is complete bull****”. Italy, he points out, “has more migrants than when Matteo Salvini [the right-wing anti-migrant populist leader] was at the peak of his powers”. Khanna notes that after Brexit, demographics and worker shortages now mean “it’s factually easier to migrate to Britain as a young Asian than it was five years ago – and right under Trump’s nose, America became more diverse, more mixed race. We should really view populism for the political blip it is”.
And what about the Turandom countries, you optimistic fool?
Unless Western nations want to decline inexorably, “immigration policy needs to be dictated by supply and demand” not insular notions of identity. Khanna also notes that the current manifestation of populism may, quite literally, be short-lived. The mostly elderly “xenophobic populist generation is heading for the Big Brexit in the Sky”, he says. Meantime, anti-migrant policies are damaging Western economies, he maintains.
And what about the Turandom countries, you optimistic fool?
WESTERN democracies need to change their policies for “pragmatic, rational and self-interested” reasons. If the West continues to adopt anti-immigrant policies, despite the economic and demographic pressures, migrants will still come anyway, only in an uncontrolled, dangerous manner, as we’ve seen in the English channel. Economics and demographics mean eventually “Britain is going to wind up reverting to pro-immigration norms”. Canada, with its liberal policies, “says more about the future of the West than Hungary does”.
The media has skewed the conversation on migration, Khanna believes: concentrating more on bogeymen like Hungary’s authoritarian populist Viktor Orban than Canada’s liberal Justin Trudeau.
Focusing on Orban flies in the face “of the nature of reality”. Says Khanna: “Canada absorbs more people in a few years than the entire population of Hungary; Orban is on his way out, and nobody wants to go to Hungary anyway. We put all this attention on a peripheral loser rather than the greatest mass-migration story of the 21st century: Canada. Shame on us for that. We do ourselves a great disservice.”
WRONG. If we do not finish off Hungary now, one day it will become another Israel.
With demographic destiny staring the West in face, Europeans, says Khanna, “should actually be the most pro-immigrant people in the world.
They should be, but they won't be, and telling them they should be will not make them so. Now I say we should exterminate them, but you won't agree. So they will win. The evil people will win because the moderate people refused to listen to the good people.
KHANNA is an optimist. He believes good sense will prevail in the West
I hope Khanna is correct and I am wrong, but I doubt it.
Khanna points to France for failing miserably on this issue. “I don’t think France will ever get its s*** together,” he says bluntly. Significantly, Islamophobia and hostility to migrants currently dominates French politics.
Khanna sees Germany as the European country leading the way when it comes to creating social unity between races.
Reminder: France has nukes while Germany does not. Can you figure out what this means?
Russia – the world’s biggest wheat exporter – needs farmers, and Bangladesh has people facing rising sea levels … why not put them together and solve two global problems at once? However, clearly, an anti-migrant Kremlin would never countenance such an idea.
And Russia has the biggest nuclear arsenal in the world, whereas Bangladesh has no nukes. Can you figure out what this means?
Whether nationalists and populists like it or not, as climate change bites, populations will have to move.
Nukes bite harder.
KHANNA predicts four scenarios for the future amid mass migration and climate change: the “Regional Fortress” where Western democracies remain relatively stable but simply shut the doors; a “New Middle Ages” of widespread global chaos with more stable regions “fortifying themselves against climate migrants”; “Barbarians at the Gate” where climate change crashes the global economy and there’s anarchy and war; or the optimum “Northern Lights” where the northern habitable parts of the world absorb up to two billion climate migrants and humanity manages to flourish, perhaps even moving seasonally from region to region depending on extremes of weather.
I am betting on a mixture of "Regional Fortress" and "New Middle Ages" if we do nothing. If we get our act together, however, we could upgrade it into "Barbarians at the Gate" (though I strongly disagree with the name; the real barbarians are the ones trying to keep the gates closed). "Northern Lights" will only happen if we destroy all of Turandom first.
Clearly, whether we turn that into a success story or make the journey into the future a bitter one filled with racism and animosity, isn’t just dependent on who leads the country and whether we’re ruled by London or Edinburgh –it’s also down to all of us ordinary citizens, and how we shape our opinions amid the coming “Great Migration” of the 21st century.
The opinions have already been shaped. What it is really down to is whether those with anti-racist opinions have enough animosity to be willing to ruthlessly exterminate those with racist opinions. I do. Khanna, however, clearly does not (seeing as he thinks animosity is a bad thing).
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Migrants and asylum seekers trying to enter the US are often forced to traverse the harsh environment of the Sonoran desert in order to avoid border patrols and fortified crossing points. This hazardous journey is putting many of them under severe physical stress, according to researchers, with many dying in the heat due to dehydration and organ failure.
This risk will only intensify as the world heats up further due to human activity, with the research finding that in the next three decades migrants will become so dehydrated in the desert that they will have to carry 34% more water with them in order to survive.
“Crossing the border across these extreme environments is really dangerous for humans to do and in the next 30 years, with rising temperatures, it’s going to become even more extreme and push those levels to even further beyond what humans can actually sustain,” said Hallie Walker, a researcher at the University of Idaho and co-author of the research, published in Science. “It is incredibly dangerous.”
...and yet another reason why rightists refuse to tackle climate change.
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/climate-crisis-killing-migrants-trying-190007007.html
Undocumented migrants who attempt to cross the border from Mexico to the US are disproportionately dying in a harsh stretch of desert that is becoming deadlier due to the climate crisis, a new research has found.
Migrants and asylum seekers trying to enter the US are often forced to traverse the harsh environment of the Sonoran desert in order to avoid border patrols and fortified crossing points. This hazardous journey is putting many of them under severe physical stress, according to researchers, with many dying in the heat due to dehydration and organ failure.
This risk will only intensify as the world heats up further due to human activity, with the research finding that in the next three decades migrants will become so dehydrated in the desert that they will have to carry 34% more water with them in order to survive.
