Author Topic: Population and Demographics  (Read 879 times)


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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #15 on: October 18, 2022, 05:39:17 pm »
Why the war in Ukraine should be dragged out for as long as possible:



Besides casualties in the thousands on the battlefield, the enlistment of 300,000 reservists to join the fight -- and an even bigger flight of men abroad -- is derailing Putin’s goals of starting to stabilize the population already this year.
“The chief blow to the birth rate will be indirect, because most families will have their planning horizon completely destroyed as a result,” Efremov said. “And the impact will be stronger the longer the mobilization lasts.”

This is why I do not blame Iran for supplying Russia:

The more weaponry Russia has, the longer we can keep the war going, and hence the more we can decimate Russia's population.

as Russia approached the invasion of Ukraine in February, it was coming off its deadliest year since World War II -- made worse by the pandemic -- with the population in decline since 2018. It reached 145.1 million on Aug. 1, a fall of 475,500 since the start of the year and down from 148.3 million in 1991, when the Soviet Union collapsed.

The continuation of the military campaign and mobilization until the end of next spring would be “catastrophic,” according to Efremov, likely bringing births down to just 1 million in the 12 months to mid-2024. The fertility rate may reach 1.2 children per woman, he said, a level Russia saw only once in 1999-2000.

Of course, the correct Russian fertility rate should be 0.

At the point when the Ukraine war is about to end (hopefully still years away), Russia will be at its weakest. At that point, every country geographically capable of invading Russia should invade Russia simultaneously to finish it off.