Author Topic: Demographic Blueshift  (Read 3987 times)

90sRetroFan

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90sRetroFan

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Re: Demographic Blueshift
« Reply #31 on: December 01, 2020, 10:30:57 pm »
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/asian-americans-georgia-senate/2020/11/28/28521068-2ad2-11eb-9b14-ad872157ebc9_story.html

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Georgia’s hand recount and vote certification confirmed that Asian American and Pacific Islander voters — who make up the fastest-growing demographic in Georgia — helped swing the state for the Democrats for the first time since 1992.

While AAPI voters comprise only about 4 percent of Georgia’s population, that amounts to roughly 238,000 eligible voters, more than enough to determine races in the narrowly divided state. Georgia saw a 91 percent increase in AAPI voter turnout over 2016, according to an analysis by the Democratic firm Target­Smart, and exit polls showed Asian American voters preferred Joe Biden to President Trump by 2 to 1.

Strong turnout among Latino and Black voters also contributed to Biden’s win, in Georgia and across the country. But the near-doubling of turnout among Asian American voters — who historically have had some of the lowest turnout nationally — suggests a far-reaching change that could resonate for decades.

That change also played out in swing states like Arizona, Michigan and Nevada, where changing demographics and rapidly diversifying suburbs are reconfiguring the political map. In every battleground state, the AAPI community increased its turnout more than any other group, and in Georgia and Arizona, traditionally red states that went for Biden, the vote was decided by a margin that was less than the increase in AAPI voters, TargetSmart noted.

“We are that new electorate,” said Stephanie Cho, executive director of the Atlanta chapter of Asian Americans Advancing Justice. “Us along with Black women voters, along with Latino voters, along with young people, really have changed the trajectory of what Georgia looks like.”
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Progressive organizers say the surge of AAPI votes helped Democrats retake a U.S. House seat in the 7th Congressional District, where Carolyn Bourdeaux won by fewer than 9,000 votes. That was the only seat in the country that Democrats flipped this year, other than two in North Carolina that were reshaped by redistricting.

A similar transformation was evident in the five-person Gwinnett County Board of Commissioners, which went from being all-White and all-Republican in 2016 to an entirely Democratic commission this year, consisting of four Black members and one Asian American.


90sRetroFan

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Re: Demographic Blueshift
« Reply #32 on: December 03, 2020, 10:27:11 pm »
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/asian-america/how-south-asian-american-socialist-candidates-are-helping-lead-left-n1248658

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Mamdani is one of three South Asian members of the Democratic Socialists of America who won historic down-ballot races earlier this month. In Pennsylvania, former magazine editor Nikil Saval became the first Asian American elected to the state Senate. And in Los Angeles, urban planner Nithya Raman will be the first Asian American women elected to city council. As first-time Democratic Socialists of America-endorsed candidates, they unseated Democratic incumbents while espousing progressive policies such as "Medicare for All," the Green New Deal and defunding the police.

Their wins point to the growing prominence of young South Asians on the left, many of whom, in the past half-decade, have transitioned from community activism to electoral politics.

“These candidates are successful not only because of the work they’ve done in South Asian communities,” Abdullah Younus, a member of the Democratic Socialists of America's national leadership body, said, “but also because the issues that they’re campaigning on — around housing, education and climate — cut across age divides and diaspora divides.”

« Last Edit: December 03, 2020, 10:28:44 pm by 90sRetroFan »

90sRetroFan

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Re: Demographic Blueshift
« Reply #33 on: December 08, 2020, 10:43:28 pm »
Now is a good time to resume the push for abolishing the Electoral College:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XtYA2p8G3rg

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President-elect Joe Biden has selected Rep. Deb Haaland (D-NM) to lead the Department of the Interior, the Washington Post reports. If confirmed, Haaland would become the first Native American Cabinet secretary in American history.

Haaland, a first-term congresswoman, is an enrolled member of the Pueblo of Laguna and also has Jemez Pueblo heritage, and she has broken barriers before in her political career. Haaland became the first Native American woman to be elected to lead a state party, becoming the chair of the Democratic Party of New Mexico in 2015. During her time as party chair, she went to Standing Rock to stand alongside those protesting the Dakota Access Pipeline. In 2018, Haaland was elected to the House of Representatives; she was one of the first two Native American women to do so, alongside Sharice Davids (D-KS), an enrolled member of the Ho-Chunk Nation.

