Author Topic: Climate refugees  (Read 2815 times)

Polinc_Socjus

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90sRetroFan

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Re: Climate refugees
« Reply #46 on: August 04, 2022, 05:27:10 pm »
https://us.yahoo.com/news/tragic-extreme-heat-could-erase-210956282.html

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Rising temperatures could wipe out progress reducing childhood malnutrition in West Africa, researchers warned in a study of more than 32,000 children between the ages of 3 and 36 months.
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Stunted growth from malnutrition was nearly 6% more prevalent among children who spent at least 12 days per month in temperatures above 35 degrees Celsius, or 95 degrees Fahrenheit, researchers found.

That kind of extreme heat is becoming more frequent as greenhouse-gas emissions from power plants, transportation, and agriculture warm the planet. If global temperatures rise by 2 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels — a threshold climate scientists say is likely without steep emissions cuts — the average rate of stunted growth among children in West Africa could nearly double to 7.4%, and erase past gains.

Migrate to the EU ASAP.

90sRetroFan

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Re: Climate refugees
« Reply #47 on: August 29, 2022, 05:11:34 pm »
https://www.yahoo.com/news/one-third-pakistan-underwater-more-175239350.html

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Months of monsoon rains have caused massive flooding across Pakistan, affecting tens of millions of people and wreaking havoc on infrastructure.
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“The sad part is that it is not stopping,” Rehman said to DW. “The rain is relentless. The water is coming down in buckets from a merciless sky.”

The country has declared a national emergency, deploying the army and — for the first time in its history — the navy to aid relief efforts, The Guardian reported and Rehman told DW. Still, many areas remain inaccessible to emergency responders, who cannot find dry places to drop badly needed supplies or land their helicopters, Rehman told Sky News.

A map of the monsoon floods from the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs on Aug. 26 showed damage across the country with the worst damage in the southern provinces of Balochistan and Sindh.



Human-induced climate change has amplified the intensity and duration of the extreme weather events happening in Pakistan, Rehman repeatedly explained. “This is very far from a normal monsoon – it is climate dystopia at our doorstep,” she said, per Al Jazeera.

“We are at ground zero of a climate dystopia,” she told Channel 4 News.
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Videos of the floodwater show large buildings collapsing and washing away with shocking speed. Brown-tinged water rips through residential areas, other footage shows.

The only correct response is mass emigration to the EU, UK and former British Empire territories (Australia, Canada, etc.). Even the commenters are starting to get this:

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A big part of the planet will be uninhabitable in 30 years and billions of people will need to move.

Better still:

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Climate change affects the poorest people while rich countries debate over whether it's real.

Best of all:

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You need to remove the people with the largest carbon footprints.

which is what the climate refugees can do after they reach their destinations.

90sRetroFan

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Re: Climate refugees
« Reply #48 on: August 31, 2022, 03:09:27 pm »
Finally the issue is being discussed more seriously:

https://www.yahoo.com/news/where-well-end-living-planet-100002527.html

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Where We'll End Up Living as the Planet Burns
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While nations rally to reduce their carbon emissions, and try to adapt at-risk places to hotter conditions, there is an elephant in the room: for large portions of the world, local conditions are becoming too extreme and there is no way to adapt. People will have to move to survive.

Over the next fifty years, hotter temperatures combined with more intense humidity are set to make large swathes of the globe lethal to live in. Fleeing the tropics, the coasts, and formerly arable lands, huge populations will need to seek new homes; you will be among them, or you will be receiving them. This migration has already begun—we have all seen the streams of people fleeing drought-hit areas in Latin America, Africa, and Asia where farming and other rural livelihoods have become impossible.

The number of migrants has doubled globally over the past decade, and the issue of what to do about rapidly increasing populations of displaced people will only become greater and more urgent as the planet heats.

We can—and we must—prepare. Developing a radical plan for humanity to survive a far hotter world includes building vast new cities in the more tolerable far north while abandoning huge areas of the unendurable tropics. It involves adapting our food, energy, and infrastructure to a changed environment and demography as billions of people are displaced and seek new homes.
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no place on Earth will be unaffected by climate change. Everywhere will undergo some kind of transformation in response to changes in the climate, whether through direct impacts or the indirect result of being part of a globally interconnected biophysical and socioeconomic system. Extreme events are already occurring around the world and will continue to hit “safe” places. Some places, though, will be more easily adaptable to these changes, while others will become entirely uninhabitable fairly quickly. Bear in mind that many places will be uncomfortable if not intolerable by 2050—around the lifespan of most mortgages—we need to start planning where we make our homes now. By 2100 it will be a different planet, so let’s focus on some of the livable options.

Global heating is shifting the geographical position of our species’ temperature niche northwards, and people will follow. The optimum climate for human productivity—the best conditions for both agricultural and non­agricultural output—turns out to be an average temperature of 11°C to 15°C, according to a 2020 study. This global niche is where human populations have concentrated for millennia, including for the entirety of human civilization, so it’s unsurprising that our crops, livestock and other economic practices are ideally adapted to these conditions. The researchers show that, depending on scenarios of population growth and warming, ‘1 to 3 billion people are projected to be left outside the climate conditions that have served humanity well over the past 6,000 years.’ They add that, ‘in the absence of migration, one third of the global population is projected to experience mean average temperatures [that are currently found mostly] in the Sahara.’

As a general rule, people will need to move away from the equator, and from coastlines, small islands (which will shrink in size), and arid or desert regions. Rainforests and woodlands are also places to avoid, due to fire risk. Populations are going to shift inland, towards lakes, higher elevations and northern latitudes.