“Crossing the border across these extreme environments is really dangerous for humans to do and in the next 30 years, with rising temperatures, it’s going to become even more extreme and push those levels to even further beyond what humans can actually sustain,” said Hallie Walker, a researcher at the University of Idaho and co-author of the research, published in Science. “It is incredibly dangerous.”
In the year to 30 September, US border agents apprehended more than 1.7 million people attempting to cross from Mexico into the US. Many of those who avoid arrest do so by taking on the daunting journey across the Sonoran desert, a rocky, scrubby expanse of land in Mexico and the southwestern US that oscillates between scorching heat in summer to freezing conditions in winter and contains more species of rattlesnake than any region in the world.
An estimated 350 people a year, many fleeing violence and persecution at home, die attempting this crossing, with some of these deaths due to suicide, exposure or car accidents. Researchers found, however, that a significant risk is the loss of fluids in a region where summer temperatures can reach 48C (118F).
Using a model that factored in the physical toll of making a journey from Nogales, a Mexican border city and Three Points, Arizona, the study found that people can succumb to the conditions within just a few days, with migrants often ill-prepared for the journey. The stress is highest for pregnant women and children, with the research finding that a pregnant women needs nearly 12 liters of water a day to survive making the trek in June.
Many do not get the adequate water and rest required, leading to deaths. The study found a “significant correlation between high levels of predicted evaporative water loss and the density of deaths” which “strongly implicate temperature and water availability as major contributors to broader patterns of migrant mortality during summer”.
The loss of water can cause disorientation and hallucinations, before becoming potentially fatal. The research cites interviews with migrants who explain how their toenails fell off during long hikes over the desert’s mountains or how they lost their eyesight and suffered chest pains as they struggled onward.
“Essentially the US is funneling individuals into places that they experience such extreme physiological stress that I, as an evolutionary biologist, couldn’t get approval from my university to put animals through the sorts of stresses that individuals are being put through,” said Shane Campbell-Staton, a researcher at Princeton and lead author of the study. “That’s how extreme these physiological stresses are.”
Migrants crossing the US’ southern border have become a political target in recent years, with Donald Trump instituting punishing detention and child separation policies, as well as a system known as “remain in Mexico”, which expels people back to Mexico as their claim to stay in the US is considered. Joe Biden opposed this plan but recently reinstated it following a legal challenge from two states.
This sort of deterrence is unlikely to completely halt people from seeking refuge in the US, particularly those increasingly fleeing intolerable conditions in Mexico and Central America that are being worsened by the climate crisis. A series of droughts and storms have wreaked havoc upon communities, particularly farmers, forcing them to seek livable alternatives further north.
“We knowingly kill them at the border. And yet we ignore them once they’re here, when they’re doing the jobs that Americans don’t want to do,” said Jason De Leon, an anthropologist at the University of California, Los Angeles, who was also involved in the study.
“I think we were about to live in a climatic version of the book Children of Men, where instead of a fertility issue, we’re dealing now with a global climatic issue. We are seeing people having to leave their homes because of climate change,” he added. “And I think that we can no longer disentangle those two things, that they’re intimately related and it’s only going to get worse, unfortunately for a lot of people around the globe.”
Which is why I keep saying over and over again: don't wait for the main rush; get out as early as you can!
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/op-ed-climate-migration-worsen-111523464.html
Op-Ed: Climate migration will worsen the brutality and chaos on the Mediterranean
In July 2018, an Italian-flagged oil supply ship called the Asso 28 that was crossing the Mediterranean Sea encountered a stalled rubber raft carrying 100 desperate migrants. Trying to make the dangerous journey from Libya to Europe, the migrants had reached international waters when the supply ship rescued them. But the ship’s captain opted not to take the migrants to a port of safety in Europe, as required by law, but back to a gulag of migrant detention facilities in Libya
...
Since at least 2017, the EU, led by Italy, has trained and equipped the Libyan coast guard to serve as a proxy maritime force, whose central purpose is to stop migrants from reaching European shores. Frontex, the EU border agency, locates migrant rafts, then alerts the Italians, who, in turn, inform the Libyan authorities. Once captured by the Libyan coast guard, tens of thousands of these migrants are then delivered into a dozen or so detention centers run by militias.
For the EU, and for the ship captains working the Mediterranean, the challenge of handling desperate migrants fleeing hardships in their native countries is only going to grow more pronounced.
Climate change is expected to displace 150 million people across the globe in the next 50 years. Rising seas, desertification and famine will drive the desperate to places like Europe and the U.S., testing the moral character and political imagination of countries better prepared to survive an overheated planet.
...
Though it routinely opens fire on migrant rafts and has been tied to human trafficking, the coast guard continues to draw strong EU support. This year, the EU shipped six new speedboats to the coast guard, which uses them to capture migrants.
Even though the EU denies directly financing the abuse of migrants in Libya, an investigation by the Outlaw Ocean Project showed that EU money, typically flowing through humanitarian aid agencies, was nonetheless essential to the operation of both the coast guard and the detention centers where the migrants were kept.
I had long been interested in reporting on Libya’s gulag of migrant jails. A month before I was to head to Libya in May, I saw a tweet from an aid group about a shooting in one of Libya’s most notorious detention centers, Al Mabani, or “The Building,” located in the heart of the capital city of Tripoli. The victim was a young migrant from North Africa named Aliou Candé, who had been captured and sent there a few weeks earlier.
Through interviews, I learned that Candé was 28 and grew up on a farm near a remote village in Guinea Bissau, a place without plumbing or electricity. He was a fan of soccer and music, and in addition to speaking French and English, he was learning Portuguese in hopes of joining a brother in Portugal. He had a reputation as a dogged worker, who avoided trouble of any kind. “People respected him,” his brother Jacaria said.
But Candé would become a climate migrant — droughts in Guinea Bissau had become more common and longer; flooding became more unpredictable and damaging. His crops — cassava, mangoes and cashews — were failing and his children were hungry.
...
