Author Topic: Population and Demographics  (Read 1368 times)

90sRetroFan

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #15 on: September 22, 2022, 07:38:12 pm »
Encouraging news reported by our enemies:

https://www.eurocanadians.ca/2022/09/canada-2041-50-million-people-half-immigrants.html

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Actually, Canada is capable of carrying a much higher population than merely 50 million:

https://www.amazon.ca/Maximum-Canada-Million-Canadians-Enough/dp/0735273103

therefore Canada should be a significant destination country for climate refugees.



If you ask me, 100 million by 2041 would still not even close to enough given that climate refugees will eventually number in the billions.

I also agree that Quebec should be a destination for climate refugees from Francophone countries in particular:

« Last Edit: September 22, 2022, 08:00:17 pm by 90sRetroFan »

90sRetroFan

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #16 on: October 18, 2022, 05:39:17 pm »
Why the war in Ukraine should be dragged out for as long as possible:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/putin-war-escalation-hastening-demographic-040000985.html

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 :)

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Besides casualties in the thousands on the battlefield, the enlistment of 300,000 reservists to join the fight -- and an even bigger flight of men abroad -- is derailing Putin’s goals of starting to stabilize the population already this year.
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“The chief blow to the birth rate will be indirect, because most families will have their planning horizon completely destroyed as a result,” Efremov said. “And the impact will be stronger the longer the mobilization lasts.”

This is why I do not blame Iran for supplying Russia:

https://www.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-iran-agrees-ship-missiles-133311484.html

The more weaponry Russia has, the longer we can keep the war going, and hence the more we can decimate Russia's population.

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as Russia approached the invasion of Ukraine in February, it was coming off its deadliest year since World War II -- made worse by the pandemic -- with the population in decline since 2018. It reached 145.1 million on Aug. 1, a fall of 475,500 since the start of the year and down from 148.3 million in 1991, when the Soviet Union collapsed.

The continuation of the military campaign and mobilization until the end of next spring would be “catastrophic,” according to Efremov, likely bringing births down to just 1 million in the 12 months to mid-2024. The fertility rate may reach 1.2 children per woman, he said, a level Russia saw only once in 1999-2000.

Of course, the correct Russian fertility rate should be 0.

At the point when the Ukraine war is about to end (hopefully still years away), Russia will be at its weakest. At that point, every country geographically capable of invading Russia should invade Russia simultaneously to finish it off.

90sRetroFan

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #17 on: November 05, 2022, 09:31:52 pm »
https://www.yahoo.com/news/russias-catastrophic-missing-men-problem-095508987.html

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Russia already had a huge gender imbalance before the Ukraine invasion, dating back to massive battlefield losses in World War II, Paul Goble writes at Eurasia Daily Monitor. Results from the 2021 census are expected to show that Russia has 10.5 million more women than men, almost the same disparity as a decade ago — the double blow being that Russian men at "prime child-bearing age" are dying in Ukraine or fleeing Putin's draft, which will "further depress the already low birthrates in the Russian Federation and put the country's demographic future, already troubled, at even greater risk."

 :)

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"The mobilization is upending families at perhaps the most fraught moment ever for Russian demographics, with the number of women of childbearing age down by about a third in the past decade" amid the country's broader population decline, Bloomberg reports. "While demographic traumas usually play out over decades, the fallout of the invasion is making the worst scenarios more likely — and much sooner than expected."

Continuing with the Ukraine war and mobilization efforts until the end of next spring would be "catastrophic" for Russia, Moscow demographer Igor Efremov tells Bloomberg. It would likely bring birth rates down to 1 million between mid-2023 and mid-2024, dropping the fertility rate to 1.2 children per woman, a low mark Russia hit only once, in the 1999-2000 period.

 :)

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Might there be a Russian post-war baby boom?

It's possible. Sometimes wars "lead to higher fertility," as when "sudden bursts of conception" occur as men deploy for battle, Goble writes at Eurasia Daily Monitor. "For example, monthly birth data from the 1940s clearly shows that U.S. baby boom began not as the G.I.'s returned from war, but as they were leaving for war." After the fighting stops, he adds, "wars may trigger a surge of nationalist ideas making people susceptible to pro-natal ideas and policies, even as so-called 'replacement fertility' often leads families to 'respond' to high-casualty events by having 'replacement' children.'"