Looking at the globe, it is immediately clear that land is mainly distributed in the north—less than a third of Earth’s land is in the southern hemisphere and most of that is either in the tropics or Antarctica. So the scope for climate migrants to seek refuge in the south is limited. Patagonia is the main option, although it is already suffering from droughts, but agriculture and settlement there will remain possible as the global temperature rises. The main lands of opportunity for migrants, however, are in the north. Temperatures in these safer regions will rise—and will rise faster in higher latitudes than at the equator – but the average absolute temperature will still be far lower than in the tropics. Of course climate disruption brings extreme weather, and nowhere will be spared these increasingly common events—Canada reached temperatures of 50°C in 2021, making British Columbia hotter than the Sahara Desert, and then, a few months later, was hit by deadly floods and landslides that displaced thousands. Fires have blazed across Siberia’s tundra, and melting permafrost is a shifting, unstable ground on which to build infrastructure.

Happily, however, the northern latitudes are already home to wealthier nations that generally have strong institutions and stable governments that are among the best placed to build social and technological resilience to the challenges this century.

Problematically, many of them have also struggled politically with immigration to a far greater extent than have many much poorer countries (poor countries also host by far the greatest numbers of displaced people), and with a migrant “crisis” that is far smaller than the great climate migration we will see over the next 75 years. It may be more possible to shift a political­-social mindset in the space of a few years, however, than to return the tropics to habitability. Consider that most of Europe’s nations each rely on tens of thousands of migrant workers just to harvest the crops they grow today. With better agricultural conditions across the north, the need for labour will only increase.

North of the 45°N parallel—which runs through Michigan in North America, France, Croatia, Mongolia, and Xinjiang in China, for instance—will be the twenty-first century’s booming haven: it represents 15 per cent of the planet’s area but holds 29 per cent of its ice ­free land, and is currently home to a small fraction of the world’s (aging) people. It’s also entering that optimum climate for human productivity with mean average temperatures of around 13°C.
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Much of the rest of the U.S. will be problematic for one reason or another. The central corridor will see worsening tornadoes; below the 42nd parallel, heatwaves, wild fires and drought will be perilous; at the coasts, flooding, erosion and freshwater fouling will be an issue. Today’s desirable locations, such as Florida, California and Hawaii, will be increasingly deserted for the more pleasant climates of former Rustbelt cities that will experience a renaissance, as a globally diverse community of new immigrants revitalizes them.

Alaska looks the best place to live in the U.S., though, and cities will need to be built to accommodate millions of migrants heading for the newly busy Anthropocene Arctic. In 2017, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency released a Climate Resilience Screening Index, which ranked Kodiak Island, Alaska, as being at the lowest risk of climate events in the country. By 2047, Alaska could be experiencing average monthly temperatures similar to Florida today, according to an analysis of climate models. As with everywhere, location is key, though—the residents of Newtok, Alaska, are relocating because melting permafrost and increasing erosion have caused portions of their village to wash away. The retreat of ice sheets and melting of tundras is already causing huge problems for indigenous communities, whose way of life is being irrevocably altered. Their terrible loss, and that faced by native wildlife—not to mention other dangers, including unknown pathogens lurking in the currently frozen tundras, waiting to be exposed—will be countered by the vast opportunities for development in the New North. This is where many of the tropical migrants will create new homes during the turbulent twenty­-first century, while humanity battles to restore a liveable globe. Whether self­-governed indigenous communities will welcome this influx of southern migrants or reject what is the latest in a long history of often-violent intrusions remains to be seen. However, people will move north and they will need to be accommodated.

The New North

With agriculture newly possible and a bustling North Sea Passage shipping route, the far north will be transformed. The melting of Greenland’s ice sheet—the largest on Earth after Antarctica—will expose new areas for people to live, farm and mine minerals. Buried beneath the Arctic ice of Greenland, Russia, the U.S. and Canada, there is also useful agricultural soil and land to build cities upon, giving rise to a hub of connected Arctic cities.

Nuuk is one such city set to grow rapidly over the coming decades. The capital of Greenland (an autonomous outpost of Denmark) sits just below the Arctic Circle, where the effects of climate change are obvious—residents already talk of the years ‘back when it was cold’. Fisheries here are experiencing a boost: less ice means boats can fish close to shore year round, while warmer ocean temperatures have drawn new fish species further north into Greenland’s waters. Some halibut and cod have even increased in size, adding commercial value to fish catches. Land exposed by the retreating ice is opening up new farming opportunities with a longer growing season and plentiful irrigation. Nuuk’s farmers are now harvesting new crops, including potatoes, radishes, and broccoli. The retreating ice is also exposing mining opportunities and offshore exploration, including for oil. Nuuk stands at the edge of real economic gain. The country already has five hydroelectric plants to turn its abundant meltwater into power. According to projections Greenland will even have forests by 2100. It may be among the best places to live.

Similarly, Canada, Siberia and other parts of Russia, Iceland, the Nordic nations and Scotland will all continue to see benefits from global heating. Arctic net primary productivity, which is the amount of vegetation that grows each year, will nearly double by the 2080s, with an end to cripplingly cold winters. Growing seasons will significantly expand, particularly around today’s farmland. The Nordic nations already enjoy relatively warm temperatures because of the North Atlantic currents, but continental temperatures, which can plunge below –40°C in winter, will also ease, making interior locations more bearable. Nordic nations score comparatively low on climate change vulnerability and high on adaptive readiness.

Global heating has already boosted Sweden’s per capita GDP by 25 per cent, a Stanford study found. The biggest greenhouse gas emitters “enjoy on average about 10 per cent higher per capita GDP today than they would have in a world without warming, while the lowest emitters have been dragged down by about 25 per cent,” the researchers found. The moral argument for including tropical migrants in the economies of the north is clear. The researchers estimate that India’s GDP per capita has lagged by 31 per cent owing to global heating; Nigeria’s has lagged by 29 per cent; Indonesia’s by 27 per cent; and Brazil’s by 25 per cent. Together, those four countries hold about a quarter of the world’s population.
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Canada will be a key destination for our migrants, and the government is betting on it, aiming to triple the population by 2100 through immigration. Marshall Burke, Deputy Director of the Center on Food Security and the Environment at Stanford University, calculated that global heating could raise the average income in Canada by 250 per cent due to greatly expanded growing seasons, reduced infrastructure costs and increased maritime shipping.15 With a stable, non­corrupt democracy, one­fifth of the world’s freshwater reserves and as much as 4.2 million square kilometres of newly arable farmland, Canada could be the world’s new breadbasket later this century.