Roughly 70 miles from Libya, the Libyan coast guard rammed the migrants’ raft three times, then ordered them to climb a ladder to the ship. The migrants were taken back to land, loaded by armed guards into buses and trucks, and driven to Al Mabani.
Hundreds of detainees have died in these jails, subjected to deplorable conditions and violence by guards. Candé was killed in April when guards opened fire into part of the prison to stop a fight among detainees.
...
No one was punished for Candé’s death.
...
Of course, the EU is not alone in trying to outsource the dirty work of containing migration. In the last decade, the U.S. government has sought to reduce the flow of Latin American migrants to this country by pressuring Mexico to stop migrants at its southern border before they reach the U.S. So-called “remote vetting” for those seeking asylum also enables U.S. immigration authorities to avoid the quandary of what to do with people whose applications were denied but who come from places that lack deportation agreements. Migrants in detention centers in Mexico face extremely poor conditions, including overcrowding and lack of healthcare services, according to the Global Detention Project, a human rights organization based in Geneva.
Violence initiated against refugees can only be stopped by retaliatory violence against border forces.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WKFKbfa1bgs
The only serious solution is mass emigration. The most obvious choices of destination for Indians are probably Britain, Canada, Australia, etc., but other good destinations are Netherlands, Denmark, France, Austria, Portugal and Sweden:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colonial_India
Dutch India 1605–1825
Danish India 1620–1869
French India 1668–1954
Austrian India 1778–1785
Portuguese India
(1505–1961)
...
British India
(1612–1947)
...
Swedish East India Company 1731–1813
Even if ~100 million Indians emigrated to each of the above listed destinations, the remaining population would be ~1.4 billion - ~900 million = ~500 million, which is still several times higher than the pre-colonial population:
(https://trueleft.createaforum.com/proxy.php?request=http%3A%2F%2Ftheindianeconomy.weebly.com%2Fuploads%2F2%2F8%2F5%2F2%2F28524903%2F8314287.jpg%3F712&hash=542169275e12c977041ad5ef6dacafc8b01df20b)
but it would be a start.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6ImB2S8BpyE
Sending emergency supplies is just a temporary fix. Facilitating mass emigration (which requires other countries willing to open their borders) until the population falls back below the land's reduced carrying capacity is the true answer.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C52lLelOxEE
The mistake is to merely move from rural areas into urban areas. The carrying capacity of the entire country is lower than what it used to be due to increased temperatures, so relocating within the country doesn't really help (and even makes things worse as the video outlines). The correct response should be to emigrate (preferably to one of the countries which invaded Iraq in 2003):
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_invasion_of_Iraq
Coalition:
United States
United Kingdom
Australia
Poland
...
Supported by:
Italy
Netherlands
Spain
until the remaining population falls back below the new carrying capacity.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PNTWdO9Q3zM
Do you think this weakling can get borders open for climate refugees? Neither do I.
Getting borders open will require willingness to use WMDs on those who refuse to comply. It is that simple.
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If you are living somewhere where it hasn't rained for over a year, emigrate!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y5JKdNKdud4
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Only a vague beginning, but hopefully can lead to something more concrete:
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/white-house-report-opens-door-refugee-status-climate-activists-environmental-defenders
The "Report on the Impact of Climate Change on Migration" includes claims that "there is an interplay between climate change and various aspects of eligibility for refugee status."
It goes on to state that if a government that denies "relief from the impact of climate change to specific individuals who share a protected characteristic in a manner and to a degree amounting to persecution" then that could open such people to refugee status.
It also states that "adverse impacts of climate change" could affect whether someone has a viable relocation alternative within their own country.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ncd-n6vd5xI
Emigration is the obvious solution, but enough people will emigrate in time only if they are confident they will be accepted as climate refugees. This is why we need to get all the borders back open ASAP. On the other hand, we will need demographic pressure on the borders in order to open them, so I still recommend climate refugees start migrating even if currently it is uncertain they will be accepted. At least the media will have to report people starving right at the borders which can be seen refusing to let them in. Whereas if people stay put and starve, it is much easier to dismiss as something happening elsewhere irrelevant to the countries keeping their borders closed (even though the closed borders are precisely what is keeping the migrants stuck where they must starve!).
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https://www.ft.com/content/415f4a8c-cab4-4f95-99aa-b347bb510365
Migration will soon be the biggest climate challenge of our time
As heat, drought and rising sea levels make regions uninhabitable, millions of people will need to find new homes
The writer is the author of ‘Move: How Mass Migration Will Reshape the World — and What It Means For You’
… As heat, rising seas and drought render swaths of the planet uninhabitable, millions, if not billions of people may eventually have to relocate to terrain in the latitudes best suited to survival. The toughest challenge that lies before us isn’t reducing emissions, it’s relocating people. …
Tens of millions more Asians may be forced to relocate permanently across Eurasia as parts of Asia become uninhabitable and livelihoods dry up. …
We must bridge the gap between the hyper-sensitised and short-term political discourse around migration and the collective strategy needed to house humanity. Speaking of human geography rather than migration can be a powerful rhetorical tool, for it emphasises that we are all in the same boat and gently shifts the focus from narrow national sovereignty to expansive planetary stewardship.
In a world with a changing climate, we need a new division of labour among the continents. South America and Africa will become ever more regions of emigrants. North America and Eurasia must absorb more people, while recirculating them from the water-stressed southern US and south Asia into more fertile inland areas. There will be climate pioneers who terraform difficult new terrain in places such as Canada and Russia for millions of future migrants.
Our political cartography will also evolve. Sinking South Pacific islands will need to be abandoned for Australia and New Zealand, which will in effect become their protectorates within a collective Oceania rather than meaningful sovereigns. Today’s fiscally strained and depopulating Visegrad countries could fuse into a larger federation to better administer their vital forests, agriculture and rivers in order to prepare for demographic replenishment by Arabs and Asians.
And if war is required to make it happen, we should be positively keen to begin bombing.