Preventing this is why Russia must be invaded the moment the Ukraine war ends.

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And in the meantime, "downloads of dating apps have significantly increased in the countries to which Russian men fled," the Times reports, noting sharp rises in downloads in Armenia, Georgia, Turkey, and Kazakhstan.

This is why we need:

https://trueleft.createaforum.com/issues/reproductive-decolonization/

guest78

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #18 on: November 14, 2022, 01:13:06 pm »
8 billion and counting
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This week, the world’s population ticks over a historic milestone. But in the next century, society will be reshaped dramatically — and soon we’ll hit a decline we’ll never reverse.
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Eight billion. It’s a number too big to imagine but think of it this way: In the time it takes you to read this paragraph, the world’s population grew by around 20 people.
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We’re getting older and older, which means there are fewer people able to work to support more people who can’t.
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Cities are expanding, chewing up arable farmland as they go.
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Where are we going?
The world is likely to have a couple more billion mouths to feed in just a few decades.

The UN’s latest projections, released earlier this year, suggest the world will house about 9.7 billion humans in 2050.

“Demographic projections are highly accurate, and it has to do with the fact that most of the people who will be alive in 30 years have already been born,” the UN’s population division director, John Willmoth, says.

“But when you start getting 70, 80 years down the road, there’s much more uncertainty.”
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Under its most likely scenario, the UN projects the world population will reach about 10.4 billion in the 2080s.

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From there, it’s set to plateau for a couple of decades, before falling around the turn of the 22nd century.
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But the range of reasonable possibilities in 2100 is considerably wider, between 8.9 and 12.4 billion.

Entire article: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-11-13/earths-population-reaches-eight-billion-people/101643854?utm_source=pocket-newtab

guest78

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How war is changing Russia’s population | DW Business Special
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President Vladimir Putin’s war in Ukraine is causing major changes back home. Hundreds of thousands of Russian men are being mobilized to fight and tens of thousands have already been killed or injured. Meanwhile, many Russians have left their country and millions of Ukrainians are thought to have arrived.

What impact will these changes have on the Russian population? And could the public response lead to Putin’s downfall? We discuss these questions and more with UCLA’s Oleg Itskhoki in this DW Business Special.

guest98

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Re: Demographic Blueshift
« Reply #20 on: March 24, 2023, 03:12:24 pm »
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/3/22/immigration-fuels-record-high-canada-population-growth

Immigration fuels record-high population growth in Canada

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Canada has seen a record boom in its population, with Ottawa citing higher immigration targets and a “record-breaking year for the processing of immigration applications” as being responsible for the increase.

The most recent bump has also been fuelled by new citizens from abroad, with international migration accounting for nearly 96 percent of the growth.

Trudeau’s government has doubled the pre-existing target for welcoming newcomers since coming to power in 2015. A record 437,180 immigrants landed in Canada in 2022. That number is scheduled to rise to 500,000 per year by 2025.

Statistics Canada said that “high job vacancies and labour shortages” have fuelled the high rate of immigration. It also noted Canada’s ageing population, with one in seven residents between the ages of 55 and 64, providing opportunity to welcome more people.




IbnHaytham

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #21 on: March 28, 2023, 04:05:47 pm »
Why Overpopulation is Actually a Problem
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In this Our Changing Climate climate change video essay, I look at why the myth of overpopulation is actually a problem. Specifically, I look at how overpopulation is leading to dangerous conclusions both on the right and the left. On the right, it's leading to conclusions of population control, murder, and ethnic cleansing. On the [FALSE]-left, it manifests as birth control access, but is still couched in the ideas of population control. Overpopulation is ultimately a myth that at best distracts from the needed work of climate action, and at worst leads to violence.


From the True Left perspective birth is violence since no one consented to being born into this world in the first place.


90sRetroFan

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #22 on: August 23, 2023, 10:07:57 pm »
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/humans-verge-population-correction-2099-183600904.html

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Humans Are on the Verge of a 'Population Correction' by 2099, Scientist Warns
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Humans pollute and deplete the very resources they need to survive. Bio-ecologist William Rees, professor emeritus at the University of British Columbia’s School of Community and Regional Planning, says it with even a little more gumption. He believes that the exhaustion of resources will lead to a “population correction” in this century.

In a study published in World, Rees calls the entire situation an “advanced overshoot” of population. “We are consuming and polluting the biophysical basis of our own existence,” he wrote.