Russia will be another net winner—its 2020 national action plan explicitly describes ways to “use the advantages” of climate warming. According to the U.S. National Intelligence Council, Russia “has the potential to gain the most from increasingly temperate weather.” The country is already the world’s biggest exporter of wheat, and its agricultural dominance is set to grow as its climate improves. By 2080, more than half of Siberia’s permafrost will have gone, making the frozen north more attractive, with longer growing seasons, and able to support much larger populations, according to models. Though there is much potential gain, the loss of permafrost and of ice roads will be hugely problematic for the climate and also for many settlements that depend on frozen foundations for buildings, roads, railway tracks and other infrastructure. Engineering techniques exist to deal with the problem, but they are very expensive.

Other places that will see new or expanded cities include Scotland, Ireland, Estonia, and elevated sites with plenty of water, like Carcassonne in France, which is surrounded by rivers. In the global south, as mentioned, there is far less landmass in the high latitudes, but Patagonia, Tasmania and New Zealand, and perhaps the newly ice­free parts of the western Antarctic coast, offer potential for cities. In Antarctica alone, up to 17,000 square kilometres of new, ice­free land is projected to appear by the end of the century. This could offer an opportunity for development, but I fervently hope that Earth’s last wild continent will remain a precious nature reserve.

Elsewhere, people will move to higher elevations, including the Rocky Mountains in North America and the Alps in Europe. In the US, Boulder and Denver, both above 1,600 metres, are already attracting migrants, and Ljubljana in Slovenia is another alpine location with a rich underground aquifer system and lush agriculture.

People will aim for safer places, and they will be better off moving to locations that already have good governance, productivity and resources. Happily, there are many places where these coincide. Some of this migration will involve rapidly expanding existing towns and cities; in other places, such as Russian Siberia and Greenland, entirely new cities will need to be built.

Achieving safe settlement for hundreds of millions of migrants could require the compulsory purchase by international consensus of land held by current states, with compensation and a stake in the new cities and their industries. It could require a new kind of international citizenship. It could mean richer, safer ­latitude states becoming ‘care­ taker states’ for poorer, more vulnerable ones, during the crisis period of global heating until planetary restoration. It could involve charter cities, states within states, the extinction of some of the 200 nation states and consolidation of the remaining few into regional geopolitical entities. There are many alternative visions to today’s status quo of nation states, borders and passports – which are, after all, relatively recent.

Instituting global freedom of movement, for instance, would boost national economies, as well as saving or improving billions of lives. Open borders would, it’s fair to assume, result in very large flows of people—estimations range from a few million to more than 1 billion—and it could increase global GDP by tens of trillions of dollars. Among the catastrophic losses this century, we have so much potential to gain if we open our minds to different ways of living, unsticking people from their fixed abodes. People will move in their millions this century, and right now we have a chance to make this upheaval work through a planned, managed peaceful transition to a safer, fairer world. We must try.

We must focus on identifying and eliminating all who, if left alive, will stop the climate refugees from entering and who will deport them after they have entered. Everything else can be worked out, but there will be no way to persuade rightists to welcome climate refugees. Either the rightists die, or the climate refugees die. There are no other options. Which bloodlines deserve to survive the coming bottleneck caused by global warming? Certainly not those which defend the civilization which is to blame for creating the bottleneck in the first place. It is not enough to merely say we support open borders; the only people who truly support open borders are those willing to physically exterminate all who oppose open borders.

Successful climate refuge must be preceded by totally ruthless climate Ahimsa.

90sRetroFan

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Re: Climate refugees
« Reply #49 on: September 05, 2022, 03:42:22 pm »
https://www.yahoo.com/news/famine-door-somalia-un-humanitarian-085513015.html

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The UN's humanitarian chief warned Monday that drought-ravaged Somalia was on the brink of famine for the second time in just over a decade, and time was running out to save lives.

"Famine is at the door and we are receiving a final warning," Martin Griffiths told a press conference in the Somali capital Mogadishu.

A food and nutrition report due for release on Monday has "concrete indications" that famine will strike the regions of Baidoa and Burhakaba in south-central Somalia between October and December, Griffiths said.

"I've been shocked to my core these past few days by the level of pain and suffering we see so many Somalis enduring," said the head of the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), who began a visit to the country on Thursday.
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The UN's World Food Programme (WFP) last month said the number of people at risk of starvation across the Horn had increased to 22 million.

In Somalia alone, the number of people facing crisis hunger levels is 7.8 million, or about half the population, while around a million have fled their homes on a desperate quest for food and water, UN agencies say.

Griffiths described scenes of heart-rending suffering during a visit to Baidoa, describing it as the epicentre of the crisis where he saw "children so malnourished they could barely speak" or cry.
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Conflict-wracked Somalia is considered one of the most vulnerable to climate change but is particularly ill-equipped to cope with the crisis.

If 7.8 million are hungry, 1 million emigrating will not be enough to alleviate the hunger of the remaining 6.8. million. It would make more sense for 6.8 million to emigrate, then possibly leaving enough food for the remaining 1 million.

Moreover, I am not even sure that the 1 million who "fled their homes" have all necessarily emigrated, let alone into the EU. I suspect many among them are merely moving to other locations inside Somalia, which will not solve the problem.

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The war in Ukraine has also sent global food and fuel prices soaring, making aid delivery more expensive.

There will be no aid. MIGRATE TO THE EU OR DIE!

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In June, British charity Save the Children had issued an alert that the international community was "sleepwalking towards another catastrophic famine" in Somalia.

The worst thing the UN etc. can do at this point is promise aid, thereby persuading those who might otherwise have emigrated to instead stay put and wait for the aid (which will not arrive fast enough). Instead of promising aid, just promise to take in anyone who shows up at EU borders!