Many scholars ask: what lies beyond sovereignty? If we are wise, the answer will be “programmable geography” — recoding places based on their changing roles in our fluid global system. Habitable geography is our most precious terrestrial resource, and we must optimise it for those that come after us. Adapting sovereignty to a new reality is what we owe the future.
This guy obviously does not understand sovereignty. Authentic (autocratic) sovereignty means the individual ruler can say: "This is my country and welcoming refugees is my decision, and existing residents who don't like my decision can leave." Sovereignty is the antidote to nativism. It is because we presently don't have strong enough sovereignty that nativists think the country belongs to them! I like the idea of programmable geography, but only absolute dictators can be effective programmers.
Anyway:
https://www.amazon.com/Move-Migration-Reshape-World-Means-ebook/dp/B08T17WCC5
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vyiRXBBdB4Y
Hurry up and emigrate from the affected areas! Don't wait for the main rush!
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XyXIZNVRfhc
Then at least one in three Afghans should emigrate ASAP. The carrying capacity of Afghanistan has been decreased by the drought. Sending food in is only a stop-gap measure. The only long-term solution is for people to move out until the remaining population falls back below the new carrying capacity.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DLz25OQn3Ng
Note 0:25-0:39; mainstream news is starting to incorporate our line!
The civilization primarily responsible for global warming should be the one which primarily bears the burden of its consequences. Western countries, especially France (and arguably Portugal) which formerly colonized Madagascar, have a duty to take in the entire population of Madagascar (~28 million) if necessary. If a fraction of the world must starve in the climate crisis, it should first be the fraction from the bloodlines which drove the Industrial Revolution, not those from the bloodlines (such as in the video) which had absolutely nothing to do with it. (And if those who should starve first refuse to starve first, we should make them eat WMDs (which, by no coincidence, also exist due to their bloodlines). As I keep repeating, it is poetic justice to unleash the full power of modern weapons against the civilization which invented them in the first place.)
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https://unherd.com/2021/07/the-walls-are-going-up-across-europe/
The walls are going up across Europe
The EU is preparing for a militarised war on immigration
...
the Europe of 2021 is not the Europe of 2015, and Europe’s leaders have no appetite for a return of the political turmoil that followed Merkel’s experiment with open borders. Distracted by Brexit and imported American culture wars, Britain’s remaining pro-EU contingent have neglected to follow the developing consensus on the continent, where the hard line on migration for which Viktor Orbán was lambasted by liberal commentators back in 2015 has now entered the political mainstream.
Which is exactly what I warned would happen unless WMDs were dropped on Hungary.
When asked whether Germany had a duty to open the country’s doors to Afghan migration, even Merkel herself recently responded that “we cannot solve all of these problems by taking everyone in”.
I told you Merkel was a coward.
The Austrian government has decisively swung towards the Central European approach of hardened borders and expedited returns to countries of origin, with Kurz stressing that he would not halt deportations to Afghanistan, as Sweden and Finland already have, a reflection of a public mood darkened by recent high-profile crimes carried out by Afghan asylum seekers. Like centre-left Denmark, which is accelerating both its return of refugees to Syria and the search, apparently along with the UK, of third-party countries in Africa willing to host refugees and migrants on its behalf, the new mood in Austria is not the result of the populist Right coming to power, but instead of centrist parties adopting solutions that were in 2015 considered the sole preserve of the radical Right.
And why did this happen? Because everyone saw that there were no WMD-level consequences for Denmark's behaviour. Whatever is not punished will spread.
As in Spain, where the next government is likely to be a coalition between the centre-right PP and the radical right Vox, in Italy a coalition government between the centre-Right and the far-Right looms in the wings. Indeed, Salvini’s Lega is now so outflanked on its Right by the rising power of Georgia Meloni’s post-fascist Brothers of Italy party, the most popular political party in the country, that it can be considered centre-Right itself, so far has the country’s Overton Window shifted. In France, where Macron has angrily rejected an imported American racial culture war in favour of the country’s homegrown culture war over Islam and the possibility of civil war, the soi-disant liberal saviour from the perceived populist menace has moved so far to the Right that the roughly even chances of a Le Pen victory in the forthcoming presidential election seem almost irrelevant in defining the country’s political trajectory.
I predicted all of this. If you are too squeamish to use a few WMDs at an early stage, this is what you get.
Perhaps it is Greece that highlights best not just the shifting mood in Europe’s external border states, but the shifting mood in Brussels itself. When Erdogan opened Turkey’s land borders with Greece in spring last year, bussing migrants to the border fences in a confrontation that came uncomfortably close to war, Greece’s militarised response unexpectedly won applause rather than censure from the EU hierarchy, as well as the swift dispatch of both Frontex border guards and funds to build an impassable border wall, now being beefed up with EU surveillance zeppelins and drones. Rather than a rerun of the 2015 migrant crisis, when Europe functioned as a ready source of monetary tribute to an embattled Erdogan, last year’s Evros crisis functioned as a dry run for the coming Afghan wave.
Again, this is what happens when no WMDs are dropped on Greece.
Once again, the exact same fortification project Orbán was condemned for in 2015 was hurriedly paid for by the EU in 2020, and presented as a heartening symbol of EU solidarity by 2021. From the Baltic to the Aegean, walls are going up across the eastern marches of the European continent, which will soon define the bloc against the huddling masses straining to get in.
So now, it will be innocent refugees dying instead of those who deserve to die.
Meanwhile, Europe’s only interest in Libya is which faction can most effectively police migrants, just as its only interest in Tunisia’s ongoing coup will be the maintenance of this summer’s border policing deal.
...
it is difficult to think, given the steady rightward drift of European politics, that an Open Borders attitude will win out against the simpler solution of a hands-on European effort to prevent migrants entering the EU.
Only the threat of American WMDs can turn it around now.
The expansion of the EU’s Frontex border agency into a 10,000 strong armed rapid deployment force indicates the direction of travel. Indeed, we are already seeing early manifestations of this approach, both in the pushbacks of migrants in the Aegean by the Greek coastguard with Frontex support, and in the growing legal restrictions on the activity of Western European NGO boats blamed for accelerating the migrant flow. Both were placed with the quiet acquiescence of Brussels, despite the protests of Northern European Green parties.
