Author Topic: Population and Demographics  (Read 785 times)

Zhang Caizhi

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #15 on: January 28, 2022, 12:34:11 am »
I think the 3-child policy is driven by the need for manpower and survival of China by the government.

90sRetroFan

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guest55

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #17 on: April 09, 2022, 12:21:41 pm »
Russia's Demographic Crisis Explained - TLDR News
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Putin's invasion of Ukraine hasn't gone as well as he had planned, but things aren't going much better at home either, with Russia's fertility rate verging on a demographic crisis. Can Putin do anything about it, or will the war just make things worse?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t-pdZSv7G10

Sounds like a positive development to me at this particular juncture in the timeline!?

Comments:
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A Russian has recently married into our family. She said that there was no way she was going to marry a Russian male. Apparently there is an imbalance between the number of males to females in the populace with less men. The males apparently take advantage of the situation and the females get treated poorly, so she wanted out.
This wasn't mentioned in the TLDR video.
Maybe the Ukrainian war will have an impact on the out of balance male-female ratio. She did mention the low male life expectancy as all her father's friends have died.
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Worth thing noting and I'm surprised it wasn't mentioned here is the domestic violence issue in Russia. It was decriminalised in 2017. Many many women have been harmed at the hands of their own men and many ended up dying in their own homes due to brutality occuring there. I can't imagine all this encourages women to have children when violence is so rampant. Then again, the head of the Russian church has remarked that "beatings are mere blessings" so maybe this might actually have nothing to do with birth rates going to hell.

Perhaps integration of some Ukrainians into Russia is the purpose of the "filtration camps" then?
https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/diplomatic-decolonization/?message=12645

90sRetroFan

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #18 on: May 09, 2022, 09:12:09 pm »
https://www.yahoo.com/news/elon-musk-claims-japan-eventually-183412560.html

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Elon Musk claims 'Japan will eventually cease to exist' because of its declining birth rate
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According to the article, Japan's population dropped by a record 644,000 people to just over 125.5 million in 2021, which saw 831,000 births and 1.44 million deaths. The East Asian country’s population decline is now in its 11th consecutive year.

In reality:



reducing Japan's population by 100 million would merely bring it closer to the pre-Meiji population, as I previously discussed here:

http://aryanism.net/blog/aryan-sanctuary/another-one-bites-the-dust/

which was a population (while still high) at least had not yet exceeded the carrying capacity of the land, and hence is what we should be actively trying to get back to ASAP. And at least back then Japanese were not Eurocentrists, whereas now this is how they respond to Musk:

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Master, thank you for raising the issue.

This Eurocentrist Japan is what Musk is actually worried about ceasing to exist.
« Last Edit: May 09, 2022, 09:16:43 pm by 90sRetroFan »

90sRetroFan

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #19 on: September 21, 2022, 06:15:02 pm »
I am no fan of Macron, but on this occasion he displays common sense (to our enemies' horror):

https://www.breitbart.com/europe/2022/09/18/macron-proposes-repopulating-rural-areas-with-migrants/

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French president Emmanuel Macron has proposed creating a bill next year to reform France’s immigration and asylum policies, including a proposal to redistribute migrants to rural areas facing demographic decline.
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“We have a policy that is both inefficient and inhumane, inefficient because we find ourselves with more foreigners in an irregular situation than many of our neighbours, inhumane because this pressure means that they are too often badly received,” President Macron said, the newspaper Le Figaro reports.
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President Macron, who made his remarks on Thursday, also called for a new system to redistribute migrants across France, specifically in “rural areas, which are losing population,” arguing that “the conditions for their reception will be much better than if we put them in areas that are already densely populated, with a concentration of massive economic and social problems.”

France is merely arriving late to obvious solutions that other EU countries had already reached years ago:

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Similar policies have been suggested in other countries in recent years, including Germany, where in 2016 it was suggested that villages and small towns could help integrate asylum seekers better and the asylum seekers would help counter demographic decline.

A University of Milano-Bicocca study released last year also proposed using asylum seekers to repopulate rural areas and small towns in Italy, arguing that if the local governments limited migrant centres to no more than 25 people, there would be little economic cost.

See also:

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/population-and-demographics/msg10882/#msg10882

How do we know this is the correct solution? We look at who are opposing it:

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Some in France, such as populist National Rally leader Marine Le Pen, have come out against Macron’s proposal, however.

“Emmanuel Macron wants to distribute foreigners in an irregular situation [illegal aliens] to rural areas. We believe that they should go back home. Unable to apply the law, he wants to change it. We will oppose this new madness!” Le Pen said on Twitter on Friday.

Rival populist Eric Zemmour had proposed €10,000 “birth grants” during the French presidential elections, to repopulate the countryside naturally

What is madness is encouraging more new births when there are already so many people desperately in need of housing.

90sRetroFan

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #20 on: September 22, 2022, 07:38:12 pm »
Encouraging news reported by our enemies:

https://www.eurocanadians.ca/2022/09/canada-2041-50-million-people-half-immigrants.html

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Actually, Canada is capable of carrying a much higher population than merely 50 million:

https://www.amazon.ca/Maximum-Canada-Million-Canadians-Enough/dp/0735273103

therefore Canada should be a significant destination country for climate refugees.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M1jat2-zI98

If you ask me, 100 million by 2041 would still not even close to enough given that climate refugees will eventually number in the billions.