90sRetroFan

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Re: Climate refugees
« Reply #50 on: September 24, 2022, 08:13:54 pm »
Previously:

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/climate-refugees/msg590/?topicseen#msg590

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/climate-refugees/msg10011/?topicseen#msg10011

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/climate-refugees/msg12828/?topicseen#msg12828

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/climate-refugees/msg13119/?topicseen#msg13119

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/climate-refugees/msg13361/?topicseen#msg13361

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/climate-refugees/msg13528/?topicseen#msg13528

Now a new sign that it is time to leave:

https://www.yahoo.com/news/heavy-rains-lightning-kill-least-061039380.html

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LUCKNOW, India (AP) — Hazardous weather has killed at least 36 people in northern India over the past 24 hours, including 12 who who were struck by lightning, officials said as they warned of more heavy downpours in the coming days.

Across the northern state of Uttar Pradesh, at least 24 people died after their homes collapsed amid unrelenting rains, Relief Commissioner Ranvir Prasad said.

Mohamed Usman, 15, was on his friend's roof in the city of Prayagraj when lightning struck Friday evening, killing him instantly. His friend Aznan, who goes by one name, was injured and is being treated in a hospital.

“As soon as they set foot on the roof, they were hit by lightning and my son died,” said Mohammad Ayub, Usman's father.

Officials said 39 people in the state have died from lightning in the last five days
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Col. Sanjay Srivastava, whose organization Lightning Resilient India Campaign works with the Indian Meteorological Department, said that deforestation, the depletion of bodies of water, and pollution all contribute to climate change, which leads to more lightning.

Global warming has also increased the frequency of lightning, said Sunita Narain, director general at the Center for Science and Environment. A 1-degree-Celsius (1.8-degree-Fahrenheit) rise in temperature increases lightning by 12 times.

There has been a 34% rise in lightning strikes across India over the past year, which has caused deaths to also jump. India recorded 1,489 deaths due to lightning in 2016, and the number grew to 2,869 in 2021, according to Srivastava.

How many more signs do you need?! Emigrate now!

90sRetroFan

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Re: Climate refugees
« Reply #51 on: September 28, 2022, 09:31:49 pm »
https://us.yahoo.com/news/climate-crisis-making-pacific-islands-191200167.html

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During this century, several Pacific Island nations will become uninhabitable. For my country Tuvalu, which sits halfway between Hawaii and Australia, this could happen in the next two to three decades. Other Pacific Island countries on the climate change frontline may have a few decades longer, but our final destination is no longer a matter of guesswork.
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Tuvalu and our Pacific neighbors have done nothing to cause climate change. Carbon emissions combined across the entirety of the Pacific Islands amount to less than 0.03% of the world’s total—even less if we speak of historical emissions. The existential threat we face is not of our making. But it will remake us.
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As the ocean rises, salt water permeates into the aquifers that provide our drinking water. A rising ocean brings higher tides, and with increasing storm intensity, our villages and fields are devastated. Flooding leaves soil saline, which reduces crop yields and weakens trees. Infrastructure such as homes, roads, and power lines are washed away, and higher land on which to rebuild does not exist.
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We need a global settlement that guarantees nation states such as Tuvalu and the Marshall Islands a permanent existence beyond the inhabitable lifetime of our atoll homes. It must recognize and protect our cultural integrity, our human and economic capital, and our sovereignty. It must be co-created and enacted with the peoples and governments of Island nations, not visited upon us by others.

This settlement includes, ultimately, our relocation elsewhere in the world where our peoples will be welcomed and celebrated.

Tuvalu used to be under British colonial rule, therefore I would recommend inhabitants relocate to nearby Australia.

The Marshall Islands (which, by the way, need to be renamed), were most recently under US rule, therefore their inhabitants should relocate to the US.

90sRetroFan

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Re: Climate refugees
« Reply #52 on: September 30, 2022, 10:41:10 pm »
https://us.yahoo.com/news/somalia-famine-to-be-declared-next-month-despite-years-of-warning-signs-153104665.html

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After four consecutive years of drought, parts of Somalia are projected to enter a famine next month, based on new reports about acute food insecurity in the region. Despite warning signs from humanitarian groups for years about the dire situation facing the East African country’s 16 million residents, experts say, world leaders have essentially turned the other way.

“There are early warning mechanisms, social protection mechanisms [and] things that could trigger what we call anticipatory action,” said Abby Maxman, president of Oxfam America, a global organization that focuses on the alleviation of global poverty. “What's most frustrating is we've been sounding the alarm for some time, and yet the system isn't responding timely enough. Those warnings are not being heeded.”

This is exactly what I predicted would happen. This is why I in turn have been warning that the prospective famine victims themselves need to emigrate to the EU ASAP. The food will not be moving to where you are. Your only hope is to move to where the food is.

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About 7 million people across Somalia are expected to face high levels of acute food insecurity from October through December, which means they are in dire need of food assistance, according to the latest data from the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC), a tool for improving food security analysis and decision making. Two million of those people have been designated in an even higher emergency classification, meaning they go days without food, while another 300,000 rural residents in the Baidoa and Burhakaba districts, both in the southern region of the country, have entered a catastrophe designation, in which malnutrition and mortality rates remain at alarming levels. Without immediate resources at their disposal, many Somalians have rationed what little resources they have, while others are going days and weeks without food and water altogether. If these conditions remain, 1 out of every 5 children in the country faces death from malnutrition.

If 7 million had emigrated from when I started recommending it, this would not be happening.

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A famine is a rare and specific declaration made by the United Nations and national governments, according to the IPC. The designation is made when at least 20% of households are facing an extreme lack of food, about 30% of children are suffering from acute malnutrition, and 2 people of every 10,000 are dying each day due to outright starvation or to the interaction of malnutrition and disease.

Leaders from many of the world’s richest and most polluting countries have made pledges over the last decade to curb global warming by taking "meaningful and effective actions,” but activists say the efforts have not gone nearly far enough, and no concrete plans have been agreed upon.