All this is, of course, a dry run for the almost certainly militarised and exclusionary border policing efforts that will grapple with the vast population movements from Africa and South Asia that will attend the coming decades of climate change. Already, Bangladeshis are the largest single national group making the dangerous crossing from North Africa, and it is not difficult to see a desertifying Sahel or collapsing Lebanon adding new sudden crises for European leaders torn between their desire to maintain allegiance to postwar liberal ideals on asylum and the increasing desire of their voting publics to reject them. The avowedly open, cosmopolitan Europe of the 1990s and 2000s is already dead, and even the lame duck Merkel and her ailing CDU party have abandoned the Wir schaffen das attitude of 2015 in the face of the coming wave.
So, will the US tell the EU to either accept all refugees who arrive, or be nuked? Does America understand that this is the true destined mission of its nuclear arsenal?
The walls are going up across Europe: we will not see them coming down again in our lifetimes.
Unless they are bombed down by a woke America.
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https://www.yahoo.com/news/more-climate-migrants-cross-borders-125013801.html
As more climate migrants cross borders seeking refuge, laws will need to adapt
Climate change is upending people’s lives around the world, but when droughts, floods or sea level rise force them to leave their countries, people often find closed borders and little assistance.
Part of the problem is that today’s laws, regulations and international agreements about migrants, asylum-seekers and refugees offer few, if any, special protection to those forced to leave because of climate conditions.
National laws focus primarily on violence and conflict as drivers of forced migration and rarely consider environmental stress. In fact, no nation’s immigration system currently has environmental criteria for admission. International agreements such as the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration and the Global Compact for Refugees mention the impacts of natural disasters and environmental degradation, but they are not legally binding.
The Biden administration has started exploring ways to identify and assist people who are displaced by climate change. But climate-driven migration is complicated.
Often, the environmental stressors associated with climate change are only one factor pushing people to migrate. For example, many migrants from Guatemala trying to enter the U.S. have struggled under severe droughts or storms, but many also fear crime and violence if they move to cities in their homeland to find work. Others are seeking opportunities that they and their children don’t have.
Of course everyone is being braindead here. Climate change itself is a form of violence! Those who experience it never consented to it! Western civilization went ahead with the Industrial Revolution without regard for anyone's consent! So in actuality, current refugee laws require accepting all climate refugees because they are all fleeing the violence of the Industrial Revolution!
As experts in migration and climate risk, we have been studying how climate change is displacing people within their own countries and often pushing them to cross borders. Here are some of the key challenges the Biden administration faces and reasons this effort can’t wait.
How many climate migrants are there?
No one knows exactly how many climate migrants exist now or how many people will become climate migrants in the future, but current estimates are high.
In the coming years, the rapid pace of climate change combined with a global population nearing 8 billion people is likely to create unprecedented stress around the world. Recent studies show that dry spells and drought are already associated with increased migration.
As that stress intensifies, the need to escape hazards and threats is replacing the desire to seek opportunity as the key driver of international migration.
Disasters caused more than 23 million people a year to relocate over the past decade, the majority of them within their own countries, according to the World Meteorological Organization’s State of the Global Climate Report. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts that this will increase as global warming intensifies. The World Bank projects that climate change will drive 143 million people in Latin America, Africa and South Asia alone to leave their homes by 2050. Many come from poor regions that have contributed little to global warming.
Legal definitions of ‘refugee’ are narrow
Until recently, scholars identified wars and conflict as principal sources of displacement.
Starting in the 1980s, some scholars began using the term “environmental refugee” for those forced to leave their homes because of disruptions related to human or naturally produced environmental events, such as desertification, deforestation, land degradation and rising sea levels.
But the international definition of refugee doesn’t include climate change.
The U.N.’s 1951 Refugee Convention establishes the obligations and responsibilities its member nations have to refugees. It defines refugees as people who are forced to flee their homelands because of fear of persecution based on race, religion, nationality, membership in a particular social group or political opinion.
In contrast, international law does not clearly define migrants or climate migrants. Thus, all migrants are subject to the immigration laws of their destination countries. Since these immigration laws also lack environmental criteria for accepting migrants, climate migrants often have nowhere to go.
Ridiculous! Global warming is known to hit the tropical regions hardest. It is also common knowledge habitat temperature exerts selective pressure:
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/human-evolution/temperature-effects/
Therefore tropical people can be considered a race! Therefore climate refugees are indeed persecuted based on race! (Note: the Industrial Revolution was not introduced by tropical people.)
Changing views of climate migration
While climate migrants are not legally considered refugees, many are highly vulnerable.
Lacking resources, climate migrants are likely to be poorer than most other international migrants. This may put them at a disadvantage as more countries’ policies scrutinize the economic prospects of immigrants before permitting them entry.
Yet climate migrants do not fit cleanly into categories of those who migrate voluntarily and those who are displaced by factors beyond their control.
Nonsense. See above.
Take the case of Ioane Teitiota, a man from the island nation of Kiribati who sought refugee status in New Zealand in 2013. He was ultimately deported on the grounds that his life wasn’t in immediate danger in his homeland. But while Kiribati isn’t underwater yet, it is under stress as habitable land becomes more scarce and water supplies become contaminated by saltwater.
The U.N. Human Rights Commission rejected Teitiota’s appeal in 2020, but it also warned that governments could be in violation of U.N. agreements if they send people back to situations where climate change has created life-threatening risks.
Rethinking the role of disasters
Climate change and other environmental stresses have increasingly become drivers of displacement, but in ways that do not fit neatly within the bright dichotomy that law and policy use to distinguish between refugees and other people on the move.
We believe it’s time for countries worldwide to rethink the role of disasters and climate change in migration, recognize the rights of those displaced by environmental causes and reform international and national laws and policies, which are out of date with what’s known today about climate change and displacement. Nations may be reluctant to offer what may seem like a new portal for migrants, but evidence suggests those numbers will only rise, and countries need to be prepared.