‘I stand here today, a proud 35th generation New Mexican,’ Haaland said during her speech at this summer's DNC, where she reflected on the mistreatment and abuse suffered by Indigenous populations in America, often at the hands of the government. ‘My people survived centuries of slavery, genocide, and brutal assimilation policies. But throughout our past, tribal nations have fought for and helped build this country... I’m a symbol of our resilience as the embodiment of America’s progress as a nation.’

As head of the Department of the Interior, Haaland would oversee an agency of approx 70,000 people dedicated to the management and conservation of the nation’s federal lands and will likely play a key role in advancing the Biden administration’s efforts to boost land conservation, protect natural resources, and work towards a carbon-free power sector by 2035. If confirmed, Haaland’s leadership will likely present an about-face for the department, which, under Trump, has moved to undo protections for large swaths of federal lands and has even moved to open up protected lands like the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge for oil and gas drilling and extraction.
https://www.youtube.com/post/UgzXnjGpTNzhttxbHqV4AaABCQ


Biden picks first Native American as Cabinet secretary, source says
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Democratic Rep. Deb Haaland of New Mexico has been picked to be Biden’s interior secretary, a source says. If confirmed, she would become the first Native American Cabinet secretary.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pu1Pbqek6E8

90sRetroFan

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Re: Demographic Blueshift
« Reply #35 on: December 18, 2020, 10:22:33 pm »
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/12/15/black-eligible-voters-have-accounted-for-nearly-half-of-georgia-electorates-growth-since-2000/

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Prominent public figures such as Democrat Stacey Abrams, a former lawmaker who lost a close race for governor in 2018, have highlighted Georgia’s racial and ethnic diversification as a major driver behind Joe Biden’s victory.

Biden won the state by a very narrow margin of just 0.2%, with about 12,000 votes more than Donald Trump. But it was the first time a Democratic presidential candidate had won the state in nearly three decades.

In 2019, the Black voting population in Georgia reached a record high of 2.5 million eligible voters, making up a third of the state’s total electorate. As a share of eligible voters in the state overall, Black voters saw a 5 percentage point increase between 2000 and 2019. This was the highest growth rate of any racial or ethnic group in Georgia – and also the largest percentage point increase among Black voters in any state in the country.

The Hispanic and Asian American voting populations in Georgia have also grown significantly, more than tripling in size between 2000 and 2019. However, these groups accounted for much smaller shares of the state’s electorate, 5% and 3%, respectively. The number of White voters in the state also grew during this time, but at a lower rate than other major racial and ethnic groups. As a result, the White share of Georgia’s eligible voters declined by 11 points, though the group still accounted for the majority (58%) of Georgia’s electorate in 2019.

Will it be enough to get us the senate seats also?

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/news/georgia-senate-seats/

90sRetroFan

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Re: Demographic Blueshift
« Reply #36 on: December 22, 2020, 11:25:14 pm »
https://www.thenation.com/article/society/black-votes-reparations-gerrymandering/

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Black votes in this country are worth less than white votes. Joe Biden won the Electoral College because Black voters in Atlanta, Detroit, Milwaukee, and Philadelphia turned out in significant numbers. But even with overwhelming Black support—94 percent of Detroit voted for Biden!—the outcomes in Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania were worryingly close.   

One core problem is the Electoral College. Wyoming, which has just 580,000 residents and is 93 percent white, gets three electors because of its two senators and one representative in the House. By comparison, Georgia’s Fifth Congressional District—which includes Atlanta, has 710,000 residents, and is 58 percent Black—has no dedicated electors or senators and can only occasionally overcome the mostly white and conservative votes from elsewhere in the state. This devaluation of Black votes allows our political system to ignore Black lives, and the consequences are devastating. Unequal representation has led to unequal health care outcomes, which the Covid-19 pandemic has only worsened. Without sufficient voting power, Black communities receive substandard education, and politicians are free to appoint judges who sanction mass incarceration, abusive policing, and electoral disenfranchisement.