Therefore the people affected must plan to emigrate!

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“The rich and powerful countries have a moral duty to respond, to save lives and to take responsibility to be held accountable for the causes that are making those at the bottom suffer disproportionately,” Maxman told Yahoo News.

THEY DON'T CARE. Stop pleading with them and start providing transportation for the climate refugees themselves instead!

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This isn’t the first time Somalia has experienced famine. A 2011 famine in the country claimed the lives of 260,000 people, more than half of them children under the age of 6. Even then, critics warned that the famine declaration had come too late, since more than 120,000 people had already died. Many fear a repeat a decade later.

So why have Somalis not learned that only emigration will save them?

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“From Somalia to Haiti, South Sudan to Yemen, Afghanistan to Nigeria, people’s lives in the most fragile contexts are being devastated by a global food crisis, fueled by a deadly mix of conflict, climate change, rising costs and economic crises, exacerbated by COVID-19 and the Ukraine conflict,” it reads.

Gene pools with minimal machinism heritage are the ones being decimated! This is not a coincidence! This is Yahweh culling non-machinist bloodlines to raise the average genetic machinism-compatibility of humans and hence speed up the final dash towards the Singularity!

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/true-left-vs-right/if-western-civilization-does-not-die-soon/msg103/#msg103

Continuing:

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1 million Somalians have been forced to leave their homes in hopes of finding safety and sustenance. Many have set out on long journeys through dangerous terrain and conflict-ridden communities to look for support in urban centers.

That will not be enough. You will need to cross the Mediterranean.

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As crops fail, it’s not lost on advocates that the G-20 group, an intergovernmental forum made up of the world’s biggest economies, accounts for 80% of the world's emissions, and that the most vulnerable countries experience the harshest effects, which trickle down to food, health and education. Thirty-three extremely high-risk countries, including Somalia, collectively emit only 9% of global carbon dioxide emissions.

This is Yahweh. Western civilization is the civilization made in the image of Yahweh.

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“With the dire situation in Somalia likely to worsen further into 2023, as an unprecedented fifth consecutive failed rainy season is predicted, warnings can no longer be ignored,” Parvin Ngala, Oxfam’s regional director for the Horn, East and Central Africa, said in a statement. “World leaders and the international community must act now."

THEY WILL CONTINUE TO IGNORE WARNINGS AND FAIL TO ACT.

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While political leaders have made many promises, in the cities, towns, villages, and refugee and internal displacement camps where millions of lives hang in the balance, far too little has changed.

See?

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Or as Care.org puts it, "In a world of plenty, leaving people to starve is a policy choice.”

The reasoning behind the policy choice is to speed up natural selection for machinism in humans. This and Musk's repeated calls for those from gene pools higher in machinism heritage to increase their birth rate are two elements of the same Yahwist operation.

See also:

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/true-left-vs-false-left/progressive-yahwism/

90sRetroFan

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Re: Climate refugees
« Reply #53 on: October 06, 2022, 06:29:48 pm »
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/power-hungry-europe-leaving-developing-154100722.html

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Power-hungry Europe is leaving developing countries starving for electricity

The correct response is to mass emigrate to EU countries. Since that is where resources are disproportionately going to, why not people also? (Soon (if not already) it will be food as well as electricity, so refugees had better hurry.)

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Even before the war broke out, gas supplies heading to Asia were being diverted to Europe. Now with Russia-Ukraine war squeezing supply, the richer European nations are getting dibs on whatever is up for grabs. With winter and a cap on Russian fuel imports approaching, European buyers will look to stock up on even more LNG.

This is coming at the cost of not just Bangladesh, but several developing nations. India is grappling with its worst power crisis in 6 years while struggling to find suppliers in international markets.
...
Over a decade ago, Pakistan had forged long-term contracts with foreign liquified natural gas (LNG) suppliers in Italy and Qatar specifically to insulate itself from volatile prices. But now, these firms continue to serve lucrative European markets while defaulting on Pakistan.

Woke sarcasm in the comments:

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Na the EU is the most perfect people on the planet. They would never do such a thing as greedy keep everything to themselves.

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Yes the colonizing and plundering of all those non white countries in the past were also to enlightened them about the goodwill of the white western nations

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I’m not worried about Europeans,  if they ever need more fuel they’ll just go back to their former colonies and genocide them again on behalf of democracy and freedom

90sRetroFan

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Re: Climate refugees
« Reply #54 on: October 10, 2022, 09:04:18 pm »
https://www.yahoo.com/news/heatwaves-regions-uninhabitable-within-decades-092758232.html

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Heatwaves will become so extreme in certain regions of the world within decades that human life there will be unsustainable, the United Nations and the Red Cross said Monday.

Heatwaves are predicted to "exceed human physiological and social limits" in the Sahel, the Horn of Africa and south and southwest Asia, with extreme events triggering "large-scale suffering and loss of life", the organisations said.

Unless everyone is already out of there by the time it hits. Which is what we are here to promote.

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Heatwave catastrophes this year in countries like Somalia and Pakistan foreshadow a future with deadlier, more frequent, and more intense heat-related humanitarian emergencies, they warned in a joint report.
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"There are clear limits beyond which people exposed to extreme heat and humidity cannot survive," the report said.



"There are also likely to be levels of extreme heat beyond which societies may find it practically impossible to deliver effective adaptation for all.

"On current trajectories, heatwaves could meet and exceed these physiological and social limits in the coming decades, including in regions such as the Sahel and south and southwest Asia."

It warned that the impact of this would be "large-scale suffering and loss of life, population movements and further entrenched inequality."

I have highlighted the most important part in bold.

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The report said extreme heat was a "silent killer", claiming thousands of lives each year as the deadliest weather-related hazard -- and the dangers were set to grow at an "alarming rate" due to climate change.

Why not simply say that Western civilization is a silent killer?

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According to a study cited by the report, the number of poor people living in extreme heat conditions in urban areas will jump by 700 percent by 2050, particularly in west Africa and southeast Asia.