I also agree that Quebec should be a destination for climate refugees from Francophone countries in particular:

« Last Edit: September 22, 2022, 08:00:17 pm by 90sRetroFan »

90sRetroFan

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #21 on: October 18, 2022, 05:39:17 pm »
Why the war in Ukraine should be dragged out for as long as possible:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/putin-war-escalation-hastening-demographic-040000985.html

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 :)

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Besides casualties in the thousands on the battlefield, the enlistment of 300,000 reservists to join the fight -- and an even bigger flight of men abroad -- is derailing Putin’s goals of starting to stabilize the population already this year.
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“The chief blow to the birth rate will be indirect, because most families will have their planning horizon completely destroyed as a result,” Efremov said. “And the impact will be stronger the longer the mobilization lasts.”

This is why I do not blame Iran for supplying Russia:

https://www.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-iran-agrees-ship-missiles-133311484.html

The more weaponry Russia has, the longer we can keep the war going, and hence the more we can decimate Russia's population.

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as Russia approached the invasion of Ukraine in February, it was coming off its deadliest year since World War II -- made worse by the pandemic -- with the population in decline since 2018. It reached 145.1 million on Aug. 1, a fall of 475,500 since the start of the year and down from 148.3 million in 1991, when the Soviet Union collapsed.

The continuation of the military campaign and mobilization until the end of next spring would be “catastrophic,” according to Efremov, likely bringing births down to just 1 million in the 12 months to mid-2024. The fertility rate may reach 1.2 children per woman, he said, a level Russia saw only once in 1999-2000.

Of course, the correct Russian fertility rate should be 0.

At the point when the Ukraine war is about to end (hopefully still years away), Russia will be at its weakest. At that point, every country geographically capable of invading Russia should invade Russia simultaneously to finish it off.

90sRetroFan

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #22 on: November 05, 2022, 09:31:52 pm »
https://www.yahoo.com/news/russias-catastrophic-missing-men-problem-095508987.html

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Russia already had a huge gender imbalance before the Ukraine invasion, dating back to massive battlefield losses in World War II, Paul Goble writes at Eurasia Daily Monitor. Results from the 2021 census are expected to show that Russia has 10.5 million more women than men, almost the same disparity as a decade ago — the double blow being that Russian men at "prime child-bearing age" are dying in Ukraine or fleeing Putin's draft, which will "further depress the already low birthrates in the Russian Federation and put the country's demographic future, already troubled, at even greater risk."

 :)

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"The mobilization is upending families at perhaps the most fraught moment ever for Russian demographics, with the number of women of childbearing age down by about a third in the past decade" amid the country's broader population decline, Bloomberg reports. "While demographic traumas usually play out over decades, the fallout of the invasion is making the worst scenarios more likely — and much sooner than expected."

Continuing with the Ukraine war and mobilization efforts until the end of next spring would be "catastrophic" for Russia, Moscow demographer Igor Efremov tells Bloomberg. It would likely bring birth rates down to 1 million between mid-2023 and mid-2024, dropping the fertility rate to 1.2 children per woman, a low mark Russia hit only once, in the 1999-2000 period.

 :)

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Might there be a Russian post-war baby boom?

It's possible. Sometimes wars "lead to higher fertility," as when "sudden bursts of conception" occur as men deploy for battle, Goble writes at Eurasia Daily Monitor. "For example, monthly birth data from the 1940s clearly shows that U.S. baby boom began not as the G.I.'s returned from war, but as they were leaving for war." After the fighting stops, he adds, "wars may trigger a surge of nationalist ideas making people susceptible to pro-natal ideas and policies, even as so-called 'replacement fertility' often leads families to 'respond' to high-casualty events by having 'replacement' children.'"

Preventing this is why Russia must be invaded the moment the Ukraine war ends.

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And in the meantime, "downloads of dating apps have significantly increased in the countries to which Russian men fled," the Times reports, noting sharp rises in downloads in Armenia, Georgia, Turkey, and Kazakhstan.

This is why we need:

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/reproductive-decolonization/

NSFAN

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #23 on: November 14, 2022, 01:13:06 pm »
8 billion and counting
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This week, the world’s population ticks over a historic milestone. But in the next century, society will be reshaped dramatically — and soon we’ll hit a decline we’ll never reverse.
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Eight billion. It’s a number too big to imagine but think of it this way: In the time it takes you to read this paragraph, the world’s population grew by around 20 people.
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We’re getting older and older, which means there are fewer people able to work to support more people who can’t.
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Cities are expanding, chewing up arable farmland as they go.
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Where are we going?
The world is likely to have a couple more billion mouths to feed in just a few decades.

The UN’s latest projections, released earlier this year, suggest the world will house about 9.7 billion humans in 2050.

“Demographic projections are highly accurate, and it has to do with the fact that most of the people who will be alive in 30 years have already been born,” the UN’s population division director, John Willmoth, says.

“But when you start getting 70, 80 years down the road, there’s much more uncertainty.”
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Under its most likely scenario, the UN projects the world population will reach about 10.4 billion in the 2080s.

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From there, it’s set to plateau for a couple of decades, before falling around the turn of the 22nd century.
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But the range of reasonable possibilities in 2100 is considerably wider, between 8.9 and 12.4 billion.

Entire article: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-11-13/earths-population-reaches-eight-billion-people/101643854?utm_source=pocket-newtab