This is all by design. The Constitution’s framers set up the Electoral College to protect the interests of slave states. Along with the Senate, the Electoral College was critical in the endurance of slavery and its continuation by other means. Abolishing this system would mean that ballots cast by Black voters—or any voters, for that matter—would count the same.

But there’s another way to undo the damage of the Electoral College and other structurally racist political institutions: We can implement vote reparations by double-counting ballots cast by all Black residents. The poisonous legacy of slavery applies to Black people regardless of when we or our ancestors arrived in this country. Vote reparations should also extend to Native Americans. Slavery is rightly called America’s original sin, but so too was the United States’ genocidal seizure of land from its original inhabitants. Various legal forms of disenfranchisement have applied to them. It wasn’t until 1962 that all Native Americans were allowed to vote, and even then they faced—and still face—electoral obstacles. These are not the only examples of American oppression; we should include in vote reparations others who have suffered similar disenfranchisement.

One of the largest objections to monetary reparations is the impracticality of implementing them on a scale that would meaningfully address the injustices. Vote reparations, in contrast, would be a simple, low-cost way to begin to make amends.

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Re: Demographic Blueshift
« Reply #37 on: January 08, 2021, 12:15:37 am »
I support this:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/violence-at-us-capitol-raises-new-calls-for-dc-statehood-as-mostly-black-city-decries-display-of-white-nationalism/ar-BB1cz61n

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On Thursday, Bowser went further, calling once again for Congress to make the city its own government, with the same representation in the Senate and House afforded to the 50 states.

“Washingtonians have waited over 200 years for the representation we deserve as American citizens,” the mayor said in her statement.
...
White supremacy has historically shaped residential segregation in the district, said Amaka Okechukwu, an assistant professor on conflict and race at George Mason University in nearby Fairfax, Virginia.

“The federal government’s refusal to grant D.C. statehood has functioned as a mass political disenfranchisement of primarily African American residents,” said Okechukwu.
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Nicole Holliday, 33, lives in Columbia Heights, a diverse neighborhood a few miles away from the violence at the Capitol. She made sure to walk her dog before 6 p.m. Wednesday when the curfew went into effect because she said she wasn't sure what would happen after dark and if the mob spread throughout the city.

"You don't want the Proud Boys outside your house," Holliday said.

As a Black woman, she said she was not surprised at all that the riot occurred.

"When they waltzed into the Capitol like they owned it, they were because they act like they own it. They think they own it," she said.

Holliday also saw the stark distinction between how people were treated by police on Wednesday compared to Black protesters over the summer during Black Lives Matter protests, when mostly peaceful demonstrators were greeted with armed law enforcement officers, tear gas and state-sanctioned violence.

"If these people were Black, they would be dead before they got to the building," she said.
...
"I don't think that people that don't live in the District realize how frustrating it is that you don't have control over what happens in your everyday life," she said. "The idea of D.C. statehood is not just theoretical for us."
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Re: Demographic Blueshift
« Reply #39 on: January 11, 2021, 11:16:56 pm »
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/08/opinion/georgia-black-political-power.html

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We Need a Second Great Migration
...
Simply put, my proposition was this: that Black people reverse the Great Migration — the mass migration of millions of African-Americans largely from the rural South to cities primarily in the North and West that spanned from 1916 to 1970. That they return to the states where they had been at or near the majority after the Civil War, and to the states where Black people currently constitute large percentages of the population.
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In South Carolina, the Black share of the population declined from 55 percent to about 30 percent. Over six decades, six million people left the South.

Reversing that tide would create dense Black communities, and that density would translate into statewide political power.
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In November, Georgia voted blue for the first time since Bill Clinton won the state in 1992. A majority of those who voted for Joe Biden were Black. This week, Georgia elected its first Black senator in state history — indeed the first popularly elected Democratic Black senator from the whole South: Raphael Warnock
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The success of the Democratic Party’s gains there were in part due to a massive voter enfranchisement effort led by Stacey Abrams, the former candidate for governor, whose group Fair Fight helped register 800,000 new voters in the state in just two years. But it was also attributable to a rise in the state’s Black population.