"Projected future death rates from extreme heat are staggeringly high -- comparable in magnitude by the end of the century to all cancers or all infectious diseases -- and staggeringly unequal," the report said.
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As the climate crisis goes unchecked, extreme weather events, such as heatwaves and floods, are hitting the most vulnerable people the hardest," said UN humanitarian chief Martin Griffiths.

Not only the most vulnerable, but those who contributed the least to global warming.

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OCHA and the IFRC said there were limits to extreme heat adaptation measures.

Some, such as increasing energy-intensive air conditioning, are costly, environmentally unsustainable and contribute themselves to climate change.

As I keep saying, problems created by Western civilization cannot be solved by more Western civilization.

See also:

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/news/climate-weather-and-climate-effects-2020-and-beyond/msg14716/#msg14716

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/news/climate-weather-and-climate-effects-2020-and-beyond/msg14830/#msg14830

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/news/climate-weather-and-climate-effects-2020-and-beyond/msg14871/#msg14871

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/news/climate-weather-and-climate-effects-2020-and-beyond/msg14928/#msg14928

From the comments:

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Give it time. A few decades of increasing mass death should be convincing to a few more folks.

Yes, but it will only convince Orban and his thugs to close the borders even more tightly.

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Let us presume that is true, if so then there will equally be any number of places that will also be inhabitable that are currently too cold!

Yes, which would make them suitable relocation destinations for climate refugees. But they are guarded by Orban and his thugs.

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Why don't those people move to the new areas that were created by the warming that were previously too cold to inhabit?

Because Orban and his thugs are obstructing them from doing so.

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hasent mankind kinda like moved over time to more from one extreme to a more less extreme for how many thousands of years? seems like a mass migration is wise

Yes, but to enact this wisdom first requires exterminating Orban and his thugs.

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Poor nations will get poorer.  They will immigrate to richer nations.

Yes, but they will only succeed if we first exterminate Orban and his thugs.

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/enemies/hungary-v4/
« Last Edit: October 10, 2022, 09:18:44 pm by 90sRetroFan »

90sRetroFan

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Re: Climate refugees
« Reply #55 on: October 17, 2022, 06:52:26 pm »
https://us.yahoo.com/news/nigeria-flooding-worsened-by-climate-change-kills-more-than-600-and-displaces-13-million-181337433.html

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At least 603 people have been killed by flooding in Nigeria, and all but three of the 36 states in the West African nation have been impacted, the Nigerian humanitarian affairs ministry said on Sunday.

The national government also announced that more than 1.3 million people have been displaced due to the rising waters and a minimum of 840,000 acres of land also have been affected. The flooding has also triggered fears of food scarcity in the heavily agricultural nation. Nigeria’s population of 218 million is the largest in Africa.

Nigeria needs to get back to its pre-colonial population size:



The remainder should emigrate to the EU.

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More extreme rainfall patterns are a consequence of climate change, as warmer temperatures cause more evaporation, making both droughts and floods more common.
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Among those displaced by the floods are thousands of Nigerians who were already in camps — which the flooding destroyed — for internally displaced people, due to the regional conflict. At least 15,000 Nigerians “are in immediate need of shelter and food due to floods which destroyed their camps,” according to the U.N.’s International Organization for Migration (IOM). “Heavy rainfall and strong winds have caused serious damage to shelters and infrastructure in camps and other sites for IDPs since the onset of Nigeria’s rainy season in June,” an information officer for the U.N.’s IOM said.

The organization said that funding remains short and the threats of worse impacts and prolonged famine loom.

“It’s saddening,” Chiamaka Ibeanu, a nurse in Nigeria’s Anambra state, told the Washington Post on Sunday. “All of a sudden, people are left with no homes and turned to beggars in weeks. No matter how rich they were, the displacement has reduced them so much.”

Emigrate to the EU!


90sRetroFan

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Re: Climate refugees
« Reply #56 on: November 16, 2022, 02:38:40 am »
https://www.theguardian.com/news/2022/aug/18/century-climate-crisis-migration-why-we-need-plan-great-upheaval

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A great upheaval is coming. Climate-driven movement of people is adding to a massive migration already under way to the world’s cities. The number of migrants has doubled globally over the past decade, and the issue of what to do about rapidly increasing populations of displaced people will only become greater and more urgent. To survive climate breakdown will require a planned and deliberate migration of a kind humanity has never before undertaken.

The world already sees twice as many days where temperatures exceed 50C than 30 years ago – this level of heat is deadly for humans, and also hugely problematic for buildings, roads and power stations. It makes an area unliveable. This explosive planetary drama demands a dynamic human response. We need to help people to move from danger and poverty to safety and comfort – to build a more resilient global society for everyone’s benefit.

Large populations will need to migrate, and not simply to the nearest city, but also across continents. Those living in regions with more tolerable conditions, especially nations in northern latitudes, will need to accommodate millions of migrants while themselves adapting to the demands of the climate crisis. We will need to create entirely new cities near the planet’s cooler poles, in land that is rapidly becoming ice-free. Parts of Siberia, for example, are already experiencing temperatures of 30C for months at a time.
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Wherever you live now, migration will affect you and the lives of your children. It is predictable that Bangladesh, a country where one-third of the population lives along a sinking, low-lying coast, is becoming uninhabitable. (More than 13 million Bangladeshis – nearly 10% of the population – are expected to have left the country by 2050.) But in the coming decades wealthy nations will be severely affected, too.
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The UN International Organization for Migration has cited estimates of as many as 1 billion environmental migrants in the next 30 years, while more recent projections point to 1.2 billion by 2050, and 1.4 billion by 2060. After 2050, that figure is expected to soar as the world heats further and the global population rises to its predicted peak in the mid 2060s.
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With every degree of temperature increase, roughly 1 billion people will be pushed outside the zone in which humans have lived for thousands of years. We are running out of time to manage the coming upheaval before it becomes overwhelming and deadly.

Migration is not the problem; it is the solution.