Yes. But on top of that, what is really needed is willingness for countries which accept refugees to militarily retaliate against countries which do not. Ignoring climate refugees for a moment and looking at refugees that are already officially recognized, it remains the case that many are rejected every day. In other words, official recognition does not guarantee acceptance. And the countries which reject refugees face no devastating consequences and hence have no incentive to improve their behaviour. As such, merely changing the definition of "refugee" to include climate refugees will mean nothing: countries which reject refugees will just continue to do so secure in the knowledge that they will face no devastating consequences. The only way to guarantee that all climate refugees are accepted is for every country to know that not accepting refugees guarantees that country will be nuked. There is nothing hyperbolic about this.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CvaI9nxSKAw
All climate refugees must be accepted into whichever country they choose to go to. All who try to prevent climate refugees from being accepted must be physically eliminated:
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/enemies/
All who support climate refugees being accepted, together with the climate refugees themselves, must be better armed than those trying to stop them:
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/true-left-vs-false-left/firearms/
It is that simple.
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Hope on the horizon?
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2021/04/22/ap-biden-mulling-offering-asylum-other-legal-protections-climate-migrants/
President Biden issued an executive order on February 4 ordering national security adviser Jake Sullivan to produce a report by August 3 on “Planning for the Impact of Climate Change on Migration,” including options for protecting and resettling climate change-displaced persons.
...
Specifically, the legislation would create a U.S. resettlement pathway for people displaced by climate change,” among other things.
“We have a greater chance now than ever before to get this done,” Markey told AP, citing the president’s climate diplomacy and awareness of the problem.
The World Meteorological Organization released a report Monday claiming that climate change has displaced an average of 23 million people annually since 2010 and nearly 10 million recorded in the first half of 2020 alone, especially in Asia and East Africa.
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Kamala Harris on water wars:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nHlxxfwne0k
(https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d0/Water_withdrawals_per_capita%2C_OWID.svg/1200px-Water_withdrawals_per_capita%2C_OWID.svg.png)
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Climate ravages: Sea swallows parts of Senegal's UNESCO World Heritage site
About 30 world leaders are participating in the 2021 One Climate Summit online, discussing critical issues pertaining to the environment. One place under threat from rising sea levels is the city of Saint Louis in Senegal. France and the World Bank have donated more than $40m to help people living in the UNESCO World heritage site cope as their city is eroded by the rising tides.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zmHzJCvbuQE
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Climate refugees: The quest for a haven from extreme weather events
People who are driven from their homes by wildfires, floods and hurricanes are seeking areas less ravaged by our worsening climate and rising sea levels. Correspondent David Pogue examines how those with the means are relocating to "climate haven cities," and visits one city whose mayor boosts its lack of hurricanes and wildfires.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SByFy9R6320
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Climate-Related Events Could Force Millions to Migrate in Next 50 Years
climate change could force millions of people to migrate in the next 50 years.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=659wt5Rxrj0
violetcloud009
3 hours ago
Imagine the hardships our children and grandchildren have to face because of our insensitivity today. Let’s act now, however small the action might be.
Veronica Page Laflin
3 hours ago
The South Americans who's everything's on fire moved North only to get put in cages
Damireddy sisters
6 hours ago
This is a really important matter
Everyone shall know about this
SouthAsian Report
4 hours ago
The world will reshape for sure. And the villain of this reshape is Two leggie Human kind.
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Good to see this issue back in the news:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/07/23/magazine/climate-migration.html
As their land fails them, hundreds of millions of people from Central America to Sudan to the Mekong Delta will be forced to choose between flight or death. The result will almost certainly be the greatest wave of global migration the world has seen.
For most of human history, people have lived within a surprisingly narrow range of temperatures, in the places where the climate supported abundant food production. But as the planet warms, that band is suddenly shifting north. According to a pathbreaking recent study in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, the planet could see a greater temperature increase in the next 50 years than it did in the last 6,000 years combined. By 2070, the kind of extremely hot zones, like in the Sahara, that now cover less than 1 percent of the earth’s land surface could cover nearly a fifth of the land, potentially placing one of every three people alive outside the climate niche where humans have thrived for thousands of years. Many will dig in, suffering through heat, hunger and political chaos, but others will be forced to move on. A 2017 study in Science Advances found that by 2100, temperatures could rise to the point that just going outside for a few hours in some places, including parts of India and Eastern China, “will result in death even for the fittest of humans.”
...
People are already beginning to flee. In Southeast Asia, where increasingly unpredictable monsoon rainfall and drought have made farming more difficult, the World Bank points to more than eight million people who have moved toward the Middle East, Europe and North America. In the African Sahel, millions of rural people have been streaming toward the coasts and the cities amid drought and widespread crop failures. Should the flight away from hot climates reach the scale that current research suggests is likely, it will amount to a vast remapping of the world’s populations.
The time to start migrating is now in order to avoid the final rush.
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OLD CONTENT
I told you it was only a matter of time before this was going to happen:
www.vice.com/en_in/article/mbmaqy/india-continues-to-be-ravaged-by-floods-and-drought-at-the-same-time
As various reports show India approaching ‘Day Zero’ (the day when a place’s taps dry out and people have to stand in line to collect a daily quota of water), a top Indian expert has warned that Indians may soon become “water refugees” who’ll migrate to water-rich European countries. Rajendra Singh, a Magsaysay-winning conservationist and environmentalist, and popularly known as the “Waterman of India”, made this statement at the recently-concluded Stockholm International Water Institute.
...
“In India, such migration is taking place from villages to cities. However, the current water crisis may lead to such climatic migration in the future to other countries,” he told The Press Trust of India. In fact, in India, a March 2019 report by the World Resources Institute has warned that the climate change impact will be considerable because of its large population—at 1.37 billion as of September 18—depending heavily on environment-sensitive sectors such as agriculture. “These factors make adaptation critical,” says the report.