And it can’t last.

Rees says that climate change is the best-known symptom of this overshoot, but the mainstream solutions will only accelerate climate disruption and worsen the overall problem. “Humanity is exhibiting the characteristic dynamics of a one-off population boom-bust cycle,” he wrote in the study. “The global economy will inevitably contract, and humanity will suffer a major population correction in this century.”

Any such population correction would be a stark about-face from the growth the world has seen over the last two centuries. In 1800, the world’s population hovered around 1 billion people. Now, roughly 200 years later, that population has ballooned to about 8 billion.

The exponential reproduction, as Rees dubs it, has led humans to expand geographically and consume all available resources. And while in history, that expansionist tendency was countered by the natural environment’s “negative feedback,” the increase of scientific resourcefulness and fossil fuels has enabled humans to “realize our full potential for exponential growth.”

So, which one civilization is to blame for this?

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But therein lies the issue. Humans can grow and maintain a population only by consuming and extracting the resources from the ecosphere, all while sending waste back in return. That population boom in two centuries, all on a finite planet, “has thus propelled modern techno-industrial society into a state of advanced overshoot.”

Not only is our reliance on fossil fuels impacting various aspects of our existence, but Rees says that additional overshoot stresses—from consuming biomass to upheaval in planetary nutrient cycles—have considerable negative impacts as well. Together, he claims that they push us toward that potentially dire correction.

By relying on our typical short-sighted view of the world that has humans taking what they can when resources are available, we have left ourselves very little room for existence when the availability of resources greatly diminishes.

The only direction to go from here, Rees wrote, is the inevitable correction of our population. That correction could, according to his paper, drop the population to no more than 3 billion and as few as 100 million
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he believes that only the rich will be able to survive the coming correction, noting that a “collapse is not a problem to be solved, but rather the final stage of a cycle to be endured.”

“Global culture is beginning to unravel,” he wrote, “and that the one-off human population boom is destined to bust.”

Who deserves to survive the correction? Those from the civilization which set it up, or those from the civilizations which did not set it up? Yet it appears as though those who are likely to survive it are precisely those who least deserve to survive it.

If we want any realistic chance of a different outcome, we need borders totally open and lots of firearms in the hands of climate refugees.

rp

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #23 on: August 25, 2023, 12:05:57 pm »
This is the idea behind demographic blueshift:
https://twitter.com/dharma__vijay/status/1691898060354498629?s=20
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The problem with India is high population density. In Chennai, if I leave my street and go to the main road, it is full of traffic and people. Ideally India needs to capture more land and resettle people in captured land.
« Last Edit: August 25, 2023, 12:28:10 pm by rp »


rp

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rp

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #26 on: December 16, 2023, 07:23:29 am »
https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2021/09/21/religious-composition-of-india/
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Muslims still have the highest fertility rate among India’s major religious groups, followed by Hindus at 2.1. Jains have the lowest fertility rate (1.2). The general pattern is largely the same as it was in 1992, when Muslims had the highest fertility rate at 4.4, followed by Hindus at 3.3. But the gaps in childbearing between India’s religious groups are generally much smaller than they used to be. For example, while Muslim women were expected to have an average of 1.1 more children than Hindu women in 1992, the gap had shrunk to 0.5 by 2015
Common Jain W

rp

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #27 on: December 28, 2023, 08:44:33 am »
https://twitter.com/IndiccAmsha/status/1740291041356640677
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lndicAmsha
@IndiccAmsha
In 1976, during emergency, Sanjay Gandhi forced MusIims and ugIy poor people to undergo mass forced sterilisation, he sterilised 6.2M people in a year and unofficially 11.1M (1cr) in two years, (more than nazis did) and kiIIed many, he was the kind of dictator India needs today.


90sRetroFan

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #28 on: December 28, 2023, 02:06:20 pm »
What a waste of bloodlines! If only those 11.1M had been encouraged to emigrate to Britain/Canada/Australia/etc. instead!

90sRetroFan

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Re: Population and Demographics
« Reply #29 on: January 03, 2024, 12:27:50 am »
I hope this is true, at least:

https://twitter.com/americakaran/status/1727406694001504626

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As Indian land values increases alongside lack of good jobs, more Indians will sell their land to finance their sons to fly to El Salvador and trek across the US border

But why only to the US?