How we manage this global crisis, and how humanely we treat each other as we migrate, will be key to whether this century of upheaval proceeds smoothly or with violent conflict and unnecessary deaths. Managed right, this upheaval could lead to a new global commonwealth of humanity. Migration is our way out of this crisis.
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The idea of keeping foreign people out using borders is relatively recent. States used to be far more concerned about stopping people from leaving than preventing their arrival. They needed their labour and taxes.
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In April 2021, Governor Kristi Noem tweeted: “South Dakota won’t be taking any illegal immigrants that the Biden administration wants to relocate. My message to illegal immigrants … call me when you’re an American.”

Consider that South Dakota only exists because thousands of undocumented immigrants from Europe used the Homestead Act from 1860 to 1920 to steal land from Native Americans without compensation or reparations. This kind of exclusive attitude from a leader weakens the sense of shared citizenship among all, creating divisions between residents who are deemed to belong and those who are not.
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Immigration controls are regarded as essential – but for people, not stuff. Huge effort goes into enabling the cross-border migration of goods, services and money. Every year more than 11bn tonnes of stuff is shipped around the world – the equivalent of 1.5 tonnes per person a year – whereas humans, who are key to all this economic activity, are unable to move freely. Industrialised nations with big demographic challenges and important labour shortages are blocked from employing migrants who are desperate for jobs.

Currently, there is no global body or organisation overseeing the movement of people worldwide. Governments belong to the International Organization for Migration, but this is an independent, “related organisation” of the UN, rather than an actual UN agency: it is not subject to the direct oversight of the general assembly and cannot set common policy that would enable countries to capitalise on the opportunities immigrants offer. Migrants are usually managed by each individual nation’s foreign ministry, rather than the labour ministry, so decisions are made without the information or coordinated policies to match people with job markets. We need a new mechanism to manage global labour mobility far more effectively and efficiently – it is our biggest economic resource, after all.

The conversation about migration has become stuck on what ought to be allowed, rather than planning for what will occur. Nations need to move on from the idea of controlling to managing migration. At the very least, we need new mechanisms for lawful economic labour migration and mobility, and far better protection for those fleeing danger.

They have already proven they are perfectly capable of doing this:

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Within days of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February, EU leaders enacted an open-border policy for refugees fleeing the conflict, giving them the right to live and work across the bloc for three years, and helping with housing, education, transport and other needs. The policy undoubtedly saved lives but additionally, by not requiring millions of people to go through protracted asylum processes, the refugees were able to disperse to places where they could better help themselves and be helped by local communities. Across the EU, people came together in their communities, on social media, and through institutions to organise ways of hosting refugees.

They offered rooms in their homes, collected donations of clothes and toys, set up language camps and mental health support – all of which was legal because of the open-border policy. This reduced the burden for central government, host towns and refugees alike.

They merely refuse to do the same for everyone else.

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Globally, this system of sealed borders and hostile migration policy is dysfunctional. It doesn’t work for anyone’s benefit.

We are witnessing the highest levels of human displacement on record, and it will only increase. In 2020, refugees around the world exceeded 100 million, tripling since 2010, and half were children. This means one in every 78 people on earth has been forced to flee. Registered refugees represent only a fraction of those forced to leave their homes due to war or disaster.
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As long as 4.2 billion people live in poverty and the income gap between the global north and south continues to grow, people will have to move – and those living in climate-impacted regions will be disproportionately affected. Nations have an obligation to offer asylum to refugees, but under the legal definition of the refugee, written in the 1951 Refugee Convention, this does not include those who have to leave their home because of climate crisis.

Things are beginning to shift, though. In a landmark judgment, in 2020, the UN Human Rights Committee ruled that climate refugees cannot be sent home, meaning that a state would be in breach of its human rights obligations if it returns someone to a country where – due to the climate crisis – their life is in danger. However, the rulings of the committee are not internationally binding.

There is no such thing as 'internationally binding'. There are only actions and consequences. If there are allowed to face no consequences for breaching obligations or ignoring rulings, they will keep doing so. This is the same reason why there is no such thing as 'human rights' either, and why thinking in terms of 'human rights' is part of the problem. To ensure climate refugees reach safety, we will have to unscrupulously kill by the millions those who want to prevent them from reaching safety. But if you think in terms of 'human rights', you will be unable to do this.

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Today, the 50 million climate-displaced people already outnumber those fleeing political persecution. The distinction between refugees and economic migrants is rarely a straightforward one, and further complicated by the climate crisis. While the dramatic devastation of a hurricane erasing whole villages can make refugees of people overnight, more often the impacts of climate breakdown on people’s lives are gradual – another poor harvest or another season of unbearable heat, which becomes the catalyst/crisis that pushes people to seek better locations.

This should give the world time to adapt to the mass migrations to come – that ultimate climate adaptation. But instead, as environments grow ever more deadly, the world’s wealthiest countries spend more on militarising their borders – creating a climate “wall” – than they do on the climate emergency. The growth in offshore detention and “processing” centres for asylum seekers not only adds to the death toll, but is among the most repugnant features of the rich world’s failure to ease the impact of the climate crisis on the poorest regions. We must be alert to “climate nationalists” who want to reinforce the unequal allocation of our planet’s safer lands.

All countries which refuse to accept climate refugees must be destroyed. It is that simple.

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The planetary scale crisis demands a global climate migration pact, but in the meantime, regional free movement agreements – of the kind EU member states enjoy – would help. Such agreements have helped residents of disaster-hit Caribbean islands find refuge in safer ones.

Climate change is in most cases survivable; it is our border policies that will kill people. Human movement on a scale never before seen will dominate this century. It could be a catastrophe or, managed well, it could be our salvation.

Good management requires lots of WMDs and readiness to use them to ruthlessly exterminate all who attempt to close the borders.
« Last Edit: November 16, 2022, 05:57:40 pm by 90sRetroFan »

90sRetroFan

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Re: Climate refugees
« Reply #57 on: November 18, 2022, 07:36:11 pm »
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/hotter-more-crowded-world-immigration-170000734.html

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In a hotter, more crowded world, immigration is inevitable
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the nine countries with the biggest populations in 2100 will be: India, China, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Tanzania, Indonesia, and Egypt.