This will also occur elsewhere.
If we do not ruthlessly eliminate all the people who want to keep borders closed, the refugee death toll we have seen up until now will be nothing compared to what we will witness in the future.
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https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/united-nations-human-rights-commissioner-criticises-australias-asylum-seeker-policies/ar-AAIuPhc
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www.rt.com/usa/471887-climate-change-pentagon-interventions/
Behind the dull title of “Implications of climate change for the US Army” lies a 52-page report by a team of scientists outlining apocalyptic scenarios: conflicts driven by hundreds of millions of people displaced by rising sea levels; collapse of the US power grid and transportation; and the inability of the Army itself to provide water for its troops, to name but a few.
...
The authors see climate-related disasters displacing hundreds of millions of people around the world – giving Bangladesh as one example vulnerable to rising sea levels, with the refugees then triggering conflict in the already unstable and nuclear-armed Indian Subcontinent.
Such crises may require US Army intervention, from disaster response by the Army Corps of Engineers to military operations. However, the report warns, if the water shortages get worse – as they are predicted to – the Army is “precipitously close to mission failure concerning hydration of the force in a contested arid environment.” Operations in places like Syria, Iraq or Afghanistan over the past 27 years will no longer be possible simply due to inability to secure enough water for the troops.
This is why the best way is generally not to try to help at the disaster-hit countries, but to simply let all refugees into destination countries as they arrive by themselves.
As for people in prospective disaster countries, I strongly suggest not waiting for the disaster to hit, but to start moving out as soon as you have the means to do so. The more people emigrate early, the less chaotic the final emigration rush can be.
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finance.yahoo.com/news/far-more-people-risk-rising-160000590.html
The research by Climate Central www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-12808-z, a U.S.-based non-profit climate science and news organisation, underscored the scale of the upheaval projected to unfold as global warming increasingly threatens some of the world's most densely-populated regions.
The study found that 300 million people are now living on land that is likely to flood at least once a year on average by mid-century without adequate sea defences, even if governments manage to make sharp cuts in emissions.
Earlier estimates had put that figure at about 80 million. China, Bangladesh, India and Vietnam account for the bulk of the at-risk population.
...
The risks were underlined last month when the U.N.-backed Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change released a landmark report on oceans that said sea levels could rise by one metre (3.3 ft) by 2100 -- ten times the rate in the 20th century -- if carbon emissions keep climbing.
Even if governments manage some curbs on emissions, the new study, published in Nature Communications, said that about 237 million people spread across China, Bangladesh, India, Vietnam, Indonesia, and Thailand are likely to face annual flooding by mid-century, unless they establish adequate sea defences.
By 2100, if emissions continue unchecked, and ice sheets rapidly disintegrate, then land where 250 million people now live in those six countries will fall below the waterline at high tide -- putting almost five times more people at risk than assessments based on previous elevation data had found.
Migration must be made as easy as possible for as many people as possible as soon as possible. The worst scenario would be if the greatest need to migrate from disaster-hit countries coincides in timing with policies most hostile to immigrants in destination countries. With Salvini etc. around, this scenario is highly possible.
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Nydia Velasquez means well:
velazquez.house.gov/media-center/press-releases/vel-zquez-introduces-historic-bill-protect-environmental-migrants
Washington, DC – Rep. Nydia M. Velázquez (D-NY) has introduced H.R. 4732, the Climate Displaced Person’s Act of 2019, first-of-its-kind legislation aimed at addressing the growing effect of climate change on human migration.
Importantly, the bill would create formal protections for climate-displaced persons (CDPs). CDPs are individuals who have been forcibly displaced by climate change or climate-induced disruptions, such as sea-level rise, glacial outburst floods, desertification or fires. According to studies by the International Organization for Migration (IOM), there could be as many as 200 million CDPs by 2050 globally. In fact, these predictions could easily be exceeded with the intensification of political instability and armed conflict resulting from climate drivers.
In response, Velázquez's legislation would create a humanitarian program separate from the U.S. refugee admissions program. The new program would admit a minimum of 50,000 CDPs, beginning with Fiscal Year 2020, allowing CDPs to access resettlement opportunities. The President would be granted authority to further promote resilience among communities facing the impacts of climate change as well as directed to collect and maintain data on displacement caused by climate change.
“Despite this Administration’s efforts to strip the world’s most vulnerable populations of refuge, America will continue to stand tall as a safe haven for immigrants,” said Velázquez. “This legislation will not only reaffirm our nation’s longstanding role as a home to those fleeing conflict and disasters, but it will also update it to reflect changes to our world brought on by a changing climate.”
50000/year is orders of magnitude too low, however. Going by the above estimate of 300 million climate refugees, it would take 6000 years to admit them all! Even if the US accepts only 25% of all climate refugees (as US GDP is ~25% of world GDP), that would take 1500 years, which is ludicrous. Do people these days even bother to number-crunch anymore?
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Rightists are mad that leftists are bringing up climate refugees, instead of opting to address more "popular" environmental issues.
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I had once heard that the US Pentagon had contemplated worst case scenarios were the US would have to use tactical nuclear weapons on climate refugees. Cannot remember where I heard that though, nor have I found any information on it since?
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Julian Castro on board:
www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/9/4/20849369/julian-castro-climate-refugee
Democratic presidential candidate Julián Castro’s climate plan, released Tuesday, calls for the US to create a new category of refugees to welcome people displaced by the warming planet.
The US only accepts refugees who have been targeted based on their race, religion, nationality, politics or affiliation with certain social groups. As climate change threatens everything from crop production to coastal cities, tens of millions of migrants are expected to be pushed out of areas that will no longer be habitable in the coming decades.
The World Bank estimates more than 140 million migrants will be displaced as a result of climate change by 2050. Castro’s plan is meant to address that growing crisis. But other experts worry it will come at a cost for people who are fleeing persecution in their home countries.
Migrants displaced by climate change have no formal rights in the US and internationally. While 164 countries signed a United Nations agreement in 2018 to work together to resettle those migrants, the pact is not legally enforceable and depends on voluntary participation.