In the early 1990s, Black people constituted a little over a quarter of the population; now they constitute about a third of it. The Atlanta metro area saw an increase of 251,000 Black people between 2010 and 2016. In 2018, The Atlantic magazine described this area as the “epicenter of what demographers are calling the ‘reverse Great Migration’” of Black people to the South.
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Of course questions — and doubts — abound about such a proposal. Questions like: Isn’t the proposal racist on its face?

No. The point here is not to impose a new racial hierarchy, but to remove an existing one. Race, as we have come to understand it, is a fiction; but, racism, as we have come to live it, is a fact. After centuries of waiting for white majorities to overturn white supremacy, it has fallen to Black people to do it themselves.
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White people outside the South are more likely to say the right words, but many possess the same bigotry. Racism is everywhere. And if that’s the case, wouldn’t you rather have some real political power to address that racism?
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“If you change the South, you change the entire nation.” This is not surprising coming from Barber, whose own parents were reverse migrants who moved back South to fight racism.

All these objections are to say nothing of the backlash to come from conservatives, of course. One lesson that history teaches is that the system reacts forcefully, often violently, when whiteness faces the threat of a diminution of its power. And that’s exactly what we saw in this week’s storming of the Capitol by supporters of the white power president Donald J. Trump, in concert with his efforts to overturn the election.

For 150 years, Black Americans have been hoping and waiting. We have marched and resisted. Many of our most prominent leaders have appeased and kowtowed. We have seen our hard-earned gains eroded by an evolving white supremacy, while at the same time we have been told that true and full equality was imminent. But, there is no more guarantee of that today than there was a century ago.

I say to Black people: Return to the South, cast down your anchor and create an environment in which racial oppression has no place.

With that said, while calculated redistributive migration within the US to flip key states from Red to Blue (while being careful not to flip other states from Blue to Red in the process!) is a good idea, this is ultimately no substitute for immigration from outside the US into the US to secure Blue power.

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Re: Demographic Blueshift
« Reply #40 on: January 12, 2021, 12:44:37 am »
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Of course questions — and doubts — abound about such a proposal. Questions like: Isn’t the proposal racist on its face?

No. The point here is not to impose a new racial hierarchy, but to remove an existing one. Race, as we have come to understand it, is a fiction; but, racism, as we have come to live it, is a fact. After centuries of waiting for white majorities to overturn white supremacy, it has fallen to Black people to do it themselves.
...
White people outside the South are more likely to say the right words, but many possess the same bigotry. Racism is everywhere. And if that’s the case, wouldn’t you rather have some real political power to address that racism?
...
“If you change the South, you change the entire nation.” This is not surprising coming from Barber, whose own parents were reverse migrants who moved back South to fight racism.

That was so well said it was refreshing to read. Much better strategy than fleeing as well. A little ray of light in some otherwise dark times.

90sRetroFan

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Re: Demographic Blueshift
« Reply #41 on: January 12, 2021, 02:16:13 am »
Yes. As I have said over and over again, the US has nukes. If you flee from the US to a country without nukes in order to escape racism, you are inviting the racists to nuke you.

The only correct response is to seize control of the nukes from the racists. This requires Demographic Blueshift. And until then, you need to stay close enough to the racists so that they cannot nuke you without nuking themselves at the same time. It is literally no different than grappling someone who is holding a handgun. The worst response is to try to run away. You will get shot if you do. Your best chance is to disarm the opponent or at least keep the opponent unable to point the gun at you while you call for additional help.
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Re: Demographic Blueshift
« Reply #42 on: January 16, 2021, 03:18:15 pm »
Let's talk about what North Carolina can teach the Democratic party....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BE6rIwYUuqo

90sRetroFan

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Re: Demographic Blueshift
« Reply #43 on: January 19, 2021, 10:45:25 pm »
https://us.yahoo.com/finance/news/uncomfortable-truth-why-more-white-190000980.html

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Tomorrow, Kamala Harris will make history as the first woman, the first Black woman, and the first woman of Asian descent to be inaugurated as Vice President. In her first speech as Vice President–elect last November, Harris took to the stage wearing suffragist white and declared that she stood on the shoulders of generations of women who had paved her path.