Even as early as 2070, though, eight of these nine countries will have many “hot zones”—areas where mean annual temperatures are above 29° C (84.2° F). Daily life without cooling technology will become extremely difficult, access to water will be scarce, and disruptions to agriculture will be severe.
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In these circumstances, migration will become inevitable, with millions of people leaving their overheated villages and cities in search of a kinder climate. (By 2050, according to one estimate from the Institute for Economics and Peace, there could be 1.2 billion climate refugees.) Just as inevitably much of this migration will run northwards—from South and Central America to northern North America, for instance, or from Africa and the Middle East towards Europe.

This can, in one sense, be a gift-wrapped solution for the wealthier countries of the north, where the populations will have grown older, and where governments will be rapidly running out of workers to tax. Migrants can fill out the thinning ranks of the labor force—as long as the political will to accept them exists.

Immigration policies will, as a result, creep closer and closer to the center of all political conversation in the developed world. In the near term, any moves to encourage immigation will be unpopular, said Manoj Pradhan, who founded Talking Head Macroeconomics, a research firm in London. The kind of nativism found in Donald Trump’s America, or in the Brexit referendum, or in other swings to the right in Europe, are ready examples of anti-immigrant sentiment.

“So we will definitely feel the ill-effects of this first,” Pradhan said. “But even if politics is a little unstable for the near future, I have no doubt that, in the long term, people will begin to see immigration as the great benefit it can be.”

Those who see immigration this way already see it this way. Those who do not see immigration this will never switch to seeing it this way. The latter group (numbering in the hundreds of millions, and who are the ones who caused global warming in the first place) must be exterminated, or else the climate refugees (numbering in the billions, and who are not the ones who caused global warming) will be the ones to die. There is no way around this and no more time to waste pretending that there is. Every dead rightist in the EU is one additional space freed up for a climate refugee. That is the only way we should be thinking by now.
« Last Edit: November 18, 2022, 07:39:15 pm by 90sRetroFan »

guest78

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Re: Climate refugees
« Reply #58 on: November 18, 2022, 08:40:36 pm »
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The latter group (numbering in the hundreds of millions, and who are the ones who caused global warming in the first place) must be exterminated, or else the climate refugees (numbering in the billions, and who are not the ones who caused global warming) will be the ones to die.

This would be fair and just. However, finding enough fair and just people to make this happen may prove difficult, as already seems to be the case. Fair people often (falsely) have empathy for even the unfair it seems, and I think you and I could find thousands of examples to prove that point. Perhaps the better argument would be that those who caused climate change should be deported to the lands most affected by climate change, while those who are not largely responsible for the climate crisis should be allowed to emigrate into the lands that are least affected by climate change? At the least, by preparing the argument for fairness in the climate crisis this way, people with empathy for others outside of their own group (non-tribalists) won't have a panic attack when they hear the word "exterminated"?

90sRetroFan

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Re: Climate refugees
« Reply #59 on: November 24, 2022, 04:29:53 pm »
https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20221117-how-borders-might-change-to-cope-with-climate-migration

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As global temperatures increase, causing climate change, sea level rise and extreme weather over the coming decades, large parts of the world that are home to some of the biggest populations will become increasingly hard to live in. Coastlines, island states and major cities in the tropics will be among the hardest hit, according to predictions by climate scientists.

Unable to adapt to increasingly extreme conditions, millions – or even billions – of people will need to move.

The most densely populated areas of the planet are clustered around the 25-26th north parallels which has traditionally been the latitude of most comfortable climate and fertile land. An estimated 279 million people are packed into this thin band of land, which cuts through countries including India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, China, the United States and Mexico.

But the conditions here are changing. On average, climate niches – the range of conditions at which species can normally exist – around the world are moving polewards at a pace of 1.15m (3.8ft) per day, although it's far faster in some places. Adapting to the changing climate will mean chasing our own shifting niche – which for much of human history has been within the temperature range -11C to 15C (12F to 59F) – as it migrates north from the equator. True livability limits are the borders we must worry about as the world warms over this century, bringing unbearable heat, drought, floods, fires, storms, and coastal erosion that make agriculture impossible and displace people.

Already record numbers of people are being forced to flee their homes with each passing year. In 2021, there were 89.3 million people, double the number forcibly displayed a decade ago, and in 2022 that number reached 100 million, with climate disasters displacing many more people than conflicts. Floods displaced 33 million people in Pakistan this year, while millions more in Africa have been affected by drought and the threat of famine, from the Horn of Africa to the continent's west coast.
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One study from 2020 predicts that by 2070, depending on scenarios of population growth and warming, "one to three billion people are projected to be left outside the climate conditions that have served humanity well over the past 6,000 years".

With so many people on the move, will this mean that invented political borders, ostensibly imposed for national security, become increasingly meaningless? The threat posed by climate change and its social reper­cussions dwarf those surrounding national security. Heatwaves already kill more people than those who die as a direct result of violence in wars.
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Meanwhile, most countries in the Global North are facing a demographic crisis in which people are not having enough babies to support an ageing population. Managed mass migration could thus help with many of the world's biggest problems, reducing the number of people living in poverty and climate devastation, and helping northern economies build their workforce.

But the main barrier is our system of borders – movement restrictions either imposed by someone's own state or by the states they wish to enter.
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Removing borders or making them far more flexible, especially to labour flows, has the potential to improve humanity's resilience to the stresses and shocks of global climate change. Managed well, migration could benefit everyone.

What if we thought of the planet as a global commonwealth of humanity, in which people were free to move wherever they wanted?

Again, the important question is: what should be done to those who refuse to think this way, and initiate violence to prevent people from moving wherever they want? The answer is: the same as what should be done to those who initiate any other type of violence.