The US and its international partners, however, are running out of time to determine how they will support such migrants. Glaciers are melting and sea levels are rising, flooding low-level coastal areas where migrants have already started to flee. Increasing global temperatures have led to the desertification of farmland just as growing populations demand higher food production, making the terrain unlivable. Droughts cause local conflict over control of water resources and are the biggest killer among weather-related catastrophes, according to the UN.
Castro’s plan acknowledges that the existing criteria for refugees in the US may cover some migrants who have been persecuted in “climate-driven conflicts,” but ultimately, he says it’s not enough. The US must be proactive and “cannot wait for climate change to destabilize a society before providing assistance,” he writes.
The US is also militarily powerful enough to pressure most other countries to accept climate refugees by threatening WMD strikes on all which refuse. This must also be an American duty in face of the looming crisis. The US will not be able to take all the refugees by itself, nor should it take refugees who would rather go elsewhere but who are turned away, as this would only further encourage other countries to keep turning refugees away in the knowledge that someone else will take them all. Instead, the American duty is to ensure each country either takes in all who turn up at their borders, or simply be destroyed.
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Big win:
www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jan/20/climate-refugees-cant-be-returned-home-says-landmark-un-human-rights-ruling
It is unlawful for governments to return people to countries where their lives might be threatened by the climate crisis, a landmark ruling by the United Nations human rights committee has found.
The judgment – which is the first of its kind – represents a legal “tipping point” and a moment that “opens the doorway” to future protection claims for people whose lives and wellbeing have been threatened due to global heating, experts say.
Tens of millions of people are expected to be displaced by global heating in the next decade.
Except of course UN rulings do not enforce themselves:
While the judgment is not formally binding on countries, it points to legal obligations that countries have under international law.
Ultimately, what will decide the issue is whether or not the major military powers of the world are willing to use WMDs on countries that deport refugees.
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www.msn.com/en-au/news/coronavirus/un-food-agency-chief-world-on-brink-of-a-hunger-pandemic/ar-BB132fh9
UNITED NATIONS (AP) — The head of the U.N. food agency warned Tuesday that, as the world is dealing with the coronavirus pandemic, it is also “on the brink of a hunger pandemic” that could lead to “multiple famines of biblical proportions” within a few months if immediate action isn’t taken.
World Food Program Executive Director David Beasley told the U.N. Security Council that even before COVID-19 became an issue, he was telling world leaders that “2020 would be facing the worst humanitarian crisis since World War II.” That’s because of wars in Syria, Yemen and elsewhere, locust swarms in Africa, frequent natural disasters and economic crises including in Lebanon, Congo, Sudan and Ethiopia, he said.
Beasley said today 821 million people go to bed hungry every night all over the world, a further 135 million people are facing “crisis levels of hunger or worse,” and a new World Food Program analysis shows that as a result of COVID-19 an additional 130 million people “could be pushed to the brink of starvation by the end of 2020.”
He said in the video briefing that WFP is providing food to nearly 100 million people on any given day, including “about 30 million people who literally depend on us to stay alive.”
Beasley, who is recovering from COVID-19, said if those 30 million people can’t be reached, “our analysis shows that 300,000 people could starve to death every single day over a three-month period” — and that doesn’t include increased starvation due to the coronavirus.
“In a worst-case scenario, we could be looking at famine in about three dozen countries, and in fact, in 10 of these countries we already have more than one million people per country who are on the verge of starvation,” he said.
According to WFP, the 10 countries with the worst food crises in 2019 were Yemen, Congo, Afghanistan, Venezuela, Ethiopia, South Sudan, Syria, Sudan, Nigeria and Haiti.
The borders have to be back open before this hits. This is why I keep saying that the idea of using WMDs against states which close their borders to refugees must be taken seriously. The numbers who could die from starvation if denied entry dwarfs the numbers of likely WMD deaths (to say nothing of the latter being more deserved than the former).
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www.newscientist.com/article/2242855-climate-change-has-already-made-parts-of-the-world-too-hot-for-humans/#ixzz6LyKOeunU
Global warming has already made parts of the world hotter than the human body can withstand, decades earlier than climate models expected this to happen.
Jacobabad in Pakistan and Ras al Khaimah in the United Arab Emirates have both repeatedly crossed a deadly threshold for one or two hours at a time, an analysis of weather station data found.
Wet bulb temperature (TW) is a measure of heat and humidity, taken from a thermometer covered in a water-soaked cloth. Beyond a threshold of 35°C TW the body is unable to cool itself by sweating, but lower levels can still be deadly, as was seen in the 2003 European heatwave that killed thousands without passing 28°C TW.
A US-UK team analysed weather station data across the world, and found that the frequency of wet bulb temperatures exceeding temperatures between 27°C TW and 35°C TW had all doubled since 1979. Though 35°C TW is thought of as a key threshold, harm and even death is possible at lower temperatures, so the team included these in their analysis.
Billions of people could live in areas too hot for humans by 2070, study says
Hong Kong (CNN)If the planet continues to warm at current levels over the next 50 years, up to 3 billion people could be living in areas that are too hot for humans, a new study has found.
For thousands of years, humans have lived within a narrow "climate niche" where average temperatures are ideal for society to flourish, and conditions favorable to grow food and keep livestock.
In findings published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences on Monday, an international team of archaeologists, climate scientists and ecologists said that if heat-trapping greenhouse gas emissions continue at the current pace, by 2070 billions of people will be living in conditions hotter than those that have allowed life to thrive for the past 6,000 years.
www.cnn.com/2020/05/05/world/global-warming-climate-niche-temperatures-intl-hnk/index.html
nationalpost.com/news/world/swathes-of-middle-east-and-north-africa-will-be-too-hot-for-humans-as-early-as-the-2040s-study
Good thing Judeo-Westerners put in all that effort helping Jews colonize Palestine, a land in which perhaps no one can live on with in 40 to 50 years.... Brilliant!!!