And yet, the 2020 election and its aftermath revealed—once again—some ugly truths about women voters, like the fact that a majority of white women did not stand with her. White women’s Republican support was even more pronounced in the Georgia Senate elections, where a mere 31% of white women supported Senators-elect Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff. And white women were prominent participants in this month’s deadly Capitol insurrection and other incidents of white supremacist mob violence across the country.
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we should stop being surprised by the fact that many white women vote Republican. For years, many white progressives have assumed that the GOP would be increasingly alienating to women, as a result of their continual assaults on women’s health and abortion, hostility to “caring economy” policies such as paid leave and childcare, and open embrace of leaders facing allegations of sexual harassment and assault. But while it’s true that women of color are the base of the Democratic Party—with Black women’s Democratic support, in particular, routinely exceeding 90%—white women in fact have narrowly favored the Republican presidential candidate for the better part of 70 years. Their support for Trump in 2016 and 2020 was not an aberration but the continuation of a long-standing pattern.

We should also stop being shocked by the fact that white supremacy and the politics of white grievance appeal to many white women. Particularly in the Trump era, it’s been easy to put a white male face on racism—loud guys screaming at MAGA rallies—and to imagine that white women would be highly motivated to fight against it.

But history tells a different story. Race, not gender, has always been the primary driver of white women’s politics. White suffragists worked alongside Black women and men for universal suffrage, but the passage of the 15th Amendment split the movement along racial lines. Elizabeth Cady Stanton referred to Black men as “Sambos” and argued that the amendment “creates an antagonism everywhere between educated, refined women and the lower orders of men, especially in the South.” And once the 19th Amendment passed and white women secured their right to participate in American democracy, white suffragists like Alice Paul turned a blind eye to the continued disenfranchisement of Black women, calling it a civil rights, not a women’s rights, issue.

White women have also been complicit in the weaponization of our identities in service of racial terrorism, from lynchings of Black men that white men committed in defense of white women’s supposed “virtue” to today’s Amy Coopers and “Permit Pattys” calling police on Black men who threaten their privilege. As historian Elizabeth Gillespie McRae told me on the podcast, white segregationist women shaped racist historical narratives for millions of public school students through their roles on textbook selection committees in the Jim Crow South, and led fights for school segregation in the North, masked in the color-blind language of “choice” and “neighborhood schools.”

Second, progressives also need to acknowledge the power of the traditional nuclear family in shaping white women’s perceived political interests. Conservatives have spent decades positioning the white, nuclear family as an ideal deserving of reverence and protection. There’s a reason for this: It pays off for them in the voting booth. Married white women favor Republican candidates at higher rates than their unmarried counterparts. Trump’s evocation of that family ideal through his appeals to “suburban housewives” may well have strengthened his appeals to his base.

Third, white women’s perception of their political interests have been shaped by a vast right-wing organizing machine. Beginning in the 1970s, Phyllis Schlafly successfully channeled angst over eroding postwar economic stability for the white middle class into a mass political movement of highly religious white women. Paul Weyrich and Jerry Falwell Sr. solidified that support by making opposition to abortion the centerpiece of that movement and building a vast network of right-wing evangelical churches that remain a powerful political force to this day. And through vehicles like the Koch family–funded Independent Women’s Forum (IWF), the movement has deployed softer rhetoric to engage independent white women voters. According to Lisa Graves of the True North research group, this included mobilizing more than 200,000 voters for Trump in Wisconsin in 2016, a number vastly exceeding his narrow 22,000 vote margin of victory in that state.

90sRetroFan

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Re: Demographic Blueshift
« Reply #44 on: January 25, 2021, 11:04:37 pm »
https://www.yahoo.com/lifestyle/white-people-least-likely-to-wear-masks-consistently-study-finds-231848231.html

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White people, the researchers found, were the least likely of any race to wear a mask consistently, with just 46 percent reporting that they wear one while in close contact with people they do not live with. That was compared with 67 percent of Black people, 63 percent of Latinos and 65 percent of people from other races.

Dr. Uché Blackstock, founder and CEO of Advancing Health Equity and a Yahoo Life medical contributor, says the statistics aren’t unexpected. “It’s not terribly surprising,” Blackstock says. “The videos that we've seen on social media and television of people refusing to wear a mask or demonstrating against it have been predominantly white.”

This agrees with my own anecdotal observations also.

If Demographic Blueshift had proceeded faster in previous decades, the pandemic would have been less damaging. It is